Dundee United vs Livingston preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Tannadice Park Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Premiership
Dundee UnitedDUD
LivingstonLIV
KICKOFF : Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Round 37 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Dundee United host Livingston at Tannadice Park in the Premiership's 2nd Phase of the 2025/2026 season, with the home side holding a clear edge. Power ratings favor the Terrors at 61.41 versus 52.25, a 9.2-point advantage underscoring their structural superiority. Currently 7th in the table, Dundee United sit comfortably above 12th-placed Livingston, backed by stronger recent form scores of 19.5 to 10.83. At home in Tannadice, they seek to extend their dominance in this league clash. Livingston face an uphill battle, needing to disrupt transitions and capitalize on rare chances against a more efficient setup. Set piece metrics draw from low-confidence proxies, limiting insights into dead-ball threats. Efficiency and advanced data remain sparse, but raw strengths point decisively one way.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee United hold a 9.2-point power advantage and 7th place over Livingston's 12th.
  • Form: Dundee United's form score of 19.5 surpasses Livingston's 10.83.
  • Squad: Power ratings indicate Dundee United's squad edges Livingston in overall quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Dundee United 55.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.9% (Δ+0%) | Livingston 21.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dundee United J. Goodwin
J. Goodwin
VS
Livingston M. Bartley
M. Bartley
1.16
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 59 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 L
Dundee Rank: 58 W
Livingston Rank: 54 W
Rangers Rank: 76 L
Celtic Rank: 79 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dundee Rank: 59 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
St. Mirren Rank: 58 W
Dundee United Rank: 61 L
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 59 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee United
55.72%
Draw
22.9%
Away Livingston
21.39%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.41
52.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee United
Livingston
Power Score
61.41
52.25
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
454
678

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee United — Opponent-weighted form score
Livingston — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee United Livingston

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee United DUD Home
17 matches
Livingston LIV Away
Match Record
6
Wins
8
3
Draws
3
8
Losses
6
Goals
23
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
23
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T17:01:23+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Prior
28 J. Prior
D. Finlayson
19 D. Finlayson
B. Kabongolo
23 B. Kabongolo
D. Wilson
27 D. Wilson
C. Kerr
2 C. Kerr
M. Sylla
24 M. Sylla
M. Tait
25 M. Tait
B. McKay
10 B. McKay
S. Pittman
8 S. Pittman
L. Smith
15 L. Smith
J. Nouble
7 J. Nouble

General Information

Date & Time
May 12, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 37 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Tannadice Park
Capacity
14268
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Grant Irvine
Calum Spence
Michael MacDermid
Graham Grainger

Expected Lineup

Referee : Grant Irvine

Starting XI ▼

25
Dave Richards
Dave Richards Goalkeeper
6.69
2
Ryan Strain
Ryan Strain Midfielder
6.59
11
Will Ferry
Will Ferry Midfielder
7.24
9
Zachary Sapsford
Zachary Sapsford Centre Forward
6.76
20
N. Farrugia
N. Farrugia Attacker
6.76
19
Ivan Dolcek
Ivan Dolcek Attacker
6.79
4
Iurie Iovu
Iurie Iovu Right Back
6.78
5
Vicko Sevelj
Vicko Sevelj Central Midfield
6.83
14
Craig Sibbald
Craig Sibbald Central Midfield
6.84
6
Ross Graham
Ross Graham Centre Back
6.92
23
Krisztián Keresztes
Krisztián Keresztes Left Back
6.97
Referee : Grant Irvine

Starting XI ▼

28
Jérôme Prior
Jérôme Prior Goalkeeper
6.81
7
Joel Nouble
Joel Nouble Centre Forward
6.86
19
Danny Finlayson
Danny Finlayson Left Back
6.73
27
Danny Wilson
Danny Wilson Right Back
6.57
8
Scott Pittman
Scott Pittman Attacking Midfield
6.73
10
Barrie McKay
Barrie McKay Left Wing
6.81
15
Lewis Smith
Lewis Smith Right Wing
6.82
25
Macaulay Tait
Macaulay Tait Defensive Midfield
6.52
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Brooklyn Kabongolo Left Back
6.82
2
Cammy Kerr
Cammy Kerr Right Back
6.73
24
Mohamad Sylla
Mohamad Sylla Defensive Midfield
6.8

CONCLUSION

Dundee United enter this Tannadice showdown as firm favorites, leveraging their 9.2-point power edge, superior form, and higher standing to dictate terms against struggling Livingston. The home crowd will fuel a performance built on structural strengths, even if advanced metrics like set pieces offer limited clarity. Livingston must summon resilience to counter the Terrors' momentum, but data tilts heavily toward a home victory. Expect Dundee United to control possession and convert edges into points in this Premiership 2nd Phase test.