Elfsborg vs Sirius preview
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Elfsborg hosted Sirius in a match that ended with a 1-3 final score after a scoreless first half. The second half produced all four goals with Sirius claiming three and Elfsborg one. Expected goals finished at 2.56 for Elfsborg and 2.63 for Sirius creating a narrow differential of minus 0.07. Possession split nearly evenly at 49 percent for the home side and 51 percent for the visitors. No red cards occurred and the outcome proved consistent with expected goals. Sirius entered as the stronger team and delivered the victory in line with that assessment. The significant deviation registered fully toward Sirius while efficiency remained in line with underlying metrics.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Deviation reached 100 percent and registered as significant toward Sirius.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with underlying performance indicators.
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xG alignment: Final result stayed consistent with the close expected goals values.
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Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match indicators for the stronger side.
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xG expectations: Home xG of 2.56 and away xG of 2.63 produced a differential of minus 0.07.
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Event impact: All goals occurred in the second half after a 0-0 halftime.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were recorded for either side during the match.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
57.8
68.15
Elfsborg
Sirius
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Elfsborg
Sirius
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Elfsborg
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
Sirius
Elfsborg
Sirius
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
Sirius
Elfsborg
Sirius
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ELF had peak pressure around 50'.
- SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-20T00:00:25+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
Elfsborg
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League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Jul - 2:30 PM
Venue: Malmö Stadion
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vs
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League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Jul - 12:00 PM
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Match Commentary