Derby County vs Swansea City preview

England flag 2026/2027 Championship, England
Pride Park Stadium
Championship
Derby CountyDRB
0 3
Swansea CitySWA
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
|
Goal
Ji-sung Eom - 44'
Ronald - 90+1'

CONTEXT

Derby County hosted Swansea City in a match that concluded with a 0-3 final score. Swansea City led 0-2 at halftime and maintained control through the second period. The visitors recorded 2.97 expected goals against Derby County's 0.82, reflecting a clear performance gap. Possession stood at 47 percent for the home side and 53 percent for the away side. No red cards were shown to either team. Swansea City, identified as the stronger side beforehand, secured the victory in line with the expected goals data. The outcome proved consistent with pre-match indicators and showed no major second-half adjustments from either side. The result highlighted Swansea City's dominance in key metrics throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Swansea City exhibited a significant structural deviation from expected patterns.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The outcome stayed consistent with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Swansea City exceeded xG expectations at 2.97 versus Derby County's 0.82.
  • Event impact: Swansea City's three goals produced a decisive event impact in the 0-3 win.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so red card distortion played no role.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Webb
D. Webb
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Fox
A. Fox
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Byrne
G. Byrne
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Mather
S. Mather
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Derby County J. Eustace
J. Eustace
VS
Swansea City V. Emanuel Soares Matos
V. Emanuel Soares Matos
1.46
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cardiff City Rank: 75 D
Charlton Athletic Rank: 70 L
Sheffield United Rank: 76 L
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 71 W
Norwich City Rank: 76 L
Oxford United Rank: 74 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheffield United Rank: 75 D
Stoke City Rank: 69 W
Charlton Athletic Rank: 72 W
Norwich City Rank: 76 D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 71 W
Southampton Rank: 80 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.49
73.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Derby County
Swansea City
Power Score
73.49
73.78
League Position
16
10
Global Rank
177
171

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Derby County — Opponent-weighted form score
Swansea City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Derby County Swansea City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Derby County

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Swansea City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Derby County
vs
Swansea City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Derby County Swansea City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
68%
14%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.56 vs -0.43
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Derby County Swansea City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
14%
68%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.43 vs -0.56
Derby County
Swansea City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Derby County
vs
Swansea City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Derby County Swansea City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Derby County 0.00
Swansea City 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Derby County Swansea City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Derby County 0.00
Swansea City 0.00
Derby County
Swansea City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SWA had peak pressure around 47'.
  • SWA started the game with stronger pressure.
DRB Pressure SWA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SWA reached the top pressure at 47' (86.73).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Derby County DRB Home
4 matches
Swansea City SWA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-29T09:30:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Championship, England · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Pride Park Stadium
Capacity
33597
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Webb
Andrew Fox
George Byrne
Simon Mather

Statistics

Possession
DRB
47%
SWA
53%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 4
2 Shots 5
47 Dangerous attacks 29
47 Possession 53
5 Corners 6
7 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

80 Ball Safe 80
8 Goal Kicks 6
2 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 5
28 Throwins 20
18 Dribble Attempts 15
6 Successful Dribbles 4
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

95 Attacks 103
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

60 Long Passes 56
405 Passes 475
309 Successful Passes 394
76 Successful Passes Percentage 83
4 Key Passes 16
20 Successful Long Passes 22
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

Defensive

9 Saves 0
17 Tackles 24
7 Interceptions 8
43 Duels Won 58

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 7
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

5 Offsides 4
16 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : David Webb

Starting XI ▼

1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper
6.72
6
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås Defender
6.51
18
Charlie Taylor
Charlie Taylor Defender
6.98
22
Max Johnston
Max Johnston Defender
6.59
23
Joe Ward
Joe Ward
Midfielder46'
6.63
28
Dion Sanderson
Dion Sanderson Defender
6.55
8
Bobby Clark
Bobby Clark Midfielder
7.47
20
Alex Mowatt
Alex Mowatt Midfielder
7.05
37
Owen Eames
Owen Eames
Midfielder78'
6.46
26
Ryan Hedges
Ryan Hedges Midfielder
6.61
10
Rhian Brewster
Rhian Brewster
Attacker46'
6.45
27
Lewis Travis
Lewis Travis Midfielder
6.53
33
Corey Blackett-Taylor
Corey Blackett-Taylor Midfielder
6.61
11
Sammie Szmodics
Sammie Szmodics
Attacker46'
15
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Attacker
6.41
13
Filip Bilbija
Filip Bilbija
Midfielder69'
7.24
Referee : David Webb

