Elfsborg vs Sirius preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena
Allsvenskan
Full Time
Round 13 Regular Season
Oscar Krusnell - 88' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Robbie Ure - 84', 90'

CONTEXT

Elfsborg hosted Sirius in a match that ended with a 1-3 final score after a scoreless first half. The second half produced all four goals with Sirius claiming three and Elfsborg one. Expected goals finished at 2.56 for Elfsborg and 2.63 for Sirius creating a narrow differential of minus 0.07. Possession split nearly evenly at 49 percent for the home side and 51 percent for the visitors. No red cards occurred and the outcome proved consistent with expected goals. Sirius entered as the stronger team and delivered the victory in line with that assessment. The significant deviation registered fully toward Sirius while efficiency remained in line with underlying metrics.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deviation reached 100 percent and registered as significant toward Sirius.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with underlying performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: Final result stayed consistent with the close expected goals values.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match indicators for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Home xG of 2.56 and away xG of 2.63 produced a differential of minus 0.07.
  • Event impact: All goals occurred in the second half after a 0-0 halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were recorded for either side during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Sars
J. Sars
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Nyberg
N. Nyberg
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Kristensson
S. Kristensson
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Gërxhaliu
V. Gërxhaliu
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.67
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: 62 L
Hammarby Rank: 66 L
Örgryte Rank: 43 D
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Mjällby Rank: 68 D
Halmstad Rank: 46 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 53 W
Mjällby Rank: 68 D
AIK Rank: 61 W
GAIS Rank: 61 W
Djurgården Rank: 67 W
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.8
68.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
Sirius
Power Score
57.8
68.15
League Position
9
1
Global Rank
595
286

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Elfsborg Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg Sirius

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Sirius

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.47
40.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.20
43.47
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Elfsborg +0.33 Efficiency Index
vs
Sirius -0.33 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Sirius
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg
vs
Sirius
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg Sirius
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
35%
42%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.90 vs -1.10
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg Sirius
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
42%
35%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-1.10 vs -0.90
Elfsborg
Sirius
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Elfsborg
vs
Sirius
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg Sirius
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg Sirius
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Elfsborg
Sirius
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ELF had peak pressure around 50'.
  • SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
ELF Pressure SIR Pressure
Pressure Index: ELF reached the top pressure at 50' (96.48).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
4 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
7
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-20T00:00:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Borås Arena
Capacity
17800
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Joakim Sars
Niklas Nyberg
Simon Kristensson
Vildan Gërxhaliu

Statistics

Possession
ELF
50%
SIR
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 3
11 Shots 4
46 Dangerous attacks 50
49 Possession 51
6 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

81 Ball Safe 74
0 Penalties 1
8 Goal Kicks 12
10 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 2
17 Throwins 14
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Assists 1
6 Dribble Attempts 12
3 Successful Dribbles 1
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 8

Attacking

98 Attacks 101
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

51 Long Passes 44
481 Passes 517
403 Successful Passes 445
84 Successful Passes Percentage 86
12 Key Passes 11
18 Successful Long Passes 24
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

6 Saves 4
21 Tackles 12
12 Interceptions 8
41 Duels Won 34

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 15
10 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

13 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Joakim Sars

Starting XI

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
7.68
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
6.66
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström Defender
5.9
16
Alexander Jensen
Alexander Jensen
Midfielder46'
6.62
8
Sebastian Holmén
6.29
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Defender
6.76
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt
Attacker87'
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
6.89
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
7.22
19
Julius Beck
Julius Beck Midfielder
7.06
7
Marcus Rohdén
Marcus Rohdén
Midfielder64'
6.5
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson Midfielder
6.91
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli
Midfielder63'
6.51
29
M. Kamara
M. Kamara Midfielder
7.3
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler Attacker
6.66
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman
Attacker69'
6.44
Referee : Joakim Sars

Starting XI

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
7.14
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
7.39
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
6.65
5
Henrik Castegren
7.29
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
6.54
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
6.92
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
6.72
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Midfielder
7.67
15
Simon Sandberg
Simon Sandberg
Defender89'
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén Midfielder
6.81
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson
Midfielder70'
6.35
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu Midfielder
6.82
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
2
8.89

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
89'
Event
Simon Sandberg Isak Bjerkebo
7th Substitution
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
88'
Event
T. Silverholt Niklas Hult
6th Substitution
87'
84'
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
82'
Event
Header / 1st Goal
70'
Event
Victor Svensson Charlie Nildén
5th Substitution
Event
Leo Östman F. Ihler
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Marcus Rohdén Julius Beck
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Arbër Zeneli A. Sigurpálsson
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Alexander Jensen R. Wikström
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Event
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
45+3'
Event
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
37'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
24'
21'
Event
Goalkeeper save
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Leo Ostman takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure scores with a left-footed shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Simon Sandberg comes on for Isak Bjerkebo.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Taylor Silverholt scores, making it 1-2.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure scores with a left-footed shot.
84
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Mohamed Soumah scores with a header.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohamed Soumah scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Isak Bjerkebo.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Julius Magnusson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Victor Svensson replaces Charlie Nilden.
69
Substitution Substitution
Leo Ostman is substituted for Frederik Ihler.
67
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rohden takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Odera Samuel Adindu takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
65
Attempt Attempt
Odera Samuel Adindu takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
64
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Castegren takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
63
Substitution Substitution
Marcus Rohden is substituted for Julius Beck.
56
Update Update
Arber Zeneli comes on for Ari Sigurpalsson.
56
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara's right-footed shot is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara's right-footed shot is blocked.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
46
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Alexander Jensen is on, and Rasmus Wikstrom is off.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcus Lindberg receives a yellow card.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcus Lindberg receives a yellow card.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcus Lindberg receives a yellow card.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcus Lindberg receives a yellow card.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Oscar Krusnell.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Attempt Attempt
Julius Beck takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Attempt Attempt
Robbie Ure takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Isak Bjerkebo with his right foot is saved.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
21
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Isak Bjerkebo's attempt is unsuccessful.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
12
Attempt Attempt
Julius Beck takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Attempt Attempt
Melker Heier attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Castegren takes a shot with his head but misses.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Joakim Sars.

CONCLUSION

The 1-3 result reflected the narrow expected goals margin and the absence of major disruptions such as red cards. Sirius controlled the second half sufficiently to convert their slight xG edge into three goals while Elfsborg added one. Possession balance indicated neither side dominated territory yet the away side proved more clinical after the interval. The significant deviation toward Sirius matched the stronger team designation and the consistent outcome with xG. Efficiency metrics showed no notable shift away from expected patterns. Overall the match followed the data trajectory without distortion from disciplinary events or structural anomalies.