Estrela Amadora vs Famalicão preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Gomes Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Estrela AmadoraCFEA
FamalicãoFCF
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Estrela Amadora host Famalicão in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio José Gomes. Domestically, Estrela Amadora sit 15th in the table while Famalicão are 5th. Power ranking favours Famalicão by 16 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Estrela Amadora rank 15th domestically, while Famalicão sit 5th in the Liga Portugal table.
  • Form: Both teams have a form score of 0 with no recent outings or records provided.
  • Squad: Famalicão possess a higher power score of 74.49 versus Estrela Amadora's 58.46.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: No specific transition play metrics are available for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence using proxy data with no xG available for both sides.
  • xVariable: Famalicão hold a 16-point power advantage over Estrela Amadora.
  • Market: Estrela Amadora 24.7% (Δ-0.9%) | Draw 28% (Δ+1.5%) | Famalicão 47.3% (Δ-0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Estrela Amadora A. Rocha Simão
A. Rocha Simão
VS
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Moreirense Rank: 67 L
Porto Rank: 86 L
Arouca Rank: 64 L
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
Nacional Rank: 65 L
Casa Pia Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Benfica Rank: 87 D
Estoril Rank: 67 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Moreirense Rank: 68 D
Porto Rank: 87 D
Nacional Rank: 65 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Estrela Amadora
24.71%
Draw
28%
Away Famalicão
47.29%

Movement

Changes since opening
Estrela Amadora
-0.9%
Draw
+1.5%
Famalicão
-0.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.46
74.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
Power Score
58.46
74.49
League Position
15
5
Global Rank
547
124

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Famalicão

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Ribeiro
40 R. Ribeiro
M. Scholze
21 M. Scholze
L. Wiedthauper
30 L. Wiedthauper
J. Silva Encada
17 J. Silva Encada
B. Langa
24 B. Langa
P. Valente Moreira
19 P. Valente Moreira
A. Mussolo Sola
63 A. Mussolo Sola
A. Marcus
99 A. Marcus
J. Borges Cabral
11 J. Borges Cabral
I. Stoica
10 I. Stoica
R. Pereira de Pinho
9 R. Pereira de Pinho

General Information

Date & Time
May 11, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity
9000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Diogo Rosa
Fabio Verssimo
Pedro Nuno de Sá Martins
Hugo Alexandre França Luís Coimbra

Expected Lineup

Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

40
Renan Ribeiro
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper
6.71
9
Rodrigo Pinho
Rodrigo Pinho Centre Forward
6.77
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Left Wing
6.73
11
Jovane Cabral
Jovane Cabral Attacking Midfield
7.12
17
Jefferson Encada
Jefferson Encada Left Back
6.64
24
Bruno Langa
Bruno Langa Left Back
6.75
30
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick Right Back
6.79
63
Alex Sola
Alex Sola Defensive Midfield
6.53
19
Paulo Moreira
Paulo Moreira Defensive Midfield
6.6
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Right Back
6.75
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Right Wing
7.06
Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
7.01
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Centre Forward
6.71
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Right Wing
7.02
3
Léo Realpe
Léo Realpe Right Back
6.87
5
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Left Back
6.77
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Defensive Midfield
6.9
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Left Wing
7.05
20
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá Attacking Midfield
6.98
2
Garcia
Garcia Right Back
6.65
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Defensive Midfield
6.96
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Left Back
7.07

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Famalicão holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Famalicão a 16-point edge. External projection is Estrela Amadora 25.7%, draw 26.6%, and Famalicão 47.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.