Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadion Maksimir Today - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb GNK
Thun THU
KICKOFF : Today - 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1

CONTEXT

Dinamo Zagreb host Thun at Stadion Maksimir for the second leg of their Champions League second qualifying round tie. The first leg ended 1-1 away from home, leaving the aggregate level entering this match. Dinamo carry a clear power advantage of 17.3 points and operate as the stronger side overall. Both teams share identical form scores of 16.67, suggesting evenly matched recent performances. Home metrics favor Dinamo significantly while set piece and efficiency data remain limited with low confidence indicators. The contest offers a platform for Dinamo to leverage structural strengths in front of their supporters. Thun will look to maintain defensive organization and exploit any openings on the counter. This encounter shapes the next step in European progression for both clubs.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dinamo Zagreb holds a significant power advantage of 17.3 points over Thun.
  • Form: Both teams enter with identical form scores of 16.67.
  • Squad: Dinamo Zagreb is the stronger side based on overall team metrics.
  • Efficiency: Limited efficiency data is available for both sides in this fixture.
  • Transition: Data on transitional play remains unavailable for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics show low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: The home side benefits from a notable power score edge at 83.62 compared to 66.32.
  • Market: Dinamo Zagreb 67.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.9% (Δ+0%) | Thun 12.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
VS
Thun G. Privitelli
G. Privitelli
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 83 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo Zagreb
67.79%
Draw
19.94%
Away Thun
12.27%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.62
66.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Zagreb
Thun
Power Score
83.62
66.32
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
51
367

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Dinamo Zagreb Opponent-weighted form score
Thun Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Zagreb Thun

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Zagreb GNK Home
1 matches
Thun THU Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
1.14
xG
0.92
0.92
xGA
1.14

Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:07:17+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 28, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Stadion Maksimir
Capacity
24851
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Radoslav Gidzhenov

Squad

Referee : Radoslav Gidzhenov

Squad

1
Daniel Zagorac
Daniel Zagorac Goalkeeper
44
Ivan Filipović
Ivan Filipović Goalkeeper
33
Ivan Nevistić
Ivan Nevistić Goalkeeper
88
Antonio Rajić
Antonio Rajić Goalkeeper
28
Kévin Théophile-Catherine
Kévin Théophile-Catherine Defender
6
Stjepan Radeljić
Stjepan Radeljić Defender
3
Bruno Goda
Bruno Goda Defender
18
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel Defender
26
Scott McKenna
Scott McKenna Defender
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic Defender
25
Moris Valincic
Moris Valincic Defender
16
Raúl Torrente Navarro
Raúl Torrente Navarro Defender
13
Paul Bismarck Tabinas
Paul Bismarck Tabinas Defender
36
Sergi Domínguez Viloria
Sergi Domínguez Viloria Defender
22
Matteo Perez Vinlöf
Matteo Perez Vinlöf Defender
42
Marko Zebić
Marko Zebić Defender
35
Noa Mikic
Noa Mikic Defender
Borna Orlić
Borna Orlić Defender
Robert Mudražija
Robert Mudražija Midfielder
27
Josip Mišić
Josip Mišić Midfielder
8
Miha Zajc
Miha Zajc Midfielder
7
Luka Stojković
Luka Stojković Midfielder
80
Lukas Kačavenda
Lukas Kačavenda Midfielder
Lovre Kulušić
Lovre Kulušić Midfielder
41
Sven Šunta
Sven Šunta Midfielder
99
Mislav Oršić
Mislav Oršić Attacker
11
Arbër Hoxha
Arbër Hoxha Attacker
9
Drena Beljo Dijon
Drena Beljo Dijon Attacker
10
Gabriel Vidović
Gabriel Vidović Attacker
21
Mateo Lisica
Mateo Lisica Attacker
71
Monsef Bakrar
Monsef Bakrar Attacker
30
Fran Topić
Fran Topić Attacker
Daniel Rodríguez Crespo
Daniel Rodríguez Crespo Attacker
Tin Miljak
Tin Miljak Attacker
Referee : Radoslav Gidzhenov

Squad

1
Niklas Steffen
Niklas Steffen Goalkeeper
25
Tim Spycher
Tim Spycher Goalkeeper
22
Dario Wälti
Dario Wälti Goalkeeper
34
Leo Stucki
Leo Stucki Goalkeeper
23
Marco Bürki
Marco Bürki Defender
5
Nicolas Bürgy
Nicolas Bürgy Defender
19
Jan Bamert
Jan Bamert Defender
4
Genís Montolio Lafuente
Genís Montolio Lafuente Defender
47
Fabio Fehr
Fabio Fehr Defender
17
Ashvin Balaruban
Ashvin Balaruban Defender
27
Michael Heule
Michael Heule Defender
24
Mats Seiler
Mats Seiler Defender
37
Lucien Dähler
Lucien Dähler Defender
54
Louis Immanuel Passavant
Louis Immanuel Passavant Defender
14
Mattias Käit
Mattias Käit Midfielder
16
Justin Roth
Justin Roth Midfielder
30
Nico Maier
Nico Maier Midfielder
70
Nils Reichmuth
Nils Reichmuth Midfielder
13
Nassim Othmane Zoukit
Nassim Othmane Zoukit Midfielder
78
Valmir Matoshi
Valmir Matoshi Midfielder
21
Dorian Derbaci
Dorian Derbaci Midfielder
52
Adam Ilic
Adam Ilic Midfielder
18
Christopher Ibayi
Christopher Ibayi Attacker
96
Brighton Andy Labeau Melchior
Brighton Andy Labeau Melchior Attacker
11
Layton Stewart
Layton Stewart Attacker
9
Furkan Dursun
Furkan Dursun Attacker
33
Marc Gutbub
Marc Gutbub Attacker
80
Simon Lengen
Simon Lengen Attacker

CONCLUSION

Dinamo Zagreb enter the second leg with a structural edge and home support that could prove decisive in breaking the deadlock. With the aggregate tied at 1-1, the Croatian side must balance attacking intent with caution against Thun counters. Thun demonstrated resilience in the first meeting and will aim to repeat that discipline on the road. Limited set piece and efficiency insights add uncertainty to detailed predictions. Dinamo's power score superiority suggests they hold the tools to advance if they control possession and territory effectively. Thun's task is to frustrate and seek opportunities in transition. The outcome will determine which team progresses further in the competition.