Estoril vs Famalicão preview

Portugal flag 2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Fri, 7 Aug - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
EstorilEPF
1 – 1
FamalicãoFCF
Full Time Fri, 7 Aug 7:15 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Estoril hosted Famalicão in a match that concluded 1-1. Famalicão led 0-1 at halftime. The home side recorded 0.87 expected goals while the visitors posted 1.29 expected goals for a differential of -0.42. Both teams held 50 percent possession. No red cards were issued. Famalicão entered as the stronger side yet the result finished level. The outcome aligned with the expected goals distribution and showed significant structural deviation attributed to Famalicão. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant deviation occurred with Famalicão as the attributed side.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed patterns.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 result proved consistent with the xG distribution.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Famalicão generated 1.29 xG against Estoril's 0.87 xG.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments altered the 1-1 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were recorded in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Monteiro Fonseca
M. Monteiro Fonseca
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Ferreira Martins
J. Ferreira Martins
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Costa
A. Costa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Costa Veríssimo
F. Costa Veríssimo
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Estoril V. Lopes Matos
V. Lopes Matos
VS
Famalicão C. Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal
C. Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal
0.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.93
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Benfica Rank: 89 L
Alverca Rank: 69 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 83 D
Famalicão Rank: 77 L
Moreirense Rank: 69 L
Porto Rank: 88 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alverca Rank: 69 W
Estrela Amadora Rank: 64 D
Benfica Rank: 89 D
Estoril Rank: 70 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 83 D
Moreirense Rank: 69 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.28
76.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estoril
Famalicão
Power Score
70.28
76.51
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
260
127

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estoril — Opponent-weighted form score
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estoril Famalicão

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Estoril

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Famalicão

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estoril ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Famalicão
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.10
13.60
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.60
32.10
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estoril +1.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Famalicão -1.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estoril
Famalicão
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estoril
vs
Famalicão
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estoril Famalicão
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
51%
18%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.45 vs -0.24
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estoril Famalicão
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
18%
51%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.24 vs -0.45
Estoril
Famalicão
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Estoril
vs
Famalicão
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Estoril Famalicão
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Estoril 0.34
Famalicão 0.38
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Estoril Famalicão
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Estoril 0.06
Famalicão 0.02
Estoril
Famalicão
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • EPF had peak pressure around 23'.
  • EPF started the game with stronger pressure.
EPF Pressure FCF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: EPF reached the top pressure at 23' (81.71).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estoril EPF Home
4 matches
Famalicão FCF Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
2
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-08T00:05:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 07, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca
João Pedro Ferreira Martins
André Costa
Fábio José Costa Veríssimo

Statistics

Possession
EPF
50%
FCF
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 2
41 Dangerous attacks 16
50 Possession 50
7 Corners 6
13 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

62 Ball Safe 80
7 Goal Kicks 9
8 Goal Attempts 4
4 Substitutions 4
16 Throwins 24
13 Successful Headers 12
13 Dribble Attempts 15
4 Successful Dribbles 9
31 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

Attacking

68 Attacks 50
0 Big Chances Missed 1
0 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

42 Long Passes 38
428 Passes 433
360 Successful Passes 363
84 Successful Passes Percentage 84
11 Key Passes 4
19 Successful Long Passes 13
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

Defensive

0 Saves 2
17 Tackles 18
14 Interceptions 13
45 Duels Won 51

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 10
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Starting XI ▼

