Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Tigre preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Estudiantes de Río CuartoERC
1 0
TigreTIG
Full Time
Round 1 2nd Phase
Sergio Ojeda - 70'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto hosted Tigre in a match that ended 1-0 to the home side after a goalless first half. Tigre controlled 62 percent of possession and recorded 1.31 expected goals against the hosts 0.88 expected goals for a differential of minus 0.43. The stronger team entering the fixture was Tigre yet Estudiantes claimed the three points. No red cards were shown to either side. The final score represented a significant deviation from the underlying performance indicators and from the pre-match assessment of team strength. The outcome was not consistent with the expected goals data. Estudiantes secured victory through a single second half goal despite trailing in both possession and chance creation metrics.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto produced a significant deviation from pre-match performance expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the final result.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was inconsistent with the xG figures of 0.88 to 1.31.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Tigre generated higher xG but failed to convert the advantage into a win.
  • Event impact: A single second half goal produced the 1-0 scoreline after a 0-0 halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore no distortion affected team dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B.Ferreyra
B.Ferreyra
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Martín
D. Martín
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Viglietti
C. Viglietti
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Morón
F. Morón
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto R. Forestello
R. Forestello
VS
Tigre B. Martelotto
B. Martelotto
0.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Instituto Rank: 62 L
Rosario Central Rank: 68 L
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 65 L
Barracas Central Rank: 59 L
Aldosivi Rank: 55 D
River Plate Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rosario Central Rank: 68 D
Sarmiento Rank: 57 L
Huracán Rank: 64 D
Atlético Tucumán Rank: 60 D
Independiente Rivadavia Rank: 71 L
Banfield Rank: 59 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
39.82
64.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Tigre
Power Score
39.82
64.88
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
706
391

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Opponent-weighted form score
Tigre — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Tigre

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Tigre

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Tigre
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.50
34.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.11
27.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto -0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Tigre +0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Tigre
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
vs
Tigre
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Tigre
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
79%
32%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.69 vs -0.42
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Tigre
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
32%
79%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.42 vs -0.69
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Tigre
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
vs
Tigre
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Tigre
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.16
Tigre 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Tigre
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.00
Tigre 0.02
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Tigre
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TIG had peak pressure around 98'.
  • ERC started the game with stronger pressure.
ERC Pressure TIG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: TIG reached the top pressure at 98' (91.95).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto ERC Home
1 matches
Tigre TIG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:03:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 1 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bryan Gustavo Ferreyra
Diego Martín
Carlos Viglietti
Franco Morón

Statistics

Possession
ERC
43%
TIG
57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 7
49 Dangerous attacks 63
38 Possession 62
4 Corners 5
13 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 73
7 Goal Kicks 9
5 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 24
1 Assists 0
16 Dribble Attempts 14
12 Successful Dribbles 6
75 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

Attacking

89 Attacks 128
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

73 Long Passes 58
315 Passes 494
232 Successful Passes 403
74 Successful Passes Percentage 82
8 Key Passes 9
34 Successful Long Passes 29
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

4 Saves 1
14 Tackles 17
16 Interceptions 5
52 Duels Won 58

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 33
4 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
18 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Bryan Gustavo Ferreyra

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Bruera
Lucas Bruera Goalkeeper
7.44
29
Agustín Quiroga
Agustín Quiroga Defender
7.65
30
Sergio Ojeda
Sergio Ojeda (C) Defender
7.74
31
Matías Valenti
Matías Valenti Defender
7.39
8
Siro Rosané
Siro Rosané Midfielder
6.74
23
Fernando Rodríguez
Fernando Rodríguez
Defender68'
6.49
13
F. Romero
F. Romero Midfielder
7.76
14
Gonzalo González
Gonzalo González Midfielder
6.63
28
Facundo Cobos
Facundo Cobos Midfielder
7.54
19
Nicolás Talpone
Nicolás Talpone
Midfielder68'
6.5
10
Tomás González
Tomás González Attacker
6.93
40
Francesco Lo Celso
Francesco Lo Celso
Midfielder90+4'
16
Yeison Moreno
Yeison Moreno Attacker
6.49
9
Javier Ferreira
Javier Ferreira
Attacker58'
6.35
22
Mauro Valiente
Mauro Valiente Attacker
6.57
27
Juan Garro
Juan Garro
Attacker58'
7.1
Referee : Bryan Gustavo Ferreyra

