Drita vs Floriana preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri Tue, 28 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa Conference League
DritaDRI
2 1
FlorianaFLO
Full Time: After Extra Time Tue, 28 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 2
Kauan - 91' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Paul Mbong - 40'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Drita 2–1 Floriana. The result saw Drita take the points. Drita showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 51%–49%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Drita recorded a significant structural deviation of 35.8 percent as the winner.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall team performance.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: No specific expected goals values were recorded for either team.
  • Event impact: Drita completed a 3-2 aggregate win after the 2-1 second-leg result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Horatiu Fesnic
Horatiu Fesnic
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Neacșu
G. Neacșu
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Neacșu
I. Neacșu
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Vidican
R. Vidican
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Drita Z. Ramadani
Z. Ramadani
VS
Floriana Daniel Portela
Daniel Portela
0.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Floriana Rank: D
Celje Rank: 73 L
Celje Rank: 73 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Drita Rank: 57 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Drita
64.24%
Draw
21.72%
Away Floriana
14.03%

Movement

Changes since opening
Drita
+58.83%
Draw
-68.49%
Floriana
+9.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.96
27.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Drita
Floriana
Power Score
14.96
27.78
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Drita — Opponent-weighted form score
Floriana — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Drita Floriana

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Drita

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Floriana

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Drita ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Floriana
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.80
30.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.61
44.80
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Drita +1.33 Efficiency Index
vs
Floriana -1.33 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Drita
Floriana
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Drita ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Floriana
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Drita Floriana
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Drita Floriana
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Drita
Floriana
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Drita
vs
Floriana
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Drita Floriana
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Drita 0.15
Floriana 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Drita Floriana
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Drita 0.01
Floriana 0.02
Drita
Floriana
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DRI had peak pressure around 20'.
  • FLO started the game with stronger pressure.
DRI Pressure FLO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DRI reached the top pressure at 20' (58.70).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Drita DRI Home
1 matches
Floriana FLO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-29T00:01:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 28, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 2
Stadium
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
Capacity
13500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Horatiu Fesnic
George Florin Neacșu
Ionuț Traian Neacșu
Rareș George Vidican

Statistics

Possession
DRI
50%
FLO
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
7 Shots 4
117 Dangerous attacks 100
51 Possession 49
5 Corners 3
23 Free kicks 34
7 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

139 Ball Safe 150
11 Goal Attempts 7
6 Substitutions 4
19 Throwins 35
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

208 Attacks 208

Discipline

5 Offsides 0
20 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Horatiu Fesnic

Starting XI ▼

1
Faton Maloku
Faton Maloku Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Besnik Krasniqi
Besnik Krasniqi (C) Defender
6.26
3
Blerton Sheji
Blerton Sheji Defender
6.25
32
Jorgo Pellumbi
Jorgo Pellumbi Defender
6.41
55
Hajdin Salihu
Hajdin Salihu Defender
6.26
26
Raddy Ovouka
Raddy Ovouka
Defender60'
6.61
7
Igball Jashari
Igball Jashari Midfielder
6.33
4
Rron Broja
Rron Broja
Midfielder87'
6.5
8
Vesel Limaj
Vesel Limaj Midfielder
6.37
25
Altin Bytyci
Altin Bytyci
Defender60'
6.5
10
Liridon Balaj
Liridon Balaj Midfielder
6.33
9
Arb Manaj
Arb Manaj
Attacker46'
6.46
14
Albert Dabiqaj
Albert Dabiqaj Midfielder
6.33
19
Blerim Krasniqi
Blerim Krasniqi Attacker
6.46
93
Kemehlo Nguena
Kemehlo Nguena
Midfielder109'
6.5
77
Kristal Abazaj
Kristal Abazaj Attacker
6.46
24
William Baeten
William Baeten
Midfielder60'
6.45
Referee : Horatiu Fesnic

