Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Atlético Tucumán preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Estudiantes de Río CuartoERC
0 1
Atlético TucumánATU
Full Time
Round 5 2nd Phase
|
Goal
|
Second yellow card Ignacio Galván 89'

CONTEXT

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto hosted Atlético Tucumán in a match that ended 0-1 to the visitors. The halftime score stood at 0-0 with both teams level. Expected goals finished at 0.4 for the home side and 0.42 for the away side. Possession ended nearly even at 49 percent to 51 percent. Atlético Tucumán received one red card during the second half while Estudiantes received none. The stronger team according to pre-match indicators secured the win. The result proved consistent with the expected goals distribution despite the late numerical disadvantage for the visitors. Structural elements showed a significant deviation favoring Atlético Tucumán.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0-1 Atlético Tucumán. Atlético Tucumán showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match team strength indicators.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome aligned with the expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: The result proved consistent with market alignment metrics.
  • xG expectations: Home xG reached 0.4 while away xG reached 0.42.
  • Event impact: The away side secured victory despite the second-half red card.
  • Red card distortion: Second-half adjustments included red card distortion effects.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Echenique
F. Echenique
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Bistocco
M. Bistocco
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Bosso
G. Bosso
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Sanz
M. Sanz
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto R. Forestello
R. Forestello
VS
Atlético Tucumán J. Falcioni
J. Falcioni
0.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.93
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Independiente Rivadavia Rank: 71 L
Banfield Rank: 62 D
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 71 L
Tigre Rank: 65 W
Instituto Rank: 64 L
Rosario Central Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarmiento Rank: 58 L
Huracán Rank: 66 D
Central Cordoba SdE Rank: 63 W
Independiente Rivadavia Rank: 72 D
River Plate Rank: 68 W
Banfield Rank: 59 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
39.46
62.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Atlético Tucumán
Power Score
39.46
62.86
League Position
15
13
Global Rank
727
464

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Opponent-weighted form score
Atlético Tucumán — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Atlético Tucumán

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Atlético Tucumán

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Atlético Tucumán
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.98
23.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.43
28.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto +0.48 Efficiency Index
vs
Atlético Tucumán -0.48 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Atlético Tucumán
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
vs
Atlético Tucumán
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Atlético Tucumán
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
48%
49%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.19 vs -0.21
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Atlético Tucumán
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
49%
48%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.21 vs -0.19
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Atlético Tucumán
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
vs
Atlético Tucumán
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Atlético Tucumán
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.27
Atlético Tucumán 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Atlético Tucumán
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.02
Atlético Tucumán 0.00
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Atlético Tucumán
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ERC had peak pressure around 96'.
  • ATU started the game with stronger pressure.
ERC Pressure ATU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ERC reached the top pressure at 96' (66.70).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto ERC Home
1 matches
Atlético Tucumán ATU Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
0
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-18T00:02:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 5 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fernando Echenique
Marcelo Bistocco
Gisela Bosso
Marcelo Sanz

Statistics

Possession
ERC
51%
ATU
49%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 5
44 Dangerous attacks 59
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 7
15 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

84 Ball Safe 78
15 Goal Kicks 9
5 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 34
0 Assists 1
16 Dribble Attempts 31
7 Successful Dribbles 12
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 39

Attacking

116 Attacks 105

Possession

71 Long Passes 59
341 Passes 353
247 Successful Passes 260
72 Successful Passes Percentage 74
9 Key Passes 5
33 Successful Long Passes 19
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

Defensive

2 Saves 1
34 Tackles 21
17 Interceptions 7
79 Duels Won 59

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 28
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Fernando Echenique

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Bruera
Lucas Bruera Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Gonzalo Maffini
Gonzalo Maffini (C) Defender
7.26
30
Sergio Ojeda
Sergio Ojeda Defender
7.31
31
Matías Valenti
Matías Valenti Defender
6.91
10
Tomás González
Tomás González Midfielder
6.61
8
Siro Rosané
Siro Rosané
Midfielder57'
6.99
13
Francisco Romero
Francisco Romero Midfielder
7.26
22
Mauro Valiente
Mauro Valiente
Attacker88'
14
Gonzalo González
Gonzalo González Midfielder
6.76
19
Nicolás Talpone
Nicolás Talpone
Midfielder76'
6.61
17
Gabriel Alanís
Gabriel Alanís Midfielder
6.96
45
Raúl Lozano
Raúl Lozano
Defender76'
6.66
23
Fernando Rodríguez
Fernando Rodríguez Midfielder
6.83
16
Yeison Moreno
Yeison Moreno Attacker
6.55
9
Javier Ferreira
Javier Ferreira
Attacker57'
6.28
77
Ibrahim Hesar
Ibrahim Hesar Attacker
7.02
Referee : Fernando Echenique

