FC Bayern München vs Aston Villa preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Kai Tak Sports Park Fri, 7 Aug - 12:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
FC Bayern MünchenFCB
2 1
Aston VillaAVL
Full Time Fri, 7 Aug 12:00 PM
Regular Season
Min-jae Kim - 36'
Luis Díaz - 73'
Goal
|
Goal
João Gomes - 82'

CONTEXT

FC Bayern München defeated Aston Villa 2-1 in a match that saw the home side lead 1-0 at halftime. Bayern controlled 61 percent of possession while Aston Villa held 39 percent. The stronger team prevailed as expected with the final scoreline reflecting their dominance throughout the contest. No red cards were shown to either side during the game. The outcome proved consistent with the pre-match assessment for the favored side. Bayern secured the three points through effective play in both halves. This result highlighted their ability to maintain an advantage after the break.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bayern Munich exhibited a significant deviation as the stronger team in the result.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall match pattern.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be determined.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome aligned with pre-match projections for the home side.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were available to assess expectations in this fixture.
  • Event impact: Key scoring events shaped Bayern's 2-1 victory over Aston Villa.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion affected the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Poon
C. Poon
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
H. Sing
H. Sing
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
FC Bayern München U. Emery Etxegoien
U. Emery Etxegoien
VS
Aston Villa V. Kompany
V. Kompany
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jeju United Rank: 51 W
Rottach-Egern Rank: W
Wehen Wiesbaden Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
100
93.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Bayern München
Aston Villa
Power Score
100
93.29
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
1
8

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Bayern München — Opponent-weighted form score
Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Bayern München Aston Villa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Bayern München

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aston Villa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Bayern München ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.84
23.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.85
29.84
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Bayern München +0.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Aston Villa -0.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Bayern München
Aston Villa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Bayern München ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Bayern München Aston Villa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Bayern München Aston Villa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Bayern München
Aston Villa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Bayern München
vs
Aston Villa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Bayern München Aston Villa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Bayern München 0.36
Aston Villa 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Bayern München Aston Villa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Bayern München 0.04
Aston Villa 0.05
FC Bayern München
Aston Villa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCB had peak pressure around 68'.
  • FCB started the game with stronger pressure.
FCB Pressure AVL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCB reached the top pressure at 68' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Bayern München FCB Home
1 matches
Aston Villa AVL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-08T00:00:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 07, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Kai Tak Sports Park
Capacity
50000
Attendance
38176
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Chun Kit Poon
Ho Wai Sing

Statistics

Possession
FCB
54%
AVL
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 1
44 Dangerous attacks 26
61 Possession 39
7 Corners 3
9 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

17 Ball Safe 34
8 Goal Attempts 2
4 Substitutions 3
17 Throwins 21
3 Dribble Attempts 5
3 Successful Dribbles 5
12 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

Attacking

89 Attacks 58

Possession

30 Long Passes 14
511 Passes 404
90 Successful Passes Percentage 83
12 Key Passes 6

Defensive

2 Saves 5
15 Tackles 23
6 Interceptions 3
38 Duels Won 59

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
18 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Chun Kit Poon

Starting XI ▼

1
Manuel Neuer
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper
6.66
3
Min-jae Kim
Min-jae Kim Defender
7.39
21
Hiroki Ito
Hiroki Ito
63'
4
Jonathan Tah
Jonathan Tah Defender
6.92
32
Filip Pavic
Filip Pavic
76'
11
Nathaniel Brown
Nathaniel Brown Defender
6.58
48
Bastian Assomo
Bastian Assomo
76'
23
Sacha Boey
Sacha Boey Defender
6.49
47
Guido Della Rovere
Guido Della Rovere
80'
8
Tom Bischof
Tom Bischof Midfielder
7.37
22
Arijon Ibrahimovic
Arijon Ibrahimovic Midfielder
6.62
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Aleksandar Pavlovic Midfielder
6.81
16
João Palhinha
João Palhinha
63'
27
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer Attacker
6.42
44
Josip Stanisic
Josip Stanisic
46'
31
Tim Binder
Tim Binder Attacker
6.27
35
Maycon Cardozo
Maycon Cardozo Attacker
6.94
14
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz
63'
Referee : Chun Kit Poon