Starting XI ▼

12
Felipe Zenobio
Felipe Zenobio (C) Goalkeeper
6.42
17
Guillermo Soto
Guillermo Soto Defender
6.72
20
Alan Barrionuevo
Alan Barrionuevo Defender
8.05
24
Federico Álvarez
Federico Álvarez Defender
7.01
32
Juan Villalba
Juan Villalba Defender
6.63
8
Martín Garay
Martín Garay Midfielder
6.61
22
Santiago López
Santiago López
Attacker77'
6.48
11
Tiago Serrago
Tiago Serrago Midfielder
5.78
50
Ignacio Peluffo
Ignacio Peluffo
Attacker77'
6.46
21
Sebastián Medina
Sebastián Medina Midfielder
6.46
28
Gonzalo Martínez
Gonzalo Martínez
Midfielder62'
7.68
27
Santiago González
Santiago González Midfielder
7.06
30
Jalil Elías
Jalil Elías
Midfielder46'
6.9
33
Elías Cabrera
Elías Cabrera Midfielder
7.16
19
Alfio Oviedo
Alfio Oviedo Attacker
6.59
29
Ignacio Russo
Ignacio Russo
Attacker62'
6.68

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Francesco Lo Celso → Tomás González
10th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Matías Valenti
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Javier Ferreira
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
77'
77'
Event
Santiago López → Martín Garay
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Ignacio Peluffo → Tiago Serrago
9th Substitution
Event
Sergio Ojeda
Header / 1st Goal
70'
Event
Fernando Rodríguez → Siro Rosané
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Nicolás Talpone → Facundo Cobos
7th Substitution
68'
62'
Event
Gonzalo Martínez → Sebastián Medina
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Ignacio Russo → Alfio Oviedo 
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Tiago Serrago
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Javier Ferreira → Yeison Moreno
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Juan Garro → Mauro Valiente
3rd Substitution
58'
46'
Event
Jalil Elías → Santiago González 
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
9'
Event
Juan Villalba
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Elias Lautaro Cabrera Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Santiago Lopez Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Santiago Lopez Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gonzalo Nicolas Martinez Left Footed Shot Saved
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gonzalo Nicolas Martinez Left Footed Shot Missed
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Matias Valenti
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Santiago Lopez Right Footed Shot Blocked
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alan Barrionuevo Head Shot Missed
84
Corner Corner
Corner
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gonzalo Nicolas Martinez Left Footed Shot Missed
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Fernando Rodriguez Left Footed Shot Blocked
78
Corner Corner
Corner
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gonzalo Nicolas Martinez Left Footed Shot Saved
77
Update Update
On Santiago Lopez，Off Martin Garay
77
Update Update
On Ignacio Peluffo，Off Tiago Serrago
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Javier Ferreira
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Sergio Ojeda Uribe Head Shot Goal
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Matias Valenti Head Shot Missed
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Sergio Ojeda Uribe 1-0
70
Corner Corner
Corner
68
Update Update
On Fernando Rodriguez，Off Siro Rosane
68
Update Update
On Nicolas Talpone，Off Facundo Cobos
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alan Barrionuevo Head Shot Blocked
65
Corner Corner
Corner
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gonzalo Nicolas Martinez Left Footed Shot Saved
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jalil Elias Right Footed Shot Missed
62
Update Update
On Ignacio Russo，Off Alfio Ovidio Oviedo
62
Update Update
On Gonzalo Nicolas Martinez，Off Sebastian Luciano Medina
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Tiago Serrago
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Siro Rosane Left Footed Shot Missed
58
Update Update
On Javier Ferreira，Off Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo
58
Update Update
On Juan Fernando Garro，Off Mauro Abrahan Valiente
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alfio Ovidio Oviedo Left Footed Shot Blocked
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Agustin Quiroga Head Shot Saved
52
Corner Corner
Corner
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Elias Lautaro Cabrera Right Footed Shot Blocked
46
Update Update
On Jalil Elias，Off Santiago Gonzalez
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Elias Lautaro Cabrera Right Footed Shot Saved
31
Corner Corner
Corner
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Federico Alvarez Left Footed Shot Blocked
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Elias Lautaro Cabrera Head Shot Missed
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mauro Abrahan Valiente Left Footed Shot Blocked
18
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Agustin Quiroga Left Footed Shot Missed
17
Corner Corner
Corner
17
Corner Corner
Corner
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Guillermo Soto Right Footed Shot Blocked
14
Update Update
Offside
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Siro Rosane Left Footed Shot Missed
9
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Juan Manuel Villalba
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Elias Lautaro Cabrera Right Footed Shot Blocked
5
Update Update
Offside
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Brian Ferreyra

CONCLUSION

The 1-0 result highlighted a clear mismatch between expected goals and actual outcome as the home side prevailed despite lower possession and chance quality. Tigre dominated the ball and created more opportunities yet could not find the net. Estudiantes maintained defensive structure after the interval to protect the lead once it was taken. The absence of dismissals allowed both teams to complete the match with full complements. This fixture demonstrated how a single clinical moment can override broader statistical trends. The significant deviation recorded by the winners underscores the variance possible even when one side controls the majority of play. Overall the data shows a low scoring encounter decided by efficiency rather than volume of chances.