Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96 preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
Stadion der Freundschaft Sun, 9 Aug - 11:30 AM
2. Bundesliga
Energie CottbusENE
3 1
Hannover 96HAN
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 11:30 AM
Round 1 Regular Season
Tolcay Cigerci  - 14', 71' (P)
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Energie Cottbus 3–1 Hannover 96. The result saw Energie Cottbus take the points. Energie Cottbus showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Energie Cottbus 1.6 – 3.1 Hannover 96. Possession was 45%–55%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Energie Cottbus 3-1 Hannover 96. Energie Cottbus showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics observed.
  • xG alignment: The final result did not align with the expected goals as Hannover 96 held a higher xG value.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Hannover 96 exceeded xG expectations in possession and chances but fell short in the scoreline.
  • Event impact: The second half adjustments led to a decisive impact on the match result.
  • Red card distortion: With no red cards issued there was no red card distortion affecting the game.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Erbst
L. Erbst
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Bergmann
M. Bergmann
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Kabalakli
C. Kabalakli
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Sather
A. Sather
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Energie Cottbus C. Wollitz
C. Wollitz
VS
Hannover 96 C. Titz
C. Titz
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nürnberg Rank: 75 D
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 74 D
Preußen Münster Rank: 67 D
Karlsruher SC Rank: 72 W
Paderborn Rank: 78 D
Darmstadt 98 Rank: 74 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
42.03
76.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
Power Score
42.03
76.79
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
218
125

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Energie Cottbus — Opponent-weighted form score
Hannover 96 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Energie Cottbus Hannover 96

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Energie Cottbus

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hannover 96

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Energie Cottbus ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hannover 96
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.78
54.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
54.73
28.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Energie Cottbus -2.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Hannover 96 +2.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Energie Cottbus
vs
Hannover 96
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Energie Cottbus Hannover 96
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
63%
31%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.01 vs -0.97
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Energie Cottbus Hannover 96
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
31%
63%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.97 vs +0.01
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Energie Cottbus
vs
Hannover 96
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Energie Cottbus Hannover 96
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Energie Cottbus 0.63
Hannover 96 0.44
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Energie Cottbus Hannover 96
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Energie Cottbus 0.02
Hannover 96 0.16
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAN had peak pressure around 45'.
  • HAN started the game with stronger pressure.
ENE Pressure HAN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAN reached the top pressure at 45' (100.00).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-3-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion der Freundschaft
Capacity
22528
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lars Erbst
Manuel Bergmann
Cengiz Kabalakli
Alexander Sather

Statistics

Possession
ENE
46%
HAN
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 6
4 Shots 8
19 Dangerous attacks 62
45 Possession 55
2 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

105 Ball Safe 80
1 Penalties 0
9 Goal Kicks 6
7 Goal Attempts 17
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 23
0 Hit Woodwork 2
12 Successful Headers 9
1 Assists 0
14 Dribble Attempts 14
8 Successful Dribbles 11
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 79

Attacking

91 Attacks 83
0 Big Chances Missed 6

Possession

72 Long Passes 42
367 Passes 428
274 Successful Passes 354
75 Successful Passes Percentage 83
7 Key Passes 19
25 Successful Long Passes 21
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

8 Saves 1
12 Tackles 12
6 Interceptions 9
43 Duels Won 42

Build-up

5 Total Crosses 22
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Lars Erbst

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lotka
Marcel Lotka Goalkeeper
8.34
2
King Manu
King Manu Defender
7.54
3
Henry Rorig
Henry Rorig Defender
7.14
21
Luca Erlein
Luca Erlein Defender
7.27
42
Jannis Zaydan
Jannis Zaydan Defender
6.76
11
Moritz Hannemann
Moritz Hannemann
Attacker46'
7.05
8
Lukas Michelbrink
Lukas Michelbrink Midfielder
6.55
9
Lucas Copado
Lucas Copado Midfielder
6.54
31
Justin Butler
Justin Butler
Attacker46'
7.09
10
Tolcay Cigerci
Tolcay Cigerci (C) Midfielder
2
8.31
20
Axel Borgmann
Axel Borgmann
Defender83'
6.33
19
Jannis Boziaris
Jannis Boziaris Midfielder
6.65
23
Fousseny Doumbia
Fousseny Doumbia
Defender46'
6.55
32
Leonardo Bittencourt
Leonardo Bittencourt Midfielder
6.57
5
Dominik Pelivan
Dominik Pelivan
Midfielder77'
6.4
18
Erik Engelhardt
Erik Engelhardt Attacker
6.55
Referee : Lars Erbst

