Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BSC preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
Eintracht-Stadion
2. Bundesliga
Eintracht BraunschweigEBR
3 5
Hertha BSCBCS
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
Yann Sturm - 9'
Kevin Ehlers - 33'
Jan Urbich - 88'
Goal
|
Goal
Josip Brekalo - 45+4', 69' (P)
Kevin Ehlers - 53' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Eintracht Braunschweig hosted Hertha BSC in a match that ended 3-5 to the visitors. The halftime score stood at 2-2 with both teams level. Hertha BSC entered as the stronger side and claimed the win. Expected goals stood at 2.19 for Braunschweig and 4.11 for Hertha BSC creating a differential of minus 1.92. Home possession reached 46 percent while away possession reached 54 percent. No red cards were shown to either side. The final result proved consistent with the expected goals figures and aligned with pre-match expectations. The significant deviation favored Hertha BSC throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Eintracht Braunschweig 3-5 Hertha BSC. Hertha BSC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expected performance levels for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The outcome stayed consistent with the xG values of 2.19 to 4.11.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Hertha BSC exceeded xG expectations while Braunschweig fell short.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond standard play patterns.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Hempel
R. Hempel
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Thomsen
M. Thomsen
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Greif
S. Greif
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Uhrig
B. Uhrig
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Eintracht Braunschweig Lars Kornetka
Lars Kornetka
VS
Hertha BSC S. Leitl
S. Leitl
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.77
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 74 L
Magdeburg Rank: 73 W
Schalke 04 Rank: 77 L
Dynamo Dresden Rank: 73 W
Holstein Kiel Rank: 73 L
Kaiserslautern Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Heidenheim Rank: 76 W
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 75 W
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Rank: 73 L
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rank: 68 W
Magdeburg Rank: 72 L
Holstein Kiel Rank: 73 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.36
76.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Eintracht Braunschweig
Hertha BSC
Power Score
68.36
76.25
League Position
5
1
Global Rank
312
126

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Eintracht Braunschweig — Opponent-weighted form score
Hertha BSC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Eintracht Braunschweig Hertha BSC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Eintracht Braunschweig

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hertha BSC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Eintracht Braunschweig ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hertha BSC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.85
54.07
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
54.07
41.85
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Eintracht Braunschweig -1.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Hertha BSC +1.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Eintracht Braunschweig
Hertha BSC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Eintracht Braunschweig
vs
Hertha BSC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Eintracht Braunschweig Hertha BSC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
7%
27%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.15 vs -0.10
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Eintracht Braunschweig Hertha BSC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
27%
7%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.10 vs -0.15
Eintracht Braunschweig
Hertha BSC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Eintracht Braunschweig
vs
Hertha BSC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Eintracht Braunschweig Hertha BSC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Eintracht Braunschweig 0.38
Hertha BSC 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Eintracht Braunschweig Hertha BSC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Eintracht Braunschweig 0.08
Hertha BSC 0.07
Eintracht Braunschweig
Hertha BSC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BCS had peak pressure around 57'.
  • EBR started the game with stronger pressure.
EBR Pressure BCS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BCS reached the top pressure at 57' (66.98).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Eintracht Braunschweig EBR Home
4 matches
Hertha BSC BCS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
3
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-29T00:00:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-2-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Eintracht-Stadion
Capacity
23325
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Richard Hempel
Martin Thomsen
Steven Greif
Ben Henry Uhrig

Statistics

Possession
EBR
46%
BCS
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 5
5 Big Chances Created 5
7 Shots 10
45 Dangerous attacks 64
46 Possession 54
5 Corners 12
15 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

86 Ball Safe 82
0 Penalties 1
12 Goal Kicks 10
15 Goal Attempts 18
4 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 19
0 Hit Woodwork 1
18 Dribble Attempts 17
8 Successful Dribbles 7
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41

Attacking

77 Attacks 98
2 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

48 Long Passes 50
350 Passes 401
274 Successful Passes 340
78 Successful Passes Percentage 85
12 Key Passes 17
26 Successful Long Passes 33
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 66

Defensive

1 Saves 5
18 Tackles 20
10 Interceptions 6
51 Duels Won 48

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 34
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Richard Hempel

Starting XI ▼

1
Ron-Thorben Hoffmann
Ron-Thorben Hoffmann (C) Goalkeeper
6.21
3
Noah Katterbach
Noah Katterbach Defender
6.01
22
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez
Defender63'
6.55
8
Mehmet Aydin
Mehmet Aydin Defender
6.51
21
Kevin Ehlers
Kevin Ehlers Defender
6.58
29
Lukas Frenkert
Lukas Frenkert Defender
6.36
6
Florian Flick
Florian Flick Midfielder
6.8
10
Samuele Di Benedetto
Samuele Di Benedetto Midfielder
6.68
20
Lino Tempelmann
Lino Tempelmann
Midfielder46'
6.38
15
Max Marie
Max Marie Midfielder
6.15
17
Aaron Opoku
Aaron Opoku Midfielder
8.33
7
Yann Sturm
Yann Sturm Attacker
7.14
19
Junior Zé
Junior Zé
Midfielder57'
6.43
9
Maximilian Entrup
Maximilian Entrup Attacker
6.57
27
Jan Urbich
Jan Urbich
Attacker46'
7.23
Referee : Richard Hempel