Starting XI ▼

22
Lawrence Vigouroux
Lawrence Vigouroux Goalkeeper
6.68
2
Josh Key
Josh Key Defender
6.35
14
Josh Tymon
Josh Tymon Defender
7.25
23
Stephen Welsh
Stephen Welsh Defender
6.81
26
Filip Lissah
Filip Lissah Defender
6.7
4
Jay Fulton
Jay Fulton Midfielder
6.75
46
Stephen Eustaquio
Stephen Eustaquio
Midfielder65'
6
Marko Stamenić
Marko Stamenić Midfielder
7.15
7
Melker Widell
Melker Widell Midfielder
6.54
8
Elijah Just
Elijah Just
Attacker65'
6.49
10
Ji-sung Eom
Ji-sung Eom Attacker
6.65
35
Ronald
Ronald
Attacker85'
6.77
30
Joseph Opoku
Joseph Opoku Attacker
7.06
49
Moussa Yeo
Moussa Yeo
Midfielder24'
6.65
33
Adam Idah
Adam Idah Attacker
6.76
9
Zan Vipotnik
Zan Vipotnik
Attacker65'
6.87

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Ronald
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
85'
Event
Ronald → Ji-sung Eom
10th Substitution
84'
Event
Elijah Just
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Lewis Travis 
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Dion Sanderson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Owen Eames → Alex Mowatt
9th Substitution
78'
73'
Event
Marko Stamenić
Delay of game / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Filip Bilbija → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Sondre Langås
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
69'
65'
Event
Stephen Eustaquio → Jay Fulton
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Elijah Just → Melker Widell
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Zan Vipotnik → Adam Idah
7th Substitution
Event
Rhian Brewster  → Ryan Hedges
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Sammie Szmodics → Corey Blackett-Taylor 
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Joe Ward → Max Johnston
4th Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Ji-sung Eom
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
24'
Event
Moussa Yeo → Joseph Opoku
1st Substitution
2'
Event
Joseph Opoku
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Zan Vipotnik takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Ronald Pereira Martins takes a right-footed shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ronald Pereira Martins takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Update Update
Offside.
85
Update Update
On comes Eom Ji-Sung, and Ronald Pereira Martins goes off.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Elijah Henry.
82
Update Update
Offside.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Attempt Attempt
Elijah Henry takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lewis Travis receives a yellow card.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dion Sanderson receives a yellow card.
78
Attempt Attempt
Eom Ji-Sung takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
78
Update Update
Owen Eames replaces Alex Mowatt.
76
Attempt Attempt
Marko Stamenic takes a shot with his head but misses.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Attempt Attempt
Zan Vipotnik takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Moussa Yeo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marko Stamenic receives a yellow card.
72
Attempt Attempt
Moussa Yeo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
72
Attempt Attempt
Stephen Welsh takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Attempt Attempt
Zan Vipotnik takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Zan Vipotnik takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
69
Update Update
Filip Bilbija replaces Lars-Jorgen Salvesen.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Sondre Klingen Langas.
68
Attempt Attempt
Stephen Welsh takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Update Update
Stephen Eustaquio replaces Jay Fulton.
65
Update Update
Elijah Henry is on, and Melker Widell is off.
65
Update Update
Zan Vipotnik comes on for Adam Idah.
64
Update Update
Offside.
63
Update Update
Offside.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adam Idah Head Shot Missed
61
Attempt Attempt
Adam Idah takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Klingen Langas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
57
Update Update
Offside.
56
Attempt Attempt
Charlie Taylor takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen takes a shot with another body part, but it is blocked.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Rhian Brewster takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Attempt Attempt
Lewis Travis takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Bobby Clark's right-footed shot is blocked.
49
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Rhian Brewster replaces Ryan Hedges.
46
Update Update
Sammie Szmodics is on, and Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor is off.
46
Update Update
On comes Joe Ward, off goes Max Johnston.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Eom Ji-Sung scores with a right-footed shot.
44
Attempt Attempt
Adam Idah's header is saved.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Eom Ji-Sung scores, making it 0-2.
35
Update Update
Offside.
34
Attempt Attempt
Max Johnston takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Adam Idah takes a left-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Melker Widell's right-footed shot is saved.
24
Update Update
Moussa Yeo is coming on for Joseph Opoku.
20
Attempt Attempt
Eom Ji-Sung takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Opoku takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Update Update
Offside.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Joseph Opoku scores with a left-footed shot.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Joseph Opoku scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Eom Ji-Sung.
1
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is David Webb.

CONCLUSION

Swansea City delivered a controlled performance that matched their status as the stronger team and produced a clear 0-3 victory. The expected goals figures underscored their superiority while Derby County struggled to create meaningful opportunities. Possession edges and second-half stability allowed Swansea City to close out the result without disruption. The absence of disciplinary incidents kept the focus on tactical execution. Overall the match reflected the pre-game assessment with Swansea City converting their advantages into a straightforward win. Derby County will need to address defensive organization and chance creation in upcoming fixtures to improve results.