Elfsborg vs Hammarby preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena Sun, 5 Jul - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
Elfsborg ELF
1 2
Hammarby HAM
Full Time Sun, 5 Jul 2:30 PM
Round 11 Regular Season
A. Sigurpálsson - 77'
Goal
|
Goal
Paulos Abraham - 50'
Montader Madjed - 74'

CONTEXT

Elfsborg hosted Hammarby in a match that ended 1-2 to the visitors. The first half concluded with a 0-0 scoreline as both sides failed to find the net. Hammarby controlled 57 percent of possession compared to Elfsborg's 43 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.88 for the home side and 2.29 for the away side producing a differential of minus 1.41. Hammarby entered as the stronger team and delivered the victory in line with that assessment. No red cards were issued during the contest. The result showed a significant deviation attributed to Hammarby while remaining consistent with underlying performance metrics.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Elfsborg 1-2 Hammarby. Hammarby showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with established team patterns throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the recorded xG values of 0.88 to 2.29.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Hammarby generated 2.29 xG while Elfsborg managed 0.88 xG.
  • Event impact: No second half adjustments or notable events altered the match trajectory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the game proceeded without any related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Sundell
R. Sundell
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Nyberg
N. Nyberg
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Svensson
A. Svensson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Bashir
A. Bashir
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
VS
Hammarby H. Rydström
H. Rydström
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: 42 D
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Mjällby Rank: 69 D
Halmstad Rank: 46 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 52 W
AIK Rank: 60 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: 61 L
AIK Rank: 60 L
GAIS Rank: 62 L
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Västerås SK Rank: 52 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elfsborg
0%
Draw
0%
Away Hammarby
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.69
68.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
Hammarby
Power Score
57.69
68.71
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
593
266

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg Hammarby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.74
37.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.54
36.74
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Elfsborg -0.08 Efficiency Index
vs
Hammarby +0.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Hammarby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg
vs
Hammarby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg Hammarby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
20%
13%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.17 vs -0.29
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg Hammarby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
13%
20%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.29 vs -0.17
Elfsborg
Hammarby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Elfsborg
vs
Hammarby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg Hammarby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Elfsborg 0.39
Hammarby 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg Hammarby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Elfsborg 0.04
Hammarby 0.03
Elfsborg
Hammarby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ELF had peak pressure around 59'.
  • ELF started the game with stronger pressure.
ELF Pressure HAM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ELF reached the top pressure at 59' (73.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
4 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
0
-8
Goal Difference
+8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:50:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Pettersson
Sweden
31 (C) I. Pettersson
R. Wikström
Substitution
Sweden
6 R. Wikström
R. Mohammed
2 R. Mohammed
T. Poppler-Isherwood
Sweden
4 T. Poppler-Isherwood
N. Hult
Substitution
Sweden
23 N. Hult
J. Magnússon
Iceland
18 J. Magnússon
S. Olsson
Sweden
10 S. Olsson
M. Kamara
29 M. Kamara
J. Beck
Substitution
Denmark
19 J. Beck
A. Zeneli
Substitution
Kosovo
9 A. Zeneli
L. Östman
Substitution
Sweden
21 L. Östman
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
N. Persson
Sweden
16 N. Persson
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
V. Eriksson
Sweden
4 V. Eriksson
E. Skoglund
Substitution
Sweden
2 E. Skoglund
T. Tekie
Sweden
5 T. Tekie
M. Karlsson
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
V. Lind
Denmark
9 V. Lind
N. Besara
Substitution
Sweden
20 (C) N. Besara
M. Madjed
Substitution
Sweden
26 M. Madjed
P. Abraham
Substitution
Sweden
7 P. Abraham

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 05, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Borås Arena
Capacity
17800
Attendance
12210
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Richard Sundell
Niklas Nyberg
Andreas Svensson
Abdinaser Bashir

Statistics

Possession
ELF
44%
HAM
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 4
6 Shots 3
36 Dangerous attacks 48
43 Possession 57
3 Corners 8
8 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

65 Ball Safe 65
6 Goal Kicks 8
11 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 4
11 Throwins 17
1 Assists 1
13 Dribble Attempts 13
5 Successful Dribbles 7
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

