Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia Sat, 8 Aug - 5:45 PM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Deportivo RiestraRIE
2 0
EstudiantesEST
Full Time Sat, 8 Aug 5:45 PM
Round 4 2nd Phase
Milton Céliz - 12' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Deportivo Riestra hosted Estudiantes in a match that ended 2-0 for the home side after a 1-0 halftime score. Estudiantes controlled 72 percent possession yet generated limited scoring opportunities against a compact defensive setup. Deportivo Riestra operated with 28 percent possession but converted their chances at a higher rate. The stronger team on paper could not overcome the early deficit. Expected goals registered 1.62 for Deportivo Riestra and 0.33 for Estudiantes, producing a 1.29 differential. No red cards were shown to either side, preserving full squads for the full ninety minutes. The result marked a significant structural deviation from typical team hierarchies while remaining consistent with the underlying performance data.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Estudiantes. Deportivo Riestra showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed metrics.
  • xG alignment: The outcome aligned with xG values of 1.62 to 0.33.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations pointed to a home team advantage given the differential.
  • Event impact: Goals scored represented the primary event impact on the scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected team balance.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Merlos
A. Merlos
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Del Fueyo
J. Del Fueyo
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Ramos
M. Ramos
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Vegetti
A. Vegetti
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Deportivo Riestra G. Duró
G. Duró
VS
Estudiantes A. Medina Reobasco
A. Medina Reobasco
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Barracas Central Rank: 63 L
Defensa y Justicia Rank: 59 L
Boca Juniors Rank: 73 W
Lanús Rank: 62 D
Independiente Rank: 69 W
Talleres Córdoba Rank: 62 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Boca Juniors Rank: 72 L
Defensa y Justicia Rank: 62 W
Independiente Rank: 68 L
Racing Club Rank: 69 L
Platense Rank: 59 W
Talleres Córdoba Rank: 62 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.46
68.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes
Power Score
60.46
68.8
League Position
15
13
Global Rank
560
304

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo Riestra — Opponent-weighted form score
Estudiantes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo Riestra Estudiantes

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Deportivo Riestra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Estudiantes

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Deportivo Riestra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Estudiantes
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.96
15.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.21
41.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Deportivo Riestra +2.29 Efficiency Index
vs
Estudiantes -2.29 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Deportivo Riestra
vs
Estudiantes
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo Riestra Estudiantes
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
77%
27%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.25 vs -0.09
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo Riestra Estudiantes
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
27%
77%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.09 vs -0.25
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Deportivo Riestra
vs
Estudiantes
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Deportivo Riestra Estudiantes
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Deportivo Riestra 0.29
Estudiantes 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Deportivo Riestra Estudiantes
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Deportivo Riestra 0.00
Estudiantes 0.06
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RIE had peak pressure around 78'.
  • RIE started the game with stronger pressure.
RIE Pressure EST Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RIE reached the top pressure at 78' (76.31).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo Riestra RIE Home
2 matches
Estudiantes EST Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:35:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 4 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
Capacity
4400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andrés Merlos
Juan Del Fueyo
Mauro Ramos
Agustín Vegetti

Statistics

Possession
RIE
33%
EST
67%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 4
35 Dangerous attacks 39
28 Possession 72
2 Corners 0
12 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

60 Ball Safe 106
1 Penalties 0
7 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
14 Throwins 18
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 1
8 Dribble Attempts 9
8 Successful Dribbles 9
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64

Attacking

85 Attacks 140

Possession

21 Long Passes 43
233 Passes 624
100 Successful Passes 401
57 Successful Passes Percentage 83
7 Key Passes 8

Defensive

1 Saves 2
6 Tackles 7
20 Interceptions 13
43 Duels Won 50

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 17

Discipline

15 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Andrés Merlos

Starting XI ▼

1
Ignacio Arce
Ignacio Arce Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Carlos Quintana
Carlos Quintana Defender
7.1
5
Pedro Ramírez
Pedro Ramírez Defender
6.27
36
Mariano Bracamonte
Mariano Bracamonte
Defender77'
6.48
15
Nicolás Sansotre
Nicolás Sansotre Defender
6.97
22
Cristian Paz
Cristian Paz Defender
6.98
24
Facundo Miño
Facundo Miño Defender
7.06
7
Antony Alonso
Antony Alonso Midfielder
7.36
32
Gonzalo Flores
Gonzalo Flores
Attacker76'
6.45
8
Milton Céliz
Milton Céliz (C) Midfielder
7.18
10
Braian Sánchez
Braian Sánchez Midfielder
6.8
16
Nicolás Watson
Nicolás Watson
Midfielder66'
7.47
14
Pablo Monje
Pablