Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Maksimir
1. HNL
Dinamo ZagrebGNK
4 0
RudešRudeš
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
Dion Beljo - 6', 61' (P)
Arbër Hoxha - 63'
Goal
|
|
Red Card Ante Susak 60'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Dinamo Zagreb 4–0 Rudeš. The result saw Dinamo Zagreb take the points. Dinamo Zagreb showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 63%–37%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 Rudeš. Dinamo Zagreb showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Dragasevic
F. Dragasevic
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
I. Janić
I. Janić
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Kontrec
T. Kontrec
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Crnojević
M. Crnojević
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
VS
Rudeš A. Peternac
A. Peternac
2.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: 74 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 66 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 68 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 W
Hajduk Split Rank: 75 W
Gorica Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: 66 L
Rijeka Rank: 75 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.86
29.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Zagreb
Rudeš
Power Score
83.86
29.28
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
48
912

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Rudeš — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Zagreb Rudeš

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dinamo Zagreb

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rudeš

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dinamo Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rudeš
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.78
27.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.43
42.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dinamo Zagreb +1.37 Efficiency Index
vs
Rudeš -1.37 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Zagreb
Rudeš
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dinamo Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rudeš
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dinamo Zagreb Rudeš
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dinamo Zagreb Rudeš
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Zagreb
Rudeš
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dinamo Zagreb
vs
Rudeš
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dinamo Zagreb Rudeš
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dinamo Zagreb 0.41
Rudeš 0.39
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dinamo Zagreb Rudeš
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dinamo Zagreb 0.00
Rudeš 0.07
Dinamo Zagreb
Rudeš
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GNK had peak pressure around 24'.
  • GNK started the game with stronger pressure.
GNK Pressure Rudeš Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GNK reached the top pressure at 24' (70.80).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Maksimir
Capacity
24851
Attendance
5788
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Filip Dragasevic
Ivan Janić
Toni Kontrec
Marko Crnojević

Statistics

Possession
GNK
61%
Rudeš
39%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
9 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 3
59 Dangerous attacks 23
63 Possession 37
12 Corners 3
8 Free kicks 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
3 Goal Kicks 5
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 16
1 Assists 0
15 Dribble Attempts 8
13 Successful Dribbles 6
87 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75

Attacking

124 Attacks 81
6 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

43 Long Passes 46
489 Passes 284
410 Successful Passes 217
84 Successful Passes Percentage 76
17 Key Passes 5
21 Successful Long Passes 16
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

Defensive

2 Saves 7
9 Tackles 10
9 Interceptions 9
45 Duels Won 49

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 14
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

19 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Filip Dragasevic

Starting XI ▼

33
Ivan Nevistic
Ivan Nevistic Goalkeeper
6.91
3
Bruno Goda
Bruno Goda Defender
7.62
6
Stjepan Radeljic
Stjepan Radeljic Defender
7.58
13
Paul Tabinas
Paul Tabinas Defender
6.97
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic Defender
7.66
8
Miha Zajc
Miha Zajc Midfielder
7.3
41
Sven Sunta
Sven Sunta
Midfielder65'
7.19
27
Josip Misic
Josip Misic (C) Midfielder
6.92
36
Sergi Domínguez
Sergi Domínguez
Defender60'
6.36
80
Lukas Kacavenda
Lukas Kacavenda Midfielder
7.72
20
Robert Mudrazija
Robert Mudrazija
Midfielder60'
6.9
9
Dion Beljo
Dion Beljo Attacker
2
7.41
14
Smail Prevljak
Smail Prevljak
Attacker65'
6.51
11
Arbër Hoxha
Arbër Hoxha Attacker
7.33
30
Fran Topic
Fran Topic Attacker
7.35
21
Mateo Lisica
Mateo Lisica
Attacker72'
6.96
Referee : Filip Dragasevic