72 Attacks 118
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

44 Long Passes 34
434 Passes 593
369 Successful Passes 534
85 Successful Passes Percentage 90
11 Key Passes 14
18 Successful Long Passes 11
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

Defensive

8 Saves 4
11 Tackles 12
8 Interceptions 8
27 Duels Won 37

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 16
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson (C) Goalkeeper
8.03
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed Defender
6.78
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
6.34
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström Defender
6.67
16
A. Hellemaa
A. Hellemaa
Midfielder90'
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Defender
6.82
20
Gottfrid Rapp
Gottfrid Rapp
Midfielder90'
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli Midfielder
6.93
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson
Attacker69'
7.27
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
6.61
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
7.04
19
Julius Beck
Julius Beck Midfielder
6.98
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler
Attacker69'
6.48
29
M. Kamara
M. Kamara Midfielder
6.9
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman Attacker
6.39
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt
Attacker82'
6.44
Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
7.11
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
6.87
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder84'
6.53
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
7.59
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6.9
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
6.83
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
7.19
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
6.32
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
7.66
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara (C) Midfielder
7.59
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Midfielder75'
6.32
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
7.76
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana
Defender84'
6.39
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
8.03
29
Elohim Kaboré
Elohim Kaboré
Attacker84'
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
A. Hellemaa → R. Wikström
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Gottfrid Rapp → Niklas Hult
9th Substitution
90'
84'
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Hampus Skoglund
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Ibrahima Fofana → Montader Madjed
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Elohim Kaboré → Paulos Abraham
7th Substitution
Event
T. Silverholt → Leo Östman
4th Substitution
82'
Event
A. Sigurpálsson
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
77'
75'
Event
Oscar Johansson Schellhas → Nahir Besara
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Montader Madjed
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
F. Ihler → Julius Beck
1st Substitution
69'
Event
A. Sigurpálsson → Arbër Zeneli
2nd Substitution
69'
50'
Event
Paulos Abraham
Header / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
J. Magnússon
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
18'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Gottfrid Rapp takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gottfrid Rapp takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gottfrid Rapp takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
On comes Altti Hellemaa, off goes Rasmus Wikstrom.
90
Update Update
Gottfrid Rapp comes on for Niklas Hult.
84
Substitution Substitution
Ibrahima Fofana is substituted for Montader Madjed.
84
Update Update
Ibrahima Fofana is on, and Montader Madjed is off.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Frank Junior Adjei comes on for Hampus Skoglund.
84
Update Update
Moise Kabore comes on for Paulos Abraham.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Update Update
Taylor Silverholt is on, and Leo Ostman is off.
77
Update Update
On comes Taylor Silverholt, off goes Leo Ostman.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ari Sigurpalsson takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ari Sigurpalsson scores, making it 1-2.
75
Update Update
Oscar Johansson is on, and Nahir Besara is off.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Montader Madjed scores with a left-footed shot.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Montader Madjed scores with a left-footed shot.
74
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Montader Madjed scores, making it 0-2.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Update Update
Ari Sigurpalsson comes on for Arber Zeneli.
69
Substitution Substitution
Frederik Ihler is substituted on for Julius Beck.
68
Update Update
Ari Sigurpalsson is on, and Arber Zeneli is off.
67
Update Update
Ari Sigurpalsson comes on for Arber Zeneli.
66
Update Update
Frederik Ihler is on, and Julius Beck is off.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Rufai Mohammed takes a header, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Rufai Mohammed takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Paulos Abraham, and it's a header into the goal!
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
40
Attempt Attempt
Arber Zeneli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Julius Magnusson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Leo Ostman takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara misses with a left-footed shot.
24
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
23
Attempt Attempt
Julius Beck's right-footed shot is saved.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Julius Magnusson receives a yellow card.
10
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Julius Magnusson receives a yellow card.
9
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Wikstrom takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Richard Sundell.

CONCLUSION

Hammarby secured the 2-1 win through superior chance creation and territorial control. The visitors outperformed Elfsborg across key metrics including possession and expected goals. The halftime deadlock gave way to a second half where the away side converted their advantage into goals. Elfsborg remained limited in output despite home status. The absence of disciplinary incidents allowed both teams to maintain full squads. Overall the match reflected the pre-game hierarchy between the sides. Hammarby demonstrated clear control that translated directly into the final scoreline.