DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
SchücoArena
2. Bundesliga
DSC Arminia BielefeldBIE
3 0
Energie CottbusENE
Full Time
Round 2 Regular Season
Joel Grodowski - 26', 37', 76' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

DSC Arminia Bielefeld defeated Energie Cottbus by a score of 3-0. The home team established a 2-0 lead by halftime and maintained control throughout the second period. Despite recording just 40 percent possession against the visitors 60 percent, Bielefeld generated markedly higher quality chances. Their expected goals reached 3.18 while the away side managed only 0.76. The stronger team delivered the anticipated result in a match free of red cards. The outcome proved consistent with underlying metrics and featured no notable second half adjustments. This performance allowed the home side to secure a clean sheet while limiting the opponents to minimal threat despite their greater time on the ball. The final margin reflected the clear difference in clinical finishing and chance creation.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: DSC Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus. DSC Arminia Bielefeld showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments for both sides.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment showed home expected goals of 3.18 against away total of 0.76.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the stronger team secured the victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were met with the winner achieving the higher expected goals figure.
  • Event impact: Event impact stayed low with no second half adjustments occurring.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent as both teams finished with zero red cards.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Lechner
F. Lechner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Behrens
K. Behrens
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Rohde
R. Rohde
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Waschitzki
S. Waschitzki
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
DSC Arminia Bielefeld O. Kirch
O. Kirch
VS
Energie Cottbus C. Wollitz
C. Wollitz
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Karlsruher SC Rank: 71 L
Hertha BSC Rank: 76 W
Kaiserslautern Rank: 73 L
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 74 D
Preußen Münster Rank: 67 W
Nürnberg Rank: 75 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hannover 96 Rank: 78 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.03
43.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Energie Cottbus
Power Score
73.03
43.44
League Position
6
8
Global Rank
184
251

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
DSC Arminia Bielefeld — Opponent-weighted form score
Energie Cottbus — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) DSC Arminia Bielefeld Energie Cottbus

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Energie Cottbus

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

DSC Arminia Bielefeld ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Energie Cottbus
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
49.38
20.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.25
49.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
DSC Arminia Bielefeld +3.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Energie Cottbus -3.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Energie Cottbus
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

DSC Arminia Bielefeld
vs
Energie Cottbus
Created Set-piece attacking threat
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Energie Cottbus
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
37%
28%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18 vs -0.21
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Energie Cottbus
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
28%
37%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.21 vs -0.18
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Energie Cottbus
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
vs
Energie Cottbus
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Energie Cottbus
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 0.31
Energie Cottbus 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Energie Cottbus
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 0.00
Energie Cottbus 0.05
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Energie Cottbus
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BIE had peak pressure around 27'.
  • BIE started the game with stronger pressure.
BIE Pressure ENE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BIE reached the top pressure at 27' (77.04).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
SchücoArena
Capacity
27300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Florian Lechner
Kevin Behrens
René Rohde
Sven Waschitzki

Statistics

Possession
BIE
46%
ENE
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 3
55 Dangerous attacks 43
40 Possession 60
7 Corners 10
17 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
6 Goal Kicks 8
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 22
18 Successful Headers 10
1 Assists 0
17 Dribble Attempts 20
10 Successful Dribbles 7
59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35

Attacking

90 Attacks 101
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

56 Long Passes 50
345 Passes 518
269 Successful Passes 430
78 Successful Passes Percentage 83
11 Key Passes 7
28 Successful Long Passes 22
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

0 Saves 2
22 Tackles 11
16 Interceptions 7
66 Duels Won 39

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 26
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Florian Lechner

Starting XI ▼

1
Jonas Kersken
Jonas Kersken Goalkeeper
6.81
5
Maximilian Bauer
Maximilian Bauer (C) Defender
7.23
7
Henri Koudossou
Henri Koudossou Defender
8.15
17
Arne Sicker
Arne Sicker Defender
7.61
29
Tim Handwerker
Tim Handwerker
Defender82'
6.32
19
Maximilian Großer
Maximilian Großer Defender
7.13
6
Marvin Mehlem
Marvin Mehlem Midfielder
7.16
30
Isaiah Young
Isaiah Young
Attacker69'
7.35
10
Jannik Rochelt
Jannik Rochelt Midfielder
7.31
3
Joel Felix
Joel Felix
Defender82'
6.77
14
Monju Momuluh
Monju Momuluh Midfielder
7.5
27
Benjamin Boakye
Benjamin Boakye
Attacker59'
6.51
21
Stefano Russo
Stefano Russo Midfielder
7.23
38
Marius Wörl
Marius Wörl Midfielder
6.51
8
Sam Schreck
Sam Schreck
Midfielder60'
6.86
11
Joel Grodowski
Joel Grodowski Attacker
3
8.96
Referee : Florian Lechner

