Famalicão vs Benfica preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho Sat, 2 May - 5:00 PM
Liga Portugal
FamalicãoFCF
2 – 2
BenficaSLB
Full Time Sat, 2 May 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
|
Red Card Nicolás Otamendi 55'

CONTEXT

Famalicão hosted Benfica in a thrilling Primeira Liga encounter that ended in a 2-2 draw. Benfica dominated the first half, leading 2-0 at halftime with superior control despite Famalicão's home advantage. The visitors, considered the stronger side, maintained 45% possession overall but saw their momentum shift dramatically in the second half after receiving a red card, reducing them to ten men. Famalicão capitalized, ramping up to 55% possession and scoring twice to level the score. This comeback highlighted Famalicão's resilience against a numerically disadvantaged yet resilient Benfica defense. The result represents a moderate structural deviation, with Benfica dropping points despite their favoritism. No xG data was available to further quantify chance creation, but the red card clearly distorted proceedings, enabling Famalicão's recovery.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 9.6% structural deviation impacted Benfica's expected dominance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome achieved full market alignment.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for analysis.
  • Event impact: Benfica's red card significantly altered second-half flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card to Benfica triggered key second-half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Mota Correia
G. Mota Correia
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
A. Nogueira Dias
A. Nogueira Dias
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
F. Oliveira da Silva
F. Oliveira da Silva
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
D. Araújo
D. Araújo
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
VS
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.43
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: 67 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Moreirense Rank: 66 D
Porto Rank: 87 D
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Moreirense Rank: 67 W
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Nacional Rank: 63 W
Casa Pia Rank: 62 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Arouca Rank: 65 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Famalicão
5.53%
Draw
90.38%
Away Benfica
4.09%

Movement

Changes since opening
Famalicão
-1.7%
Draw
+2.55%
Benfica
-0.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.78
87.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Famalicão
Benfica
Power Score
73.78
87.39
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
128
21

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Famalicão Benfica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Famalicão

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Benfica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Famalicão ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Benfica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Famalicão Benfica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Famalicão Benfica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Famalicão
Benfica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Famalicão
vs
Benfica
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Famalicão Benfica
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Famalicão 0.00
Benfica 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Famalicão Benfica
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Famalicão 0.00
Benfica 0.00
Famalicão
Benfica
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SLB had peak pressure around 23'.
  • SLB started the game with stronger pressure.
FCF Pressure SLB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SLB reached the top pressure at 23' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Famalicão FCF Home
13 matches
Benfica SLB Away
Match Record
2
Wins
9
2
Draws
2
9
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
7
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T16:30:45+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Capacity
5307
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gustavo Mota Correia
André Filipe Nogueira Dias
Fabio Diogo Oliveira da Silva
Diogo Araújo

Statistics

Possession
FCF
53%
SLB
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 1
48 Dangerous attacks 34
55 Possession 45
6 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Substitutions 3
0 Injuries 1
11 Goal Attempts 7
11 Dribble Attempts 17
18 Throwins 20
12 Successful Headers 13
91 Ball Safe 87
4 Successful Dribbles 8
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
0 Penalties 1
7 Goal Kicks 9
2 Assists 1

Attacking

72 Attacks 93
2 Counter Attacks 3
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

34 Long Passes 43
14 Key Passes 6
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
18 Successful Long Passes 18
328 Successful Passes 254
87 Successful Passes Percentage 80
377 Passes 319

Defensive

48 Duels Won 56
18 Tackles 14
7 Interceptions 10
0 Saves 3

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 5
10 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

20 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Gustavo Mota Correia

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
7.04
3
Léo Realpe
Léo Realpe Defender
6.88
5
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Defender
6.76
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Defender
7.05
17
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Rodrigo Pinheiro Defender
6.99
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Midfielder
6.91
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Midfielder
7.04
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Midfielder
6.91
80
Pedro Santos
Pedro Santos
Attacker90+3'
6.76
20
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá Midfielder
7
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Midfielder
7.05
18
Roméo Beney
Roméo Beney
Attacker72'
6.55
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Attacker
6.73
9
Umar Abubakar
Umar Abubakar
Attacker72'
6.56
Referee : Gustavo Mota Correia

