Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mondorf-les-Bains preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Dinamo TbilisiDIN
1 – 1
Mondorf-les-BainsUSM
Full Time: After Extra Time Thu, 16 Jul 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 2
Nika Ninua - 111' (P)
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 Mondorf-les-Bains. The match ended in a draw. Dinamo Tbilisi showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 55%–45%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Dinamo Tbilisi recorded a significant 94.4 percent deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed performance levels across both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw outcome was not aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations were recorded for either team in this fixture.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 result produced a 4-3 aggregate win for Dinamo Tbilisi.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued leaving match dynamics undistorted.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Levi
G. Levi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Medina
D. Medina
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Y. Babayof
Y. Babayof
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Y. Mizrahi
Y. Mizrahi
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Dinamo Tbilisi T. Ketsbaia
T. Ketsbaia
VS
Mondorf-les-Bains M. Forkel
M. Forkel
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mondorf-les-Bains Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Tbilisi Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo Tbilisi
0.63%
Draw
5.62%
Away Mondorf-les-Bains
93.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Tbilisi
Mondorf-les-Bains
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi — Opponent-weighted form score
Mondorf-les-Bains — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Tbilisi Mondorf-les-Bains

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dinamo Tbilisi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mondorf-les-Bains

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dinamo Tbilisi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mondorf-les-Bains
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
50.64
34.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.00
50.64
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dinamo Tbilisi +1.56 Efficiency Index
vs
Mondorf-les-Bains -1.56 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Tbilisi
Mondorf-les-Bains
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dinamo Tbilisi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mondorf-les-Bains
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dinamo Tbilisi Mondorf-les-Bains
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dinamo Tbilisi Mondorf-les-Bains
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Tbilisi
Mondorf-les-Bains
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dinamo Tbilisi
vs
Mondorf-les-Bains
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dinamo Tbilisi Mondorf-les-Bains
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.24
Mondorf-les-Bains 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dinamo Tbilisi Mondorf-les-Bains
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.02
Mondorf-les-Bains 0.01
Dinamo Tbilisi
Mondorf-les-Bains
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DIN had peak pressure around 25'.
  • USM started the game with stronger pressure.
DIN Pressure USM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DIN reached the top pressure at 25' (73.51).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Tbilisi DIN Home
1 matches
Mondorf-les-Bains USM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:02:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-5-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
1
1
77
77
6
6
4
4
66
66
L. Baal
Substitution
French Guiana
23 L. Baal
27 (C)
27 (C)
C. Couturier
Substitution
Madagascar
5 C. Couturier
72
72
H. Far
France
76 H. Far
L. Stoltz
Substitution
France
18 L. Stoltz

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 2
Stadium
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni
Capacity
25453
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gal Levi
Dor Medina
Yossi Babayof
Yoav Mizrahi

Statistics

Possession
DIN
54%
USM
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
8 Shots 9
97 Dangerous attacks 66
55 Possession 45
11 Corners 8
15 Free kicks 22
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

132 Ball Safe 129
2 Penalties 0
12 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 6
39 Throwins 25
4 Injuries 2

Attacking

203 Attacks 173

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
19 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Gal Levi

Starting XI ▼

1
Giorgi Loria
Giorgi Loria (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Aleksandre Kalandadze
Aleksandre Kalandadze Defender
6.26
6
Leonardo dos Santos Lopes da Silva
Leonardo dos Santos Lopes da Silva Defender
6.26
17
Paris Psaltis
Paris Psaltis Defender
6.5
21
Daniel Kvartskhava
Daniel Kvartskhava
Attacker85'
6.46
27
N. Kurdić
N. Kurdić Defender
6.25
14
Maxime Do Couto
Maxime Do Couto Midfielder
6.37
32
Luca Tsikolia
Luca Tsikolia
Midfielder120+1'
22
Nika Ninua
Nika Ninua Midfielder
6.41
4
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze
Defender115'
6.5
24
Barnes Osei
Barnes Osei Midfielder
6.33
39
Koba Kakashvili
Koba Kakashvili Midfielder
6.5
18
Tornike Kvaratskhelia
Tornike Kvaratskhelia
Attacker56'
6.46
11
Mate Vatsadze
Mate Vatsadze Attacker
6.5
31
Levan Kharabadze
Levan Kharabadze
Defender46'
6.26
12
Algassime Bah
Algassime Bah Attacker
6.14
Referee : Gal Levi