1
Joel Robles
Joel Robles Goalkeeper
6.47
2
Ricard Sánchez
Ricard Sánchez Defender
6.29
22
Pedro Carvalho
Pedro Carvalho
Defender66'
6.92
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Defender
6.75
4
Ferro
Ferro Defender
6.5
15
Ismael Sierra
Ismael Sierra Defender
6.96
5
Antef Tsoungui
Antef Tsoungui Midfielder
6.55
90
Tiago Araújo Brito
Tiago Araújo Brito
Midfielder87'
7
André Lacximicant
André Lacximicant Midfielder
7.02
98
Fabrício Garcia
Fabrício Garcia
Attacker66'
6.72
8
Xeka
Xeka Midfielder
6.82
6
Jandro Orellana
Jandro Orellana
Midfielder83'
6.58
12
João Carvalho
João Carvalho (C) Midfielder
6.91
99
Rafik Guitane
Rafik Guitane Midfielder
6.83
14
Yanis Begraoui
Yanis Begraoui Attacker
7.16
Referee : Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
6.65
3
Léo Realpe
Léo Realpe Defender
6.77
4
Finn van Breemen
Finn van Breemen Defender
6.67
17
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Rodrigo Pinheiro Defender
6.55
28
Pedro Bondo
Pedro Bondo Defender
6.55
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi (C) Midfielder
6.68
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Midfielder
6.94
18
Roméo Beney
Roméo Beney
Attacker77'
6.53
10
Pedro Santos
Pedro Santos Midfielder
6.37
21
Tamás Szűcs
Tamás Szűcs
Midfielder66'
6.23
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Midfielder
6.82
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Midfielder
6.94
11
Óscar Aranda
Óscar Aranda
Attacker77'
6.72
70
Georgios Koutsias
Georgios Koutsias Attacker
7.26
9
Umar Abubakar
Umar Abubakar
Attacker83'
6.73

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Roméo Beney
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Tiago Araújo Brito → Antef Tsoungui
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Jandro Orellana → Xeka
7th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Umar Abubakar → Georgios Koutsias
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Óscar Aranda → Gil Dias
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Roméo Beney → Sorriso
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Yanis Begraoui
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
72'
Event
Pedro Carvalho → Ricard Sánchez
1st Substitution
66'
Event
Fabrício Garcia → André Lacximicant
2nd Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Tamás Szűcs → Pedro Santos
3rd Substitution
Event
Ricard Sánchez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
53'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Georgios Koutsias
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Romeo Beney.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Update Update
Tiago Araujo Brito is on, and Antef Tsoungui is off.
83
Substitution Substitution
Tiago Araujo Brito is substituted for Antef Tsoungui.
83
Update Update
Umar Abubakar comes on for Georgios Koutsias.
83
Update Update
Alejandro Orellana Gomez comes on for Xeka.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Romeo Beney with his left foot, but he misses.
78
Update Update
Oscar Aranda Subiela comes on for Gil Dias.
78
Update Update
On comes Romeo Beney, off goes Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura for Sorriso.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
76
Attempt Attempt
Ismael Sierra Arnal attempted a header but missed the shot.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yanis Begraoui scores with a left-footed shot.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yanis Begraoui scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Pedro Carvalho.
67
Update Update
Tamas Szucs is on, and Pedro Santos is off.
66
Substitution Substitution
Pedro Carvalho is substituted for Ricard Sanchez Sendra.
66
Update Update
Fabricio Garcia Andrade comes on for Andre Lacximicant.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
Offside.
54
Update Update
Offside.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Andre Lacximicant with a header, but it misses the target.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Attempt Attempt
Rafik Guitane takes a left-footed shot but misses.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Georgios Koutsias scores with a left-footed shot.
32
Attempt Attempt
Gil Dias takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Georgios Koutsias scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Gil Dias.
28
Attempt Attempt
Tom van de Looi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Andre Lacximicant with his right foot, but it's saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot missed with a left-footed attempt.
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Xeka Head Shot Missed
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Joao Antonio Antunes Carvalho takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Joao Antonio Antunes Carvalho takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Joao Antonio Antunes Carvalho takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Attempt Attempt
Fernando Medrano takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Antef Tsoungui takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
Update Update
Offside.
5
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Andre Lacximicant with his left foot, but it’s saved.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw reflected the underlying xG values with Famalicão creating the higher share at 1.29 against Estoril's 0.87. Possession finished evenly split at 50 percent each. The halftime deficit of 0-1 for the home side was overturned without major structural changes after the interval. Outcome consistency with expected goals held true and efficiency metrics showed no notable shift. Absence of red cards removed any potential distortion from the result. Famalicão as the stronger side produced the expected volume yet could not secure the win. The match demonstrated balanced control with limited deviation beyond the noted significant element.