Starting XI ▼

1
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper
6.83
4
António Silva
António Silva Defender
7.07
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Defender
6.71
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Defender
6.96
30
Nicolás Otamendi
Nicolás Otamendi Defender
7.3
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder
7.26
18
Leandro Barreiro
Leandro Barreiro Midfielder
6.93
20
Richard Ríos
Richard Ríos Midfielder
7.09
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder
6.98
6
Alexander Bah
Alexander Bah
Defender72'
6.81
25
Gianluca Prestianni
Gianluca Prestianni Midfielder
6.97
5
Enzo Barrenechea
Enzo Barrenechea
Midfielder57'
7.09
9
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović Attacker
6.89
27
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
Midfielder85'
6.86

Events

2ND-HALF
90+12'
Event
Richard Ríos
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+9'
Event
Anatoliy Trubin
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Pedro Santos → Mathias de Amorim
6th Substitution
90+3'
85'
Event
Rafa Silva → Franjo Ivanović
5th Substitution
Event
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
83'
Event
Umar Abubakar
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
78'
Event
Gustavo Sá
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
74'
Event
Roméo Beney → Gil Dias
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Umar Abubakar → Simon Elisor
2nd Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Alexander Bah → Andreas Schjelderup
3rd Substitution
Event
Mathias de Amorim
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
67'
57'
Event
Enzo Barrenechea → Gianluca Prestianni
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Nicolás Otamendi
Foul / 1st Redcard
1ST-HALF
19'
Event
Richard Ríos
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
12'
Event
Andreas Schjelderup
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
11'
Event
Franjo Ivanović
Penalty awarded

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Richard Rios receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Romeo Beney with his left foot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Richard Rios takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mathias De Amorim takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Pedro Santos comes on for Mathias De Amorim.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Anatolii Trubin receives a yellow card.
87
Attempt Attempt
Mathias De Amorim takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura from Sorriso takes a shot with his head but misses.
87
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Ferreira Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Rafael Ferreira Silva comes on for Franjo Ivanovic.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira receives a yellow card.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Umar Abubakar takes a right-footed shot and scores.
72
Update Update
Romeo Beney replaces Gil Dias.
78
Attempt Attempt
Tom van de Looi takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
72
Update Update
Umar Abubakar replaces Simon Elisor.
72
Update Update
Alexander Bahr comes on for Andreas Schjelderup.
70
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Javier Realpe Montano's header is saved.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mathias De Amorim scores with a right-footed shot.
58
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sa attempts a header but misses the shot.
55
Red Card Red Card Important
Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi receives a red card.
57
Update Update
Enzo Barrenechea is on, and Gianluca Prestianni is off.
61
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sa.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi receives a yellow card.
41
Attempt Attempt
Franjo Ivanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Franjo Ivanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Gil Dias takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
10
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Schjelderup takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
The goal is disallowed after a VAR decision for offside.
38
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura from Sorriso takes a shot with his head but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
22
Update Update
Richard Rios attempted a header, but it went wide.
25
Attempt Attempt
Gil Dias takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Franjo Ivanovic's right-footed shot is saved.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Richard Rios takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Andreas Schjelderup scores, making it 1-0.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw underscores Famalicão's second-half tenacity, overturning a 0-2 halftime deficit after Benfica's red card. With 55% possession, the hosts equalized against a depleted Benfica, who held firm despite the numerical disadvantage. This result aligns with market expectations and shows moderate deviation from Benfica's stronger pre-match standing. Efficiency held steady, though absent xG data limits deeper insights into chance quality. The red card distortion was pivotal, reshaping dynamics and preventing a Benfica victory. Famalicão gains a vital point at home, while Benfica rue the sending-off that cost them two points in a tightly contested affair.