Starting XI ▼

95
Lovre Rogic
Lovre Rogic (C) Goalkeeper
7.37
5
Marko Stolnik
Marko Stolnik Defender
6.35
14
Bruno Unusic
Bruno Unusic Defender
5.76
21
Ante Susak
Ante Susak Defender
5.44
27
Felipe Curcio
Felipe Curcio Defender
5.54
4
Vedran Celjak
Vedran Celjak
Defender50'
6.31
2
Toni Kolega
Toni Kolega Midfielder
6.61
11
Jurica Poldrugac
Jurica Poldrugac Midfielder
6.47
17
Josip Pejic
Josip Pejic
Attacker85'
6.63
15
Noa Skoko
Noa Skoko Midfielder
6.89
20
Jakov Blagaic
Jakov Blagaic Midfielder
6.68
10
Vid Seitz
Vid Seitz
Midfielder60'
6.24
28
Xavi
Xavi Midfielder
6.63
92
Diego Zivulic
Diego Zivulic
Defender85'
6.49
9
Stefan Vukic
Stefan Vukic Attacker
6.3
7
Lenny Ilecic
Lenny Ilecic
Attacker60'
6.69

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sergi Domínguez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
85'
Event
Josip Pejic → Jurica Poldrugac
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Diego Zivulic → Xavi
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Vid Seitz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mateo Lisica → Fran Topic
8th Substitution
72'
Event
Smail Prevljak → Dion Beljo
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Sven Sunta → Miha Zajc
7th Substitution
65'
Event
Arbër Hoxha
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
63'
Event
Dion Beljo
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
61'
Event
Sergi Domínguez → Josip Misic
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Robert Mudrazija → Lukas Kacavenda
4th Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Lenny Ilecic → Stefan Vukic
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Vid Seitz → Jakov Blagaic
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Ante Susak
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
58'
Event
Ante Susak
Card adjusted
56'
Event
Stefan Vukic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
52'
Event
Xavi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
50'
Event
Vedran Celjak  → Felipe Curcio
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Lukas Kacavenda
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
39'
Event
Dion Beljo
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Josip Pejic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sergi Dominguez receives a yellow card.
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Paul Bismarck Tabinas with his right foot is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Goda's left-footed shot is saved.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Substitution Substitution
Diego Zivulic is substituted for Xavier Fernandes.
85
Substitution Substitution
Diego Zivulic is substituted off for Xavier Fernandes.
81
Update Update
Josip Pejic comes on for Jurica Poldrugac.
80
Attempt Attempt
Niko Galesic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vid Seitz.
79
Attempt Attempt
Vedran Celjak takes a header shot but misses.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vid Seitz.
77
Attempt Attempt
Niko Galesic's header is saved.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Attempt Attempt
Sven Sunta takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Mateo Lisica comes on for Fran Topic.
70
Attempt Attempt
Xavier Fernandes takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
69
Attempt Attempt
Fran Topic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
68
Update Update
Mateo Lisica comes on for Fran Topic.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Update Update
Sven Sunta comes on for Miha Zajc.
65
Update Update
Smail Prevljak comes on for Dion Drena Beljo.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Arber Hoxha takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Arber Hoxha scores to make it 4-0, assisted by Robert Mudrazija.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Dion Drena Beljo scores with a left-footed shot.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Dion Drena Beljo scores, making it 3-0.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Robert Mudrazija comes on for Lukas Kacavenda.
60
Update Update
On Lenny Ilecic, off Stefan Vukic.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Vid Seitz comes on for Jakov Blagaic.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
58
Update Update
Robert Mudrazija comes on for Josip Misic.
56
Update Update
VAR decision pending.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Stefan Vukic receives a yellow card.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Xavier Fernandes receives a yellow card.
50
Update Update
Vedran Celjak is on, and Felipe Castaldo Curcio is off.
45
Update Update
Vedran Celjak is on, and Felipe Castaldo Curcio is off.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Lukas Kacavenda takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lukas Kacavenda scores, making it 2-0.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lukas Kacavenda scores, making it 2-0.
36
Attempt Attempt
Noa Skoko's left-footed shot is blocked.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Fran Topic takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
27
Attempt Attempt
Dion Drena Beljo attempts a header but misses the shot.
24
Attempt Attempt
Dion Drena Beljo attempts a header, but the shot is blocked.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Fran Topic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Dion Drena Beljo takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Noa Skoko takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Noa Skoko takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
14
Attempt Attempt
Toni Kolega takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Goda takes a right-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Vukic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Dion Drena Beljo scores with a left-footed shot.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dion Drena Beljo scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Stjepan Radeljic.
4
Attempt Attempt
Miha Zajc takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dion Drena Beljo scores to make it 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 Rudeš. Structural assessment: Dinamo Zagreb exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.