Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP preview

Portugal flag 2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Gomes
Liga Portugal
Estrela AmadoraCFEA
2 – 2
Sporting CPSCP
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
B. Souza - 84'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Estrela Amadora hosted Sporting CP in a match that concluded with a 2-2 draw after an even first half that ended 0-0. Estrela Amadora recorded 44 percent possession compared to Sporting CP's 56 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.01 for the home team and 2.52 for the visitors creating an xG differential of minus 1.51. No red cards were shown to players from either side. Sporting CP entered as the stronger team yet the final result was a draw. The outcome proved inconsistent with xG projections while showing alignment with pre-match assessments. Significant deviation occurred for Sporting CP. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting CP exhibited significant structural deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall match patterns.
  • xG alignment: The 2-2 outcome was not consistent with the xG values recorded.
  • Market alignment: The draw result aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Estrela Amadora posted 1.01 xG against Sporting CP's 2.52 xG.
  • Event impact: The 0-0 halftime score shaped second half developments toward the 2-2 draw.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Ferreira Gonçalves
J. Ferreira Gonçalves
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Ribeiro
P. Ribeiro
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. da Silva Martins
M. da Silva Martins
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Costa Teixeira Afonso
J. Costa Teixeira Afonso
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Estrela Amadora P. Marques da Costa Filipe
P. Marques da Costa Filipe
VS
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
0.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.21
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 83 D
Famalicão Rank: 77 D
Moreirense Rank: 70 L
Porto Rank: 88 L
Arouca Rank: 71 L
Sporting CP Rank: 90 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gil Vicente Rank: 71 W
Rio Ave Rank: 67 W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Tondela Rank: 67 D
AVS Rank: 65 D
Benfica Rank: 89 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 4
4

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.77
89.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
Power Score
64.77
89.7
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
431
16

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Sporting CP

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Estrela Amadora

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting CP

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting CP
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.43
30.89
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.89
24.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estrela Amadora -0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting CP +0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estrela Amadora
vs
Sporting CP
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
8%
14%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.08 vs -0.36
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
14%
8%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.36 vs -0.08
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Estrela Amadora
vs
Sporting CP
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Estrela Amadora 0.26
Sporting CP 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Estrela Amadora 0.04
Sporting CP 0.06
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCP had peak pressure around 19'.
  • SCP started the game with stronger pressure.
CFEA Pressure SCP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SCP reached the top pressure at 19' (83.44).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estrela Amadora CFEA Home
4 matches
Sporting CP SCP Away
Match Record
0
Wins
4
0
Draws
0
4
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
1
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:36:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity
9000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Pedro Ribeiro
Miguel Ângelo da Silva Martins
João Pedro Costa Teixeira Afonso

Statistics

Possession
CFEA
44%
SCP
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 5
3 Shots 5
35 Dangerous attacks 46
44 Possession 56
5 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

72 Ball Safe 67
13 Goal Kicks 7
5 Goal Attempts 12
5 Substitutions 5
11 Throwins 17
15 Successful Headers 15
2 Assists 2
10 Dribble Attempts 15
10 Successful Dribbles 15
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

Attacking

91 Attacks 117
1 Counter Attacks 0

Possession

27 Long Passes 21
350 Passes 444
278 Successful Passes 391
79 Successful Passes Percentage 88
7 Key Passes 13

Defensive

5 Saves 0
10 Tackles 14
6 Interceptions 9
56 Duels Won 64

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Starting XI ▼

24
Léo Linck
Léo Linck Goalkeeper
7.51
4
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo Defender
6.6
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Defender
6.28
17
Jefferson Encada
Jefferson Encada
Defender74'
6.67
30
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick (C) Defender
6.59
55
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Defender
6.65
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Midfielder
6.71
93
B. Souza
B. Souza
Midfielder74'
6.89
14
Lovro Zvonarek
Lovro Zvonarek Midfielder
6.95
39
Eddy Doué
Eddy Doué Midfielder
6.78
78
Santiago Ferreira Serra
Santiago Ferreira Serra Midfielder
6.5
8
Robinho
Robinho
Midfielder65'
6.73
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Midfielder
5.96
80
Alisson Souza de Jesus
Alisson Souza de Jesus
Attacker89'
37
Leandro Antonetti
Leandro Antonetti Attacker
7.15
9
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Attacker89'
Referee : João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Starting XI ▼

