Elfsborg vs Djurgården preview
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena
Round 4 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 28
CONTEXT
Elfsborg defeated Djurgården 2-1 in a match marked by extreme possession imbalance, with the home team holding just 24% compared to the visitors' 76%. The score was level at 1-1 at halftime, but Elfsborg netted the winner in the second half to secure victory. No red cards were shown, and no specific second-half adjustments were noted. Pre-match assessments identified Elfsborg as the stronger team, a view validated by the outcome despite the visitors' dominance in territory. The result exhibited a significant 68.2% deviation from pre-market expectations, where Djurgården were marginally favored. Efficiency metrics aligned with prior patterns, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. This low-possession win underscores Elfsborg's proficiency in counter-attacking.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Elfsborg's 2-1 win deviated 68.2% from pre-match market expectations, classified as significant.
-
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with established patterns.
-
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
-
Market alignment: Final outcome did not align with pre-market probabilities.
-
xG expectations: No xG data provided for expectation evaluation.
-
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
-
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
17.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.18
N. Nyberg
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
17.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.18
P. Rehnlund
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
17.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.18
F. Alknäs
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
17.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.18
1.17
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2.17
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors
Rank:
W
Västerås SK
Rank:
D
IFK Göteborg
Rank:
W
Hammarby
Rank:
L
AIK
Rank:
L
Sirius
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF
Rank:
L
Kalmar
Rank:
W
GAIS
Rank:
W
Öster
Rank:
W
IFK Göteborg
Rank:
D
Värnamo
Rank:
W
18
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 12 - 12
12
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Elfsborg
31.81%
Draw
28.43%
Djurgården
39.76%
Movement
Changes since opening
Elfsborg
-62.35%
Draw
+22.78%
Djurgården
+39.57%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.63
19.63
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Power Score
19.63
19.63
League Position
1
7
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Elfsborg
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Djurgården
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Elfsborg Djurgården
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Elfsborg
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Djurgården
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Elfsborg
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Djurgården
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.08
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.91
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Elfsborg
+1.55
Efficiency Index
vs
Djurgården
-1.55
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Djurgården
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Elfsborg
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Djurgården
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Djurgården
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Elfsborg
vs
Djurgården
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Elfsborg
0.41
Djurgården
0.37
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Elfsborg
0.02
Djurgården
0.09
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- DJU had peak pressure around 10'.
- DJU started the game with stronger pressure.
ELF Pressure
DJU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
DJU reached the top pressure at 10' (77.32).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Elfsborg
ELF
Home
42
matches
Djurgården
DJU
Away
Match Record
18
Wins
12
12
Draws
12
12
Losses
18
Goals
63
Goals Scored
53
53
Goals Conceded
63
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:53+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-4-3
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Borås Arena
Capacity
17800
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Next Match
Elfsborg
vs
Kalmar
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Guldfågeln Arena
Djurgården
vs
Hammarby
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM
Venue: Tele2 Arena
Statistics
Possession
ELF
31%
DJU
69%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
1
2
Big Chances Created
6
2
Shots
5
22
Dangerous attacks
49
24
Possession
76
2
Corners
7
5
Free kicks
16
3
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
2
Successful Dribbles
1
0
Assists
1
1
Penalties
0
61
Ball Safe
98
3
Goal Attempts
10
5
Substitutions
4
2
Dribble Attempts
13
100
Successful Dribbles Percentage
8
13
Throwins
15
13
Goal Kicks
4
Attacking
1
Big Chances Missed
5
47
Attacks
135
Possession
64
Successful Passes Percentage
91
207
Passes
678
13
Successful Long Passes
23
28
Successful Long Passes Percentage
55
133
Successful Passes
617
47
Long Passes
42
3
Key Passes
14
Defensive
4
Saves
1
39
Duels Won
31
11
Interceptions
6
19
Tackles
4
Build-up
12
Total Crosses
24
5
Accurate Crosses
8
Discipline
1
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
6
Lineup
Referee :
Granit Maqedonci
Manager ▼
B. Hamberg
Coach
Starting XI ▼
26
Ludvig Richtnér
6.56Midfielder84'
Substitutes ▼
Referee :
Granit Maqedonci
Manager ▼
J. Honkavaara
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
89'
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
88'
Ludvig Richtnér → Niklas Hult
9th Substitution
84'
8th Substitution
84'
84'
7th Substitution
78'
6th Substitution
5th Substitution
71'
63'
4th Substitution
63'
3rd Substitution
2nd Substitution
62'
1st Substitution
62'
62'
Jani Honkavaara
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
30'
29'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
25'
24'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
19'
Header / 1st Goal
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'
CONCLUSION
Elfsborg's 2-1 success despite 24% possession exemplifies effective chance conversion against Djurgården's control. The halftime 1-1 draw set up a second-half breakthrough, aligning with their stronger team status. Significant market deviation highlights outcome unpredictability, while efficiency stayed consistent sans xG insights. This result demonstrates how tactical opportunism can overcome territorial dominance, with no disciplinary disruptions influencing play. Elfsborg's performance validates pre-match strength assessments in a cleanly contested affair.