Starting XI ▼

23
Guilherme Cioletti
Guilherme Cioletti Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Myles Beerman
Myles Beerman Defender
6.04
4
Kauan
Kauan Defender
5.86
6
Amar Drina
Amar Drina Defender
6.04
17
Owen Spiteri
Owen Spiteri Defender
6.05
10
Federico Varela
Federico Varela Midfielder
6.38
12
Dunstan Vella
Dunstan Vella (C) Midfielder
6.5
16
Gastón Manuel Romano
Gastón Manuel Romano
Midfielder67'
6.27
14
Alen Kurtalic
Alen Kurtalic Midfielder
6.27
28
Paul Mbong
Paul Mbong Midfielder
6.69
11
Robert Muric
Robert Muric
Midfielder67'
6.27
9
Kenan Dervisagic
Kenan Dervisagic Attacker
6.42
21
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli
Midfielder90+3'
6.45
22
Tomislav Gudelj
Tomislav Gudelj Attacker
6.5
8
Zachary Scerri
Zachary Scerri
Midfielder81'
6.23

Events

2ND-HALF
120+1'
Event
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli
Foul / 12th Yellowcard
Event
Kemehlo Nguena → Blerim Krasniqi
10th Substitution
109'
Event
Arb Manaj
Foul / 10th Yellowcard
95'
95'
Event
Zachary Scerri
Foul / 11th Yellowcard
Event
Albert Dabiqaj
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
93'
Event
Kauan
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
91'
90+3'
Event
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli → Kenan Dervisagic
9th Substitution
Event
Blerton Sheji
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Jorgo Pellumbi
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
88'
Event
Rron Broja   → Igball Jashari
8th Substitution
87'
84'
Event
Kenan Dervisagic
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Jorgo Pellumbi
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
83'
81'
Event
Zachary Scerri → Tomislav Gudelj
7th Substitution
Event
Zekirija Ramadani
Argument / 13th Yellowcard
71'
Event
William Baeten
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
69'
67'
Event
Robert Muric → Paul Mbong
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Gastón Manuel Romano → Dunstan Vella 
6th Substitution
Event
William Baeten → Kristal Abazaj
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Altin Bytyci → Vesel Limaj
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Raddy Ovouka → Hajdin Salihu
4th Substitution
60'
52'
Event
Amar Drina
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Arb Manaj → Liridon Balaj
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Paul Mbong
Field Goal / 1st Goal
Event
Liridon Balaj
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
35'
Event
Igball Jashari
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
33'
14'
Event
Myles Beerman
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

118
Corner Corner
Corner
108
Update Update
On Kemelho Nguena，Off Blerim Krasniqi
104
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
95
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Arb Manaj
95
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
95
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Zachary Scerri
91
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Own Goal - Kauan 2-1
91
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Arb Manaj 2-1，Assist：Raddy Ovouka
90
Update Update
On Carlo Zammit Lonardelli，Off Kenan Dervisagic
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Jorgo Pellumbi 1-1，Assist：Raddy Ovouka
87
Update Update
On Rron Broja，Off Igball Jashari
85
Corner Corner
Corner
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Zachary Scerri
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
81
Update Update
On Zachary Scerri，Off Tomislav Gudelj
72
Corner Corner
Corner
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
67
Update Update
On Gaston Manuel Romano，Off Dunstan Vella
67
Update Update
On Robert Muric，Off Paul Mbong
60
Update Update
On Raddy Ovouka，Off Hajdin Salihu
60
Update Update
On William Baeten，Off Kristal Abazaj
60
Update Update
On Altin Bytyci，Off Vesel Limaj
55
Corner Corner
Corner
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
47
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Update Update
On Arb Manaj，Off Liridon Balaj
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Paul Mbong 0-1，Assist：Federico Varela
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Liridon Balaj
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
24
Corner Corner
Corner
18
Corner Corner
Corner
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
13
Corner Corner
Corner
3
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Horatiu Fesnic

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Drita 2-1 Floriana. Structural assessment: Drita exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.