Starting XI ▼

40
Marco Bizot
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper
7.08
2
Matty Cash
Matty Cash Defender
6.15
19
Kosta Nedeljkovic
Kosta Nedeljkovic
80'
3
Victor Lindelöf
Victor Lindelöf Defender
6.32
14
Pau Torres
Pau Torres Defender
6.57
5
Tyrone Mings
Tyrone Mings
67'
22
Ian Maatsen
Ian Maatsen Defender
6.46
45
Triston Rowe
Triston Rowe
80'
8
Boubacar Kamara
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder
6.95
26
Lamare Bogarde
Lamare Bogarde
59'
10
Emiliano Buendía
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder
6.71
83
Bradley Burrowes
Bradley Burrowes
80'
35
João Gomes
João Gomes Midfielder
6.9
53
George Lawrence Hemmings
George Lawrence Hemmings Midfielder
6.31
29
Evann Guessand
Evann Guessand Attacker
6.3
74
Luka John Lynch
Luka John Lynch
67'
39
Brian Madjo
Brian Madjo Attacker
6.52
18
Tammy Abraham
Tammy Abraham
59'

Events

2ND-HALF
82'
Event
João Gomes
3rd Goal
Event
Guido Della Rovere  → Sacha Boey
13th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Kosta Nedeljkovic → Matty Cash
11th Substitution
80'
Event
Bradley Burrowes → Emiliano Buendía
12th Substitution
80'
Event
Triston Rowe → Ian Maatsen
14th Substitution
Event
Sacha Boey
2nd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Filip Pavic → Jonathan Tah
9th Substitution
76'
Event
Bastian Assomo → Nathaniel Brown
10th Substitution
76'
Event
Luis Díaz
2nd Goal
73'
67'
Event
Luka John Lynch → Evann Guessand
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Tyrone Mings → Pau Torres
8th Substitution
Event
Luis Díaz → Maycon Cardozo 
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Hiroki Ito → Min-jae Kim
5th Substitution
63'
Event
João Palhinha → Aleksandar Pavlovic
6th Substitution
63'
59'
Event
Tammy Abraham → Brian Madjo 
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Lamare Bogarde → Boubacar Kamara
3rd Substitution
Event
Josip Stanisic → Konrad Laimer
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Min-jae Kim
1st Goal
36'
Event
Maycon Cardozo 
1st Yellowcard
25'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
80
Update Update
Guido Della Rovere replaces Sacha Boey.
80
Update Update
Triston Rowe comes on for Ian Maatsen.
79
Update Update
Bradley Burrowes is on, and Emiliano Buendia is off.
79
Update Update
Kosta Nedeljkovic replaces Matthew Cash.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sacha Boey receives a yellow card.
76
Update Update
Bastian Assomo is on, and Nathaniel Brown is off.
76
Update Update
On comes Filip Pavic, off goes Jonathan Glao Tah.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Substitution Substitution
Luka Lynch is substituted off for Evann Guessand.
67
Update Update
Tyrone Mings is on, and Pau Torres is off.
63
Update Update
Joao Palhinha comes on for Aleksandar Pavlovic.
63
Update Update
Luis Fernando Diaz Marulanda comes on for Maycon Cardozo.
63
Update Update
On Hiroki Ito, off Kim Min-Jae.
60
Update Update
Lamare Bogarde replaces Boubacar Kamara.
60
Update Update
Tammy Abraham comes on for Brian Madjo.
46
Update Update
Sven Ulreich replaces Manuel Neuer.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kim Min-Jae scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Tom Bischof.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Maycon Cardozo.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Bayern München's 2-1 win over Aston Villa demonstrated solid control from the opening whistle through to the final whistle. The halftime lead of 1-0 allowed them to manage the game effectively in the second period. Possession dominance at 61 percent supported their ability to create opportunities while limiting the visitors. With no red cards issued the contest remained balanced in terms of player numbers. The result reinforced Bayern's status as the stronger side on the day. Smooth transitions between defense and attack helped secure the points. Overall the performance met expectations for a home victory in this encounter.