Starting XI ▼

1
Luis Ingolotti
Luis Ingolotti Goalkeeper
6.86
21
Ignacio Galván
Ignacio Galván Defender
6.27
24
Leonel Di Plácido
Leonel Di Plácido Defender
6.83
26
Clever Ferreira
Clever Ferreira Defender
7.67
36
Luciano Vallejo
Luciano Vallejo Defender
7.4
10
Franco Nicola
Franco Nicola Midfielder
6.76
45
Kevin Ortiz
Kevin Ortiz
Midfielder88'
11
Renzo Tesuri
Renzo Tesuri (C) Midfielder
6.6
27
Rodrigo Granillo
Rodrigo Granillo
Attacker76'
6.41
19
Leonel Vega
Leonel Vega Midfielder
7.13
5
Julián Fernández
Julián Fernández
Midfielder88'
23
Nicolás Laméndola
Nicolás Laméndola Midfielder
6.61
28
Gabriel Compagnucci
Gabriel Compagnucci
Defender90'
31
Lautaro Godoy
Lautaro Godoy Midfielder
6.93
30
Manuel Brondo
Manuel Brondo Attacker
6.48
14
Alexis Canelo
Alexis Canelo
Attacker76'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Gabriel Compagnucci → Nicolás Laméndola
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Ignacio Galván
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Mauro Valiente → Francisco Romero
9th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Julián Fernández → Leonel Vega
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Kevin Ortiz → Franco Nicola
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Clever Ferreira
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
77'
Event
Clever Ferreira
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Raúl Lozano → Gabriel Alanís
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Nicolás Talpone → Gonzalo González
6th Substitution
76'
76'
Event
Alexis Canelo → Manuel Brondo
3rd Substitution
76'
Event
Rodrigo Granillo → Renzo Tesuri
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Ignacio Galván
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Javier Ferreira → Yeison Moreno
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Siro Rosané → Tomás González
2nd Substitution
57'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Leonel Vega
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ibrahim Hesar
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
23'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gonzalo Maffini takes a header but misses the shot.
90
Update Update
Gabriel Compagnucci comes on for Nicolas Lamendola.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card issued to Ignacio Galvan.
88
Update Update
Mauro Abrahan Valiente comes on for Francisco Romero.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Ignacio Galvan.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Ignacio Galvan.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Clever Domingo Ferreira Namandu takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Clever Domingo Ferreira Namandu takes a shot with his right foot and scores a goal.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Clever Domingo Ferreira scores, making it 0-1.
79
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Romero takes a header but misses the shot.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Clever Domingo Ferreira Namandu.
76
Update Update
Raul Lozano is on, and Gabriel Alanis is off.
76
Substitution Substitution
Nicolas Talpone is substituted for Gonzalo Gonzalez.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alexis Pedro Canelo comes on for Manuel Brondo.
76
Update Update
Rodrigo Granillo comes on for Renzo Ivan Tesuri.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ignacio Galvan receives a yellow card.
62
Attempt Attempt
Renzo Ivan Tesuri takes a shot with his right foot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro Agustin Godoy takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
Javier Ferreira comes on for Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo.
57
Update Update
Javier Ferreira is on, and Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo is off.
57
Update Update
On for Siro Rosane, off goes Tomas Gonzalez.
46
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Alanis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Fernando Rodriguez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Romero takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leonel Vega.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leonel Vega.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Update Update
Offside.
28
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro Agustin Godoy takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo takes a header but misses the shot.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibrahim Hesar receives a yellow card.
19
Attempt Attempt
Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo takes a shot with his head but misses.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Gonzalez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Alanis takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Alanis takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Franco Nicola takes a left-footed shot but misses.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Attempt Attempt
Renzo Ivan Tesuri takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Echenique Fernando.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0-1 Atlético Tucumán. Structural assessment: Atlético Tucumán exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.