Estrela Amadora vs Al Nassr preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Estádio José Gomes Sat, 1 Aug - 5:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
Estrela AmadoraCFEA
4 2
Al NassrANA
Full Time Sat, 1 Aug 5:00 PM
Regular Season
B. Souza - 90+8'
Goal
|
Goal
|
Red Card Bento 52'

CONTEXT

Estrela Amadora defeated Al Nassr by a final score of 4-2. The halftime score was 1-0 to the home side. Estrela Amadora recorded 47 percent possession while Al Nassr held 53 percent. Al Nassr was considered the stronger team beforehand yet finished with one red card. The deviation from pre-match indicators reached a significant level with Estrela Amadora as the beneficiary. No xG figures were available for either team. The second half included adjustments linked to the red card. The result showed consistency with available efficiency measures and aligned with market indicators despite the absence of detailed expected goals data. The match demonstrated how personnel changes can alter game flow after the interval.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Estrela Amadora produced a significant structural deviation by defeating the stronger Al Nassr.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the recorded performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment remained undetermined because no xG data was recorded.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved market aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing metrics.
  • Event impact: Key events shaped the progression toward the 4-2 final score.
  • Red card distortion: The red card to Al Nassr introduced distortion during the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
João Veríssimo
João Veríssimo
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
VS
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Nassr
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Merida Rank: L
Benfica II Rank: 60 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.28
72.98
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estrela Amadora
Al Nassr
Power Score
65.28
72.98
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
450
226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Al Nassr — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Al Nassr

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Estrela Amadora

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Al Nassr

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Al Nassr
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.15
20.19
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.19
44.15
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estrela Amadora +0.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Al Nassr -0.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Al Nassr
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Al Nassr
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estrela Amadora Al Nassr
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Al Nassr
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Al Nassr
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Estrela Amadora
vs
Al Nassr
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Estrela Amadora Al Nassr
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Estrela Amadora 0.54
Al Nassr 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Al Nassr
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Estrela Amadora 0.06
Al Nassr 0.11
Estrela Amadora
Al Nassr
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ANA had peak pressure around 92'.
  • CFEA started the game with stronger pressure.
CFEA Pressure ANA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ANA reached the top pressure at 92' (68.98).

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 01, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity
9000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
João Veríssimo

Statistics

Possession
CFEA
51%
ANA
49%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
12 Shots 5
35 Dangerous attacks 34
47 Possession 53
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

22 Ball Safe 23
3 Goal Attempts 1
12 Substitutions 9

Attacking

83 Attacks 95

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 86
16 Key Passes 8

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
3 Fouls 3

Squad

Referee : João Veríssimo

Squad ▼

22
David Allen Grilo
David Allen Grilo Goalkeeper
13
Eduardo dos Santos Haesler
Eduardo dos Santos Haesler Goalkeeper
—
Leonardo Matias Baiersdorf Linck
Leonardo Matias Baiersdorf Linck Goalkeeper
1
Diogo de Carvalho Pinto
Diogo de Carvalho Pinto Goalkeeper
—
Luís Rafael Soares Alves
Luís Rafael Soares Alves Defender
5
Issiar Dramé
Issiar Dramé Defender
17
Jefferson Anilson Silva Encada
Jefferson Anilson Silva Encada Defender
14
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo Defender
—
Atanas Atanasov Chernev
Atanas Atanasov Chernev Defender
30
Luan Patrick Wiedthauper
Luan Patrick Wiedthauper Defender
4
Stefan Leković
Stefan Leković Defender
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Defender
6
Kevin Höög-Jansson
Kevin Höög-Jansson Midfielder
—
Lovro Zvonarek
Lovro Zvonarek Midfielder
28
Tom Moustier
Tom Moustier Midfielder
8
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho Midfielder
39
Eddy Gueladan Doué
Eddy Gueladan Doué Midfielder
9
Rodrigo Cunha Pereira de Pinho
Rodrigo Cunha Pereira de Pinho Attacker
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Attacker
20
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Sydney van Hooijdonk Attacker
77
Leandro Antonetti
Leandro Antonetti Attacker
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Attacker
70
Chilohem Chukwuma Onuoha
Chilohem Chukwuma Onuoha Attacker
—
Beni Yvan Roy Loussakou Souza
Beni Yvan Roy Loussakou Souza Attacker
80
Alisson Souza de Jesus
Alisson Souza de Jesus Attacker
Referee : João Veríssimo

