Egypt vs Iran preview
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Egypt hosted Iran in a tightly contested match that finished 1-1. The first half saw both sides score once resulting in a 1-1 scoreline at halftime. Egypt dominated possession with 61 percent but struggled to convert opportunities effectively. Iran despite having only 39 percent of the ball generated superior chances reflected in their 2.2 expected goals against Egypt's 1.0. The xG differential of minus 1.2 highlighted the away team's efficiency in attack. No red cards disrupted proceedings allowing both teams to maintain their structures. Egypt as the stronger side entered with high expectations yet the draw represented a significant deviation from anticipated outcomes. The result did not align with xG projections or market forecasts. Efficiency levels stayed consistent with team profiles throughout the ninety minutes. This performance underscored the challenges in translating possession into tangible results for the home team.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Egypt experienced a significant structural deviation in their performance against expectations.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the teams' overall capabilities during the contest.
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xG alignment: The final result did not align with the xG figures favoring the away side.
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Market alignment: The draw outcome proved inconsistent with pre-match market projections.
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xG expectations: Iran surpassed xG expectations with 2.2 compared to Egypt's 1.0.
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Event impact: Both teams found the net in the first half leading to a 1-1 halftime score.
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Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion to the match's structural flow.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Egypt
Iran
Movement
Changes since opening
Egypt
Iran
Team Power Ranking
i
22.22
14.07
Egypt
Iran
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Egypt
Iran
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Egypt
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Egypt
Egypt
Iran
Egypt
Iran
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Egypt
Egypt
Iran
Egypt
Iran
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- IRN had peak pressure around 15'.
- IRN started the game with stronger pressure.
STARTING XI




















General Information
Next Match
Egypt
vs
Australia
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Jul - 6:00 PM
Venue: Dallas Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼


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Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼












Substitutes ▼





























Match Commentary