Starting XI ▼

1
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz Goalkeeper
5.84
3
Boris Tomiak
Boris Tomiak Defender
6.65
20
Ime Okon
Ime Okon
Defender79'
6.58
4
Jean Hugonet
Jean Hugonet Defender
6.4
17
Bastian Allgeier
Bastian Allgeier Defender
6.58
8
Waniss Taïbi
Waniss Taïbi Midfielder
6.85
23
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson (C) Midfielder
7.52
29
Kolja Oudenne
Kolja Oudenne Midfielder
6.85
33
Maurice Neubauer
Maurice Neubauer Midfielder
7.49
13
Franz Roggow
Franz Roggow
Midfielder79'
6.5
7
Mustapha Bundu
Mustapha Bundu Attacker
7.06
27
Hayate Matsuda
Hayate Matsuda
Defender79'
6.68
9
Benjamin Källman
Benjamin Källman Attacker
6.41
11
Benedikt Pichler
Benedikt Pichler
Attacker63'
6.21
25
Lars Gindorf
Lars Gindorf Attacker
7.48
28
Taycan Etcibasi
Taycan Etcibasi
Attacker79'
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Jean Hugonet
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Axel Borgmann   → Tolcay Cigerci 
10th Substitution
83'
79'
Event
Taycan Etcibasi → Lars Gindorf
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Hayate Matsuda → Mustapha Bundu
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Ime Okon → Boris Tomiak
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Franz Roggow → Maurice Neubauer
9th Substitution
Event
Dominik Pelivan → Leonardo Bittencourt
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Justin Butler
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
76'
Event
Tolcay Cigerci 
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
71'
63'
Event
Benedikt Pichler → Benjamin Källman
4th Substitution
Event
Justin Butler → Lucas Copado
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Fousseny Doumbia  → Jannis Boziaris
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Moritz Hannemann → Jannis Zaydan
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Event
Boris Tomiak
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
28'
Event
Maurice Neubauer
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Tolcay Cigerci 
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
14'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Kolja Oudenne takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jean Hugonet takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Jean Hugonet takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Taycan Macid Etcibasi with his right foot is saved.
83
Update Update
Axel Borgmann is on, and Tolcay Cigerci is off.
79
Update Update
Axel Borgmann is on, and Tolcay Cigerci is off.
79
Update Update
Franz Roggow comes on for Maurice Neubauer.
79
Update Update
On Taycan Macid Etcibasi, off Lars Gindorf.
79
Substitution Substitution
Ime Okon is substituted for Boris Tomiak.
79
Update Update
Hayate Matsuda comes on, and Mustapha Bundu goes off.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Dominik Pelivan replaces Leonardo Bittencourt.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Justin Butlers Profile Right Footed Shot Goal
76
Attempt Attempt
King Samuel Manu attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Justin Butler scores to make it 3-1, assisted by Luca Erlein.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Tolcay Cigerci with his left foot finds the back of the net.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Tolcay Cigerci scores, making it 2-1.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! The score is now 2-1.
65
Attempt Attempt
Kolja Oudenne's right-footed shot is saved.
65
Attempt Attempt
Waniss Taibi takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
Benedikt Pichler comes on for Benjamin Kallman.
63
Attempt Attempt
Benedikt Pichler attempts a header but misses the shot.
56
Attempt Attempt
Lars Gindorf takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Lars Gindorf takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
On Justin Butler's profile, Lucas Copado is off the field.
46
Update Update
Fousseny Doumbia is on, and Jannis Boziaris is off.
46
Update Update
Fousseny Doumbia comes on for Jannis Boziaris.
46
Update Update
Moritz Hannemann is on, and Jannis Zaydan is off.
45
Update Update
First half ends with the score at 1-1.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Boris Tomiak receives a yellow card.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lars Gindorf takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Lars Gindorf attempts a header but misses the shot.
41
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Teitur Thordarson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Lars Gindorf takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Mustapha Bundu takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Attempt Attempt
Lars Gindorf takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Kallman takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
34
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Kallman takes a right-footed shot, but it misses.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Maurice Neubauer with his left foot results in a goal.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Maurice Neubauer scores, making it 1-1.
27
Attempt Attempt
Kolja Oudenne takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Maurice Neubauer scores, making it 1-1.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Kolja Oudenne with his right foot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jean Hugonet Head Shot Missed
19
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Teitur Thordarson takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
19
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Teitur Thordarson takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
18
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Teitur Thordarson takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
18
Attempt Attempt
Lars Gindorf takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Kolja Oudenne takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tolcay Cigerci scores to make it 1-0.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Tolcay Cigerci with his left foot results in a goal.
12
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Lucas Copado with his right foot is saved.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
8
Attempt Attempt
Mustapha Bundu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Lars Erbst.

CONCLUSION

The victory by Energie Cottbus against Hannover 96 serves as a reminder of the unpredictable nature of football matches. Despite statistical indicators favoring the visitors the home team demonstrated superior execution on the day to claim the 3-1 win. This result highlights the importance of efficiency in front of goal and the ability to capitalize on limited opportunities when they arise. With the scoreline ending 3-1 Cottbus fans can celebrate a memorable win that boosts their standing in the competition. The even halftime score of 1-1 set the stage for an exciting second period where the decisive goals were scored. Overall the match provided valuable insights into team dynamics and performance under pressure from start to finish.