Squad ▼

24
Bento Matheus Krepski
Bento Matheus Krepski Goalkeeper
1
Nawaf Alaqidi
Nawaf Alaqidi Goalkeeper
26
Íñigo Martínez Berridi
Íñigo Martínez Berridi Defender
2
Sultan Abdullah Al Ghanam
Sultan Abdullah Al Ghanam Defender
5
Abdulelah Al Amri
Abdulelah Al Amri Defender
3
Mohamed Simakan
Mohamed Simakan Defender
4
Nader Abdullah Al Sharari
Nader Abdullah Al Sharari Defender
12
Nawaf Boushal
Nawaf Boushal Defender
23
Ayman Yahya
Ayman Yahya Defender
96
Saad Fahad Al Nasser
Saad Fahad Al Nasser Defender
83
Salem Al Najdi
Salem Al Najdi Defender
—
Majed Mohammed
Majed Mohammed Defender
70
Awad Aman
Awad Aman Defender
—
Aser Abdulfatah Hawsawi
Aser Abdulfatah Hawsawi Defender
—
Abdulmajeed Mohammed Al Sulaiheem
Abdulmajeed Mohammed Al Sulaiheem Midfielder
14
Sami Khalil Al Naji
Sami Khalil Al Naji Midfielder
17
Abdullah Alkhaibari
Abdullah Alkhaibari Midfielder
19
Ali Al Hassan
Ali Al Hassan Midfielder
18
Abdulmalik Al Jaber
Abdulmalik Al Jaber Midfielder
8
Hayder Abdulkareem Tawfeeq Tofee
Hayder Abdulkareem Tawfeeq Tofee Midfielder
7
Cristiano Ronaldo dos Santos Aveiro
Cristiano Ronaldo dos Santos Aveiro Attacker
10
Sadio Mané
Sadio Mané Attacker
21
Kingsley Coman
Kingsley Coman Attacker
79
João Félix Sequeira
João Félix Sequeira Attacker
—
Haroune Camara
Haroune Camara Attacker
—
Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio
Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio Attacker
9
Abdullah Al Hamdan
Abdullah Al Hamdan Attacker
16
Mohammed Maran
Mohammed Maran Attacker
20
Ângelo Gabriel Borges Damaceno
Ângelo Gabriel Borges Damaceno Attacker
—
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
B. Souza
6th Goal
90+8'
Event
Tom Moustier
4th Yellowcard
90+4'
90'
Event
Haydeer Abdulkareem
5th Goal
85'
Event
Haydeer Abdulkareem → Ângelo
21st Substitution
Event
David Grilo → Diogo Pinto
18th Substitution
81'
Event
N. Malaca → Max Scholze
19th Substitution
81'
Event
Emerson Vanga → Lovro Zvonarek
20th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Abdullah Al-Hamdan
4th Goal
Event
Sydney van Hooijdonk
3rd Goal
78'
76'
Event
M. Almas → Ali Al-Hassan
17th Substitution
Event
Sydney van Hooijdonk → Eddy Doué
15th Substitution
75'
Event
Tom Moustier → Leandro Antonetti 
16th Substitution
75'
74'
Event
Awad Aman → Nader Al-Sharari
13th Substitution
74'
Event
A. Al Jaber → Saad Al-Nasser
14th Substitution
Event
Atanas Chernev → Bernardo Schappo
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Jefferson Encada → Rafa Soares
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Robinho → Santiago Ferreira Serra
10th Substitution
64'
Event
Alisson Souza de Jesus → Abraham Marcus
11th Substitution
64'
Event
B. Souza → Ianis Stoica
12th Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Abdullah Al-Hamdan → Mohammed Marran
7th Substitution
64'
Event
Abdullah Al-Khaibari → Sami Al-Najei
8th Substitution
64'
Event
Iñigo Martínez → Mohamed Simakan
9th Substitution
Event
Stefan Leković → Luan Patrick
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Diogo Pinto → Léo Linck
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Abraham Marcus
2nd Goal
62'
56'
Event
Abdulrahman Al-Otaibi → Saad Haqawi
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Mohamed Simakan
3rd Yellowcard
52'
Event
Bento
1st Redcard
48'
Event
Rakan Al-Ghamdi → A. Sufyani
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Ângelo
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Leandro Antonetti 
1st Goal
25'
Event
Santiago Ferreira Serra
1st Yellowcard
17'

CONCLUSION

The 4-2 outcome reflected Estrela Amadora capitalizing on opportunities after the interval once Al Nassr operated with reduced personnel. Possession figures indicated a balanced contest yet the home side converted its chances more effectively. Absence of xG data limited deeper statistical comparison but available measures supported the efficiency alignment noted. The significant deviation from expected team hierarchy underscores how single events such as the red card can reshape second-half dynamics. Estrela Amadora maintained structure to secure the win while Al Nassr struggled to adapt following the dismissal. Overall the match illustrated the influence of in-game adjustments on final results when pre-match assumptions encounter real-time disruptions.