Dunajská Streda vs Velez preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
MOL Aréna
Europa Conference League
Dunajská StredaDAC
1 0
VelezVEL
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Giorgi Gagua - 59' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Dunajská Streda hosted Velez in the first leg of a two-legged tie and secured a 1-0 victory. The match remained level at halftime with both sides unable to find the net before the break. Dunajská Streda controlled 61 percent of possession compared to Velez at 39 percent. The only goal arrived in the second half to give the home side the narrow advantage. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. The stronger side according to pre-match indicators prevailed without major disruption. The outcome aligned with the minimal deviation recorded from expected patterns.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deviation from pre-match indicators measured at a minimal 3.9 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were recorded for either side in the data.
  • Event impact: The single second-half goal decided the 1-0 outcome in regular time.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the match result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Ebner
S. Ebner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Höfler
M. Höfler
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gutschi
A. Gutschi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Sadikovski
A. Sadikovski
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Dunajská Streda R. Klauß
R. Klauß
VS
Velez I. Rahimić
I. Rahimić
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Milsami Rank: W
Milsami Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dunajská Streda
96.05%
Draw
3.31%
Away Velez
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dunajská Streda
+1.24%
Draw
-1.25%
Velez
+0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.22
45.1
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dunajská Streda
Velez
Power Score
76.22
45.1
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
122
969

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dunajská Streda — Opponent-weighted form score
Velez — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dunajská Streda Velez

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dunajská Streda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Velez

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dunajská Streda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Velez
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.66
15.90
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.90
25.66
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dunajská Streda +0.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Velez -0.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dunajská Streda
Velez
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dunajská Streda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Velez
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dunajská Streda Velez
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dunajská Streda Velez
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dunajská Streda
Velez
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dunajská Streda
vs
Velez
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dunajská Streda Velez
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dunajská Streda 0.16
Velez 0.09
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dunajská Streda Velez
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dunajská Streda 0.00
Velez 0.01
Dunajská Streda
Velez
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VEL had peak pressure around 84'.
  • DAC started the game with stronger pressure.
DAC Pressure VEL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VEL reached the top pressure at 84' (56.70).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
MOL Aréna
Capacity
12700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stefan Ebner
Martin Höfler
Amina Gutschi
Alain Sadikovski

Statistics

Possession
DAC
55%
VEL
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
8 Shots 3
73 Dangerous attacks 44
61 Possession 39
4 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

66 Ball Safe 85
1 Penalties 0
11 Goal Attempts 4
4 Substitutions 1
22 Throwins 21
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

108 Attacks 99

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

31
Aljaz Ivacic
Aljaz Ivacic Goalkeeper
6.5
18
Simen Juklerød
Simen Juklerød Defender
6.5
22
Tsotne Kapanadze
Tsotne Kapanadze Defender
6.5
26
Filip Blazek
Filip Blazek (C) Defender
6.5
81
K. Nemanič
K. Nemanič Defender
6.5
7
Uroš Kabić
Uroš Kabić Midfielder
6.5
9
Andreas Gruber
Andreas Gruber
Attacker78'
6.5
10
Ammar Ramadan
Ammar Ramadan Midfielder
6.45
19
Alioune Sylla
Alioune Sylla
Midfielder86'
17
Julien Eymard Bationo
Julien Eymard Bationo Midfielder
6.5
44
Samsindin Ouro
Samsindin Ouro Midfielder
6.5
27
Fallou Diongue
Fallou Diongue
Midfielder67'
6.5
11
Abdoulaye Gueye
Abdoulaye Gueye Attacker
6.46
46
Matej Trusa
Matej Trusa
Attacker67'
6.5
29
Giorgi Gagua
Giorgi Gagua Attacker
6.71
Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

1
Faris Ribic
Faris Ribic Goalkeeper
6.12
7
Ajdin Nukic
Ajdin Nukic Defender
6.26
8
Ante Hrkac
Ante Hrkac (C) Defender
6.26
13
Anes Omerovic
Anes Omerovic Defender
6.26
18
Said Duranovic
Said Duranovic Defender
6.26
6
Rafidine Abdullah
Rafidine Abdullah Midfielder
6.33
10
Dani Salcin
Dani Salcin Midfielder
6.37
83
Mahir Bešić
Mahir Bešić
Attacker77'
6.5
11
Aldin Mesic
Aldin Mesic Midfielder
6.37
29
Andro Babic
Andro Babic Midfielder
6.37
9
Armin Spahic
Armin Spahic Attacker
6.42
80
Nino Stojanovic
Nino Stojanovic Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Alioune Sylla → Ammar Ramadan
5th Substitution
86'
85'
Event
Armin Spahic
Other reason / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Ammar Ramadan
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Andreas Gruber → Uroš Kabić
4th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Mahir Bešić → Dani Salcin
3rd Substitution
Event
Fallou Diongue → Samsindin Ouro
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Matej Trusa → Abdoulaye Gueye
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Giorgi Gagua
Penalty / 1st Penalty
59'
1ST-HALF
Event
Abdoulaye Gueye
Simulation / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
12'
Event
Rafidine Abdullah
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Alioune Sylla comes on for Ammar Ramadan.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
78
Update Update
Andreas Gruber comes on for Uros Kabic.
77
Update Update
Mahir Besic comes on for Nino Stojanovic.
67
Substitution Substitution
Fallou Diongue is substituted for Samsondin Ouro.
67
Update Update
Matej Trusa comes on for Abdoulaye Gueye.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Giorgi Gagua scores, making it 1-0.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Stefan Ebner.

CONCLUSION

Dunajská Streda claimed a narrow 1-0 win over Velez in leg one of the tie. Possession favored the home side at 61 percent while the visitors held 39 percent. The game stayed scoreless at the interval before the decisive goal arrived after halftime. Absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain full complements on the field. Pre-match indicators showed only minimal deviation from the eventual outcome. With expected goals data unavailable the assessment relied on possession and result metrics alone. The victory positions Dunajská Streda with a slight aggregate lead heading into the return leg.