Starting XI ▼

35
Marius Gersbeck
Marius Gersbeck Goalkeeper
6.86
2
Julian Eitschberger
Julian Eitschberger Defender
6.96
22
Mads Pedersen
Mads Pedersen Defender
6.29
31
Márton Dárdai
Márton Dárdai
Defender86'
27
Niklas Kolbe
Niklas Kolbe Defender
6.91
44
Linus Gechter
Linus Gechter Defender
6.93
7
Josip Brekalo
Josip Brekalo (C) Midfielder
2
8.85
8
Kevin Sessa
Kevin Sessa Midfielder
6.45
23
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Midfielder
8.37
20
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
Attacker82'
6.39
30
Paul Seguin
Paul Seguin Midfielder
6.75
41
Pascal Klemens
Pascal Klemens
Defender82'
6.47
33
Soufian Gouram
Soufian Gouram Midfielder
6.74
19
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Attacker66'
7.19
17
Sebastian Grönning
Sebastian Grönning Attacker
6.32
18
Luca Schuler
Luca Schuler
Attacker66'
7.32

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Pascal Klemens
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Jan Urbich
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
88'
88'
Event
Linus Gechter
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
86'
Event
Márton Dárdai → Mads Pedersen
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Pascal Klemens → Paul Seguin
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht → Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Paul Seguin
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
69'
Event
Josip Brekalo
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Lino Tempelmann
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
68'
66'
Event
Oluwaseun Adewumi → Soufian Gouram
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Luca Schuler → Sebastian Grönning
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Niklas Kolbe
Penalty awarded
Event
Jan Urbich
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
64'
Event
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez → Noah Katterbach
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Junior Zé → Yann Sturm
3rd Substitution
57'
53'
Event
Kevin Ehlers
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Event
Lino Tempelmann → Samuele Di Benedetto
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Jan Urbich → Maximilian Entrup
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Josip Brekalo
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
43'
Event
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Kevin Ehlers
Header / 2nd Goal
33'
Event
Yann Sturm
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
9'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luca Schuler takes a header, but the shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pascal Klemens receives a yellow card.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jan Urbich scores with a left-footed shot.
88
Attempt Attempt
Aaron Opoku takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Linus Gechter receives a yellow card.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jan Urbich scores, making it 3-5.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Oluwaseun Adewumi with his left foot results in a goal.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oluwaseun Adewumi scores, bringing the score to 2-5, assisted by Luca Schuler.
86
Substitution Substitution
Marton Dardai is substituted off for Mads Giersing, with Valentin Pedersen coming on.
85
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Sessa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Sessa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
82
Update Update
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht comes on for Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson.
82
Update Update
Pascal Klemens comes on for Paul Seguin.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Paul Seguin.
76
Attempt Attempt
Lino Tempelmann takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Jan Urbich takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Mehmet Can Aydin takes a left-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Josip Brekalo takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Josip Brekalo 2-4
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Lino Tempelmann.
66
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty awarded to Niklas Kolbe.
66
Update Update
Luca Schuler comes on for Sebastian Gronning.
66
Update Update
Oluwaseun Adewumi comes on for Soufian Gouram.
65
Attempt Attempt
Mads Giersing Valentin Pedersen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jan Urbich receives a yellow card.
63
Update Update
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez comes on for Noah Katterbach.
60
Attempt Attempt
Lino Tempelmann takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Lino Tempelmann's left-footed shot is saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Max Marie takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Update Update
Junior Ze is on, and Yann Sturm is off.
55
Attempt Attempt
Mehmet Can Aydin takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Kevin Ehlers results in an own goal.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Kevin Ehlers makes it 2-3.
51
Attempt Attempt
Linus Gechter takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Gronning takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Soufian Gouram takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson takes a shot, but it is saved.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Attempt Attempt
Soufian Gouram takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Lino Tempelmann comes on for Samuele di Benedetto.
46
Substitution Substitution
Jan Urbich is substituted off for Maximilian Entrup.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Josip Brekalo scores with a right-footed shot.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Josip Brekalo scores, making it 2-2.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Soufian Gouram takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Paul Seguin takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Josip Brekalo.
41
Attempt Attempt
Aaron Opoku takes a right-footed shot, but it misses.
40
Update Update
Sebastian Gronning's header hits the post.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Attempt Attempt
Samuele di Benedetto takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Gronning takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Kevin Ehlers Head Shot Goal
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kevin Ehlers scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Aaron Opoku.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Gronning takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Max Marie takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
27
Attempt Attempt
Max Marie takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
27
Attempt Attempt
Yann Sturm takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Gronning takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Josip Brekalo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Gronning takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Soufian Gouram takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yann Sturm scores with a right-footed shot.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yann Sturm scores to make it 1-0.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Gronning takes a shot with his head but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Richard Hempel.

CONCLUSION

Hertha BSC converted their higher expected goals into a clear victory over Eintracht Braunschweig. The 3-5 scoreline reflected the away side's ability to create and finish better opportunities across both halves. Possession edges and chance quality favored the visitors from the start. The even halftime score of 2-2 gave way to a second half where Hertha BSC pulled ahead decisively. Absence of red cards kept the contest balanced in terms of personnel. Overall the data shows a straightforward alignment between performance metrics and the final outcome without external distortions. This result underscores Hertha BSC's superiority in key attacking areas during the fixture.