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
5.86
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Defender
6.61
22
Iván Fresneda
Iván Fresneda
Defender78'
6.2
25
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio (C) Defender
6.56
50
Rodrigo Dias
Rodrigo Dias Defender
7.04
72
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma Defender
7.28
5
Sergi Altimira
Sergi Altimira Midfielder
7.43
10
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo Midfielder
7.49
31
Luís Guilherme
Luís Guilherme
Attacker78'
6.62
17
Rodrigo Zalazar
Rodrigo Zalazar Midfielder
8.76
58
Flávio Gonçalves
Flávio Gonçalves Midfielder
7.1
4
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen
Midfielder61'
6.3
77
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Midfielder
6.42
28
Jesse Derry
Jesse Derry
Attacker82'
6.39
7
Fotis Ioannidis
Fotis Ioannidis Attacker
6.25
97
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez
Attacker61'
6.19

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
B. Souza
Holding / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Jesse Derry
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Sydney van Hooijdonk → Leandro Antonetti 
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Alisson Souza de Jesus → Abraham Marcus
10th Substitution
89'
Event
B. Souza
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
84'
82'
Event
Jesse Derry → Issa Doumbia
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Iván Fresneda → Georgios Vagiannidis
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Luís Guilherme → Geny Catamo
7th Substitution
Event
Jefferson Encada → Max Scholze
4th Substitution
74'
Event
B. Souza → Ianis Stoica
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Leandro Antonetti 
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
72'
67'
Event
Luis Suárez
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Robinho → Santiago Ferreira Serra
3rd Substitution
65'
61'
Event
Silas Andersen → Flávio Gonçalves
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Luis Suárez → Fotis Ioannidis
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Fotis Ioannidis
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Eddy Doué
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard
52'
46'
Event
Rodrigo Zalazar
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jesse Derry receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Beni Souza receives a yellow card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Update Update
On Beni Souza, off Abraham Marcus.
89
Substitution Substitution
Sydney van Hooijdonk is substituted for Leandro Antonetti.
86
Attempt Attempt
Abraham Marcus takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Beni Souza scores with a left-footed shot.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Beni Souza scores, making it 2-2.
82
Update Update
Jesse Derry is on, and Issa Doumbia is off.
82
Attempt Attempt
Bernardo Schappo attempts a header but misses the shot.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Substitution Substitution
Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos is substituted for Geny Catamo.
78
Substitution Substitution
Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos is substituted for Geny Catamo.
77
Update Update
Ivan Fresneda Corraliza is on, and Georgios Vagiannidis is off.
75
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Zvonarek's header is saved.
74
Update Update
On Jefferson Anilson Silva Encada, off Max Scholze.
74
Update Update
Beni Souza comes on for Ianis Stoica.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Leandro Antonetti takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
68
Attempt Attempt
Ianis Stoica takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Luis Javier Suarez Charris.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Attempt Attempt
Eddy Doué has a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Silas Andersen comes on for Flavio Goncalves.
61
Update Update
Luis Javier Suarez Charris is on, and Fotis Ioannidis is off.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Fotis Ioannidis scores with a right-footed shot.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fotis Ioannidis scores to make it 0-2, assisted by Rodrigo Zalazar.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Geny Catamo takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Fotis Ioannidis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fotis Ioannidis scores to make it 0-2, assisted by Rodrigo Zalazar.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Eddy Doué receives a yellow card.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Rodrigo Zalazar with his right foot results in a goal.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rodrigo Zalazar scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Geny Catamo.
44
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
42
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Zvonarek takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Flavio Goncalves attempts a header but misses the shot.
38
Attempt Attempt
Abraham Marcus takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Fotis Ioannidis with his right foot is saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Fotis Ioannidis takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Fotis Ioannidis Head Shot Missed
16
Attempt Attempt
Fotis Ioannidis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Zalazar takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Flavio Goncalves takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
8
Update Update
Offside.
6
Attempt Attempt
Fotis Ioannidis takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw between Estrela Amadora and Sporting CP highlighted a mismatch between expected goal creation and actual scoring output. Sporting CP generated substantially higher xG yet could not convert the advantage into a victory. Possession favored the visitors but failed to translate into a decisive edge on the scoreboard. The even halftime score set the stage for a balanced second period where both sides found the net twice. No disciplinary actions altered the flow of play. Analytical review shows the result deviated notably for the stronger side while maintaining consistency with broader indicators. This outcome underscores the variance possible between underlying metrics and final tallies in competitive fixtures.