Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Petrocub preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadiumi KF Egnatia Wed, 15 Jul - 7:00 PM
Champions League
Egnatia RrogozhinëEGN
6 1
PetrocubPET
Full Time Wed, 15 Jul 7:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 7 - 2
Eneo Bitri - 2'
Mihail Platica - 44' (Own Goal)
Andrey Yago - 59'
Ildi Gruda - 90'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Egnatia Rrogozhinë 6–1 Petrocub. The result saw Egnatia Rrogozhinë take the points. Egnatia Rrogozhinë showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Egnatia Rrogozhine recorded a significant 44.6 percent structural deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's established pattern.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated because both home and away xG values were null.
  • Market alignment: The final result was aligned with market indicators as confirmed by available data.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undetermined due to the absence of underlying xG figures.
  • Event impact: The 6-1 home win produced a 7-2 aggregate that decided the two-legged tie.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued resulting in no measurable distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Farrugia
P. Farrugia
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Spiteri
J. Spiteri
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Ciantar
M. Ciantar
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Tonna
G. Tonna
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë N. Dede
N. Dede
VS
Petrocub S. Makharadze
S. Makharadze
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Petrocub Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Rank: 48 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Egnatia Rrogozhinë
55.39%
Draw
26.29%
Away Petrocub
18.32%

Movement

Changes since opening
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
-41.51%
Draw
+24.39%
Petrocub
+17.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Petrocub
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Opponent-weighted form score
Petrocub — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Egnatia Rrogozhinë Petrocub

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Petrocub

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Egnatia Rrogozhinë ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Petrocub
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.22
24.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.02
37.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.12 Efficiency Index
vs
Petrocub -1.12 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Petrocub
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Petrocub
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Petrocub
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Petrocub
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Petrocub
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
vs
Petrocub
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Petrocub
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.27
Petrocub 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Petrocub
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.02
Petrocub 0.10
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Petrocub
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • EGN had peak pressure around 35'.
  • EGN started the game with stronger pressure.
EGN Pressure PET Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: EGN reached the top pressure at 35' (52.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë EGN Home
1 matches
Petrocub PET Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-16T00:01:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 15, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 7 - 2
Stadium
Stadiumi KF Egnatia
Capacity
4000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Philip Farrugia
Jurgen Spiteri
Mark Ciantar
Glen Tonna

Statistics

Possession
EGN
57%
PET
43%

Top Statistics

6 Goals 1
7 Shots 5
62 Dangerous attacks 41
54 Possession 46
7 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

2 Substitutions 6
18 Throwins 10

Attacking

119 Attacks 91

Defensive

3 Saves 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Philip Farrugia

Starting XI ▼

98
Mario Dajsinani
Mario Dajsinani Goalkeeper
6.12
19
Arbenit Xhemajli
Arbenit Xhemajli Defender
6.26
22
Guillem Jaime
Guillem Jaime Defender
6.37
28
Eljon Sota
Eljon Sota Defender
6.26
16
Edison Ndreca
Edison Ndreca
Defender85'
6.5
33
Eneo Bitri
Eneo Bitri Defender
6.45
24
Numan Ajetovikj
Numan Ajetovikj
Defender64'
6.49
7
Fernando Medeiros
Fernando Medeiros Midfielder
6.77
10
Alessandro Albanese
Alessandro Albanese Midfielder
6.57
77
Ildi Gruda
Ildi Gruda
Midfielder64'
7.02
17
Altin Kryeziu
Altin Kryeziu Midfielder
6.37
55
Geralb Smajli
Geralb Smajli
Defender79'
6.49
20
Karim Loukili
Karim Loukili Midfielder
6.37
8
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté
Midfielder64'
6.5
29
Andrey Yago
Andrey Yago Midfielder
6.57
9
Soumaila Bakayoko
Soumaila Bakayoko Attacker
7.19
Referee : Philip Farrugia

Starting XI ▼

12
Cristian Avram
Cristian Avram Goalkeeper
4.99
2
Vlad Pascari
Vlad Pascari Defender
5.34
3
Catalin Cucos
Catalin Cucos Defender
5.34
11
Sergiu Platica
Sergiu Platica Defender
5.88
13
Maxim Cojocaru
Maxim Cojocaru
Attacker46'
6.38
44
Jessie Guera Djou
Jessie Guera Djou Defender
5.34
90
Ion Jardan
Ion Jardan Defender
5.45
7
Marius Iosipoi
Marius Iosipoi Midfielder
6.18
25
Ilie Botnari
Ilie Botnari
Midfielder46'
6.18
37
Dan Puscas
Dan Puscas Midfielder
6.18
24
Ovidiu David
Ovidiu David
Midfielder46'
6.13
5
Mihail Platica
Mihail Platica Attacker
6.2
66
Ion Bors
Ion Bors
Defender46'
5.88
15
Petru Popescu
Petru Popescu Attacker
6.23
19
Nicolae Rotaru
Nicolae Rotaru Attacker
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ildi Gruda
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Ildi Gruda
Field Goal / 6th Goal
90'
89'
Event
Ovidiu David
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Numan Ajetovikj
Tripping / 3rd Yellowcard
86'
Event
Edison Ndreca → Eljon Sota
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Soumaila Bakayoko
Field Goal / 5th Goal
84'
Event
Geralb Smajli
Diving / 2nd Yellowcard
83'
Event
Geralb Smajli → Altin Kryeziu
9th Substitution
79'
69'
Event
Mihai Lupan → Ion Bors
8th Substitution
Event
Numan Ajetovikj → Eneo Bitri
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Ibrahim Diabaté → Karim Loukili
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Ildi Gruda → Alessandro Albanese
7th Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Nicolae Rotaru
Field Goal / 4th Goal
Event
Andrey Yago
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
59'
46'
Event
Ion Bors → Mihail Platica
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Ilie Botnari → Marius Iosipoi
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Maxim Cojocaru → Sergiu Platica
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Ovidiu David → Dan Puscas
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mihail Platica
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
44'
33'
Event
Petru Popescu
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Alessandro Albanese
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
31'
Event
Eneo Bitri
Field Goal / 1st Goal
2'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ildi Gruda.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 6-1.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ovidiu David receives a yellow card.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Numan Ajetovikj.
85
Update Update
Edison Ndreca comes on for Eljon Sota.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 5-1.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Geralb Smajli.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Geralb Smajli comes on for Altin Kryeziu.
69
Substitution Substitution
Mihai Lupan is substituted off for Ion Bors.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nicolae Rotaru scores, making it 4-1.
64
Update Update
Numan Ajetovikj is on, and Eneo Bitri is off.
64
Substitution Substitution
Ibrahim Diabaté is substituted on for Karim Loukili.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-1.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-1.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andrey Yago scores, making it 4-0.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ilie Botnari comes on for Marius Iosipoi.
46
Update Update
Ovidiu David is on, and Dan Puscas is off.
46
Update Update
Maxim Cojocaru comes on for Sergiu Platica.
46
Substitution Substitution
Ion Bors is substituted for Mihail Platica.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mihail Platica scores an own goal, making it 3-0.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Petru Popescu.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Eneo Bitri leads 1-0, assisted by Altin Kryeziu.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Philip Farrugia.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 6-1 Petrocub. Structural assessment: Egnatia Rrogozhinë exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.