Starting XI ▼

1
Joao Machado Goalkeeper
4
Kyllian Estrada Defender
6
Anthony Knoepffler Defender
66
Cédric Steinmetz Defender
77
Almir Klica Defender
5
Clément Couturier
Clément Couturier Midfielder
6.69
—
Clément Couturier
106'
23
Loïc Baal
Loïc Baal Midfielder
6.5
—
Loïc Baal
91'
27
Dwayn Holter (C) Midfielder
18
Lenny Stoltz
Lenny Stoltz Attacker
6.5
—
Lenny Stoltz
82'
72
Loris Tinelli Attacker
76
Hatim Far
Hatim Far Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Luca Tsikolia → Maxime Do Couto
11th Substitution
120+1'
Event
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze → Nika Ninua
10th Substitution
115'
113'
Event
Jean-Paul Kumbi
9th Substitution
Event
Nika Ninua
Penalty / 1st Penalty
111'
111'
Event
Anthony Knoepffler
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
110'
Event
Martin Forkel
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
106'
Event
Chaaban Issaka → Clément Couturier
8th Substitution
91'
Event
Gianni Medina → Loïc Baal
7th Substitution
86'
Event
Clément Couturier
Field Goal / 1st Goal
Event
Daniel Kvartskhava → Paris Psaltis
6th Substitution
85'
82'
Event
Yannick Cervellera → Lenny Stoltz
5th Substitution
Event
Algassime Bah
Goalkeeper save
65'
65'
Event
Mehdi Kirch → Almir Klica
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Stefan Rocha → Loris Tinelli
4th Substitution
Event
Barnes Osei
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Tornike Kvaratskhelia → Koba Kakashvili
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
N. Kurdić
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
56'
47'
Event
Kyllian Estrada
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Levan Kharabadze → Mate Vatsadze
1st Substitution
46'

Match Commentary

120
Update Update
Luca Tsikolia comes on for Maxime Do Couto Teixeira.
116
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
116
Update Update
Luca Tsikolia is on, and Maxime Do Couto Teixeira is off.
115
Update Update
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze comes on for Nika Ninua.
113
Update Update
Jean-Paul Kumbi is on, and Kyllian Estrada is off.
111
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yellow card issued.
111
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Nika Ninua scores, making it 1-1.
107
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
106
Update Update
Chaaban Issaka comes on for Clément Couturier.
92
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
92
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
91
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Clément Couturier scores to make it 1-0.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Substitution Substitution
Daniel Kvartskhava is substituted off for Paris Psaltis.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Update Update
Yannick Cervellera is on, and Lenny Stoltz is off.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Update Update
Mehdi Kirch replaces Almir Klica.
65
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Barnes Osei.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
56
Substitution Substitution
Tornike Kvaratskhelia is substituted off for Koba Kakashvili.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
46
Update Update
Levan Kharabadze comes on for Mate Vatsadze.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Gal Levi.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw in leg two allowed Dinamo Tbilisi to advance on aggregate despite failing to protect their first-leg advantage fully. Mondorf-les-Bains showed resilience by scoring an away goal yet could not overturn the deficit. Dinamo Tbilisi controlled more of the ball and created the better chances overall but lacked clinical finishing. The absence of any dismissals kept the contest balanced until the final whistle. Progression for the Georgian side reflects their stronger squad depth and experience at this stage of the competition. Both teams will now turn attention to domestic fixtures after an evenly matched European encounter.