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lotka
Marcel Lotka Goalkeeper
6.27
3
Henry Rorig
Henry Rorig Defender
6.14
16
Ryan Malone
Ryan Malone
Defender75'
6.3
5
Dominik Pelivan
Dominik Pelivan Defender
5.59
21
Luca Erlein
Luca Erlein Defender
6.29
23
Fousseny Doumbia
Fousseny Doumbia Defender
5.7
20
Axel Borgmann
Axel Borgmann
Defender55'
6.7
8
Lukas Michelbrink
Lukas Michelbrink Midfielder
6.37
4
Tim Campulka
Tim Campulka
Defender75'
6.27
10
Tolcay Cigerci
Tolcay Cigerci (C) Midfielder
6.36
17
Julian Guttau
Julian Guttau Midfielder
6.17
31
Justin Butler
Justin Butler
Attacker46'
6.85
32
Leonardo Bittencourt
Leonardo Bittencourt Midfielder
6.7
7
Christian Kinsombi
Christian Kinsombi Attacker
6.53
11
Moritz Hannemann
Moritz Hannemann
Attacker46'
6.51
9
Lucas Copado
Lucas Copado Attacker
6.35

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tim Handwerker
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Joel Felix → Jannik Rochelt
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Tim Handwerker → Arne Sicker
10th Substitution
82'
Event
Benjamin Boakye
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
78'
78'
Event
Justin Butler
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Joel Grodowski
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
76'
75'
Event
Tim Campulka → Lukas Michelbrink
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Ryan Malone → Henry Rorig
8th Substitution
Event
Isaiah Young → Marvin Mehlem
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Sam Schreck → Marius Wörl
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Benjamin Boakye → Monju Momuluh
4th Substitution
59'
55'
Event
Axel Borgmann   → Fousseny Doumbia 
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Justin Butler → Julian Guttau
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Moritz Hannemann → Christian Kinsombi
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Joel Grodowski
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
37'
27'
Event
Henry Rorig
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Joel Grodowski
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
26'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tim Handwerker Left Footed Shot Blocked
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Henri Koudossou Head Shot Saved
90
Update Update
Match Ends！ 3-0
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joel Grodowski Left Footed Shot Blocked
89
Corner Corner
Corner
88
Corner Corner
Corner
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Tim Handwerker
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tolcay Cigerci Left Footed Shot Blocked
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Tim Handwerker
82
Update Update
On Tim Handwerker，Off Arne Sicker
82
Update Update
On Joel Felix，Off Jannik Rochelt
82
Corner Corner
Corner
82
Corner Corner
Corner
81
Corner Corner
Corner
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Benjamin Boakye
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Justin Butlers Profile
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Joel Grodowski Right Footed Shot Goal
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Joel Grodowski 3-0
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 3-0
75
Update Update
On Tim Campulka，Off Lukas Michelbrink
75
Update Update
On Ryan Malone，Off Henry Rorig
73
Corner Corner
Corner
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Benjamin Boakye Right Footed Shot Missed
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Henry Rorig Left Footed Shot Blocked
69
Corner Corner
Corner
69
Corner Corner
Corner
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Justin Butlers Profile Head Shot Missed
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lucas Copado Right Footed Shot Blocked
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leonardo Bittencourt Left Footed Shot Blocked
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Stefano Russo Right Footed Shot Missed
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joel Grodowski Left Footed Shot Blocked
60
Update Update
On Sam Schreck，Off Marius Worl
60
Update Update
On Benjamin Boakye，Off Monju Momuluh
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marvin Mehlem Right Footed Shot Saved
55
Update Update
On Axel Borgmann，Off Fousseny Doumbia
52
Corner Corner
Corner
50
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Update Update
On Moritz Hannemann，Off Christian Kinsombi
46
Update Update
On Justin Butlers Profile，Off Julian Guttau
45
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Corner Corner
Corner
44
Corner Corner
Corner
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Joel Grodowski Right Footed Shot Goal
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Joel Grodowski 2-0
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Fousseny Doumbia Head Shot Missed
32
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Henry Rorig Right Footed Shot Missed
32
Corner Corner
Corner
32
Corner Corner
Corner
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Henry Rorig
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Henry Rorig
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Henry Rorig
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Maximilian Grosser Head Shot Blocked
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
9
Corner Corner
Corner
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Maximilian Grosser Head Shot Missed
5
Corner Corner
Corner
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joel Grodowski Right Footed Shot Blocked
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Stefano Russo Right Footed Shot Blocked
2
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Florian Lechner

CONCLUSION

The 3-0 result underlined DSC Arminia Bielefelds ability to convert limited possession into decisive output. Their early two goal cushion at halftime allowed measured control without unnecessary risk. Energie Cottbus held more of the ball yet failed to translate territorial advantage into meaningful opportunities. The expected goals differential of 2.42 accurately captured the quality gap between the sides. Absence of dismissals ensured the contest remained eleven versus eleven and focused on tactical execution. Bielefelds clinical approach yielded the clean sheet while restricting the visitors to low threat levels. Overall the performance reinforced the home sides status as the stronger unit on the day.