Dinamo Minsk vs Sporting Braga preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Beroe
Europa Conference League
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 1

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Dinamo Minsk 0–0 Sporting Braga. The match ended in a draw. Sporting Braga showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 66%–34%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A moderate deviation was recorded in favor of Sporting Braga.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment checks.
  • Market alignment: The draw result aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were provided in the data.
  • Event impact: The 0-0 scoreline preserved the first-leg aggregate lead.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion to proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Kovacs
S. Kovacs
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Badea
M. Badea
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Vornicu
A. Vornicu
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Vidican
R. Vidican
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 84 L
Neftçi Rank: L
Neftçi Rank: W
Sileks Rank: W
Sileks Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Minsk Rank: W
Železničar Pančevo Rank: W
Železničar Pančevo Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo Minsk
4.38%
Draw
90.21%
Away Sporting Braga
5.41%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dinamo Minsk
+0.02%
Draw
+4.73%
Sporting Braga
-4.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.78
35.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Minsk
Sporting Braga
Power Score
23.78
35.05
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Dinamo Minsk Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Minsk Sporting Braga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Dinamo Minsk

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Sporting Braga

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dinamo Minsk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Braga
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
4.09
12.06
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.06
4.09
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dinamo Minsk -0.62 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting Braga +0.62 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Minsk
Sporting Braga
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dinamo Minsk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Braga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dinamo Minsk Sporting Braga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dinamo Minsk Sporting Braga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Minsk
Sporting Braga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Dinamo Minsk
vs
Sporting Braga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dinamo Minsk Sporting Braga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dinamo Minsk Sporting Braga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Dinamo Minsk
Sporting Braga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCB had peak pressure around 53'.
  • SCB started the game with stronger pressure.
DIN Pressure SCB Pressure
Pressure Index: SCB reached the top pressure at 53' (62.99).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Minsk DIN Home
1 matches
Sporting Braga SCB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-14T00:02:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 1
Stadium
Stadion Beroe
Capacity
12128
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Szabolcs Kovacs
Marius Florin Badea
Adrian Vornicu
Rareș George Vidican

Statistics

Possession
DIN
48%
SCB
52%

Top Statistics

3 Shots 3
54 Dangerous attacks 82
66 Possession 34
3 Corners 5
11 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 26

Attacking

134 Attacks 148

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Szabolcs Kovacs

Starting XI

1
Ivan Shimakovich
Ivan Shimakovich Goalkeeper
6.5
24
Aleksey Vakulich
Aleksey Vakulich Defender
6.5
9
Andrey Lutskovich
26
Vladislav Kalinin
6.5
44
Gleb Gurban
Gleb Gurban Defender
6.5
3
Maksim Shvetsov
Maksim Shvetsov
Defender75'
6.5
67
Roman Begunov
Roman Begunov Defender
6.5
7
Evgeniy Malashevich
Evgeniy Malashevich Midfielder
6.45
11
Gulzhigit Alykulov
Gulzhigit Alykulov
Midfielder75'
6.5
8
Aleksandr Selyava
6.5
23
Aleksey Zhechko
Aleksey Zhechko Midfielder
6.5
78
Artem Sokolovskiy
Artem Sokolovskiy
Midfielder65'
6.5
42
Fawaz Abdullahi
Fawaz Abdullahi Midfielder
6.5
10
Karen Vardanyan
Karen Vardanyan Attacker
6.5
80
Leonard Gweth
Leonard Gweth
Attacker64'
6.46
30
Moustapha Djimet
Moustapha Djimet Attacker
6.46
Referee : Szabolcs Kovacs

Starting XI

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6.5
7
Diogo Travassos
Diogo Travassos Defender
6.5
11
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva
Attacker62'
6.5
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
6.5
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho
Defender46'
6.5
22
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Defender
6.5
44
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
6.5
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Midfielder
6.5
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Midfielder
6.5
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
6.5
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
6.5
23
Denis Huseinbasic
Denis Huseinbasic
Midfielder74'
6.5
10
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Attacker
6.5
9
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro
Attacker62'
6.46
21
Ricardo Horta
6.46
37
Adrian Barisic
Adrian Barisic
Defender90'

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Adrian Barisic  Ricardo Horta 
10th Substitution
Event
Andrey Lutskovich Aleksey Vakulich
9th Substitution
89'
80'
Event
Unsporting behaviour / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Gulzhigit Alykulov Evgeniy Malashevich
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Maksim Shvetsov Gleb Gurban
8th Substitution
75'
74'
Event
Denis Huseinbasic Demir Ege Tıknaz
6th Substitution
Event
Artem Sokolovskiy Aleksey Zhechko
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
65'
Event
Leonard Gweth Karen Vardanyan
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
63'
62'
Event
Fran Navarro Pau Víctor
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Gabriel Silva Diogo Travassos
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Penalty disallowed
46'
Event
Vítor Carvalho Gustaf Lagerbielke
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
28'
27'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Adrian Barisic comes on for Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta.
89
Update Update
Andrey Lutskovich is on, and Aleksey Vakulich is off.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga.
75
Update Update
Gulzhigit Alykulov comes on for Evgeni Malashevich.
75
Update Update
On comes Maksim Shvetsov, off goes Gleb Gurban.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Denis Huseinbasic comes on for Demir Ege Tiknaz.
73
Update Update
Denis Huseinbasic is on, and Demir Ege Tiknaz is off.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Artem Sokolovskiy comes on for Aleksey Zhechko.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leonard Gweth.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leonard Gweth.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Moustapha Djimet.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Moustapha Djimet.
62
Update Update
Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga comes on for Pau Victor Delgado.
58
Update Update
VAR decision results in the cancellation of the penalty awarded to Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta.
46
Update Update
Vitor Carvalho Vieira is on, and Gustaf Lagerbielke is off.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Evgeni Malashevich receives a yellow card.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Szabolcs Kovacs.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Dinamo Minsk 0-0 Sporting Braga. Structural assessment: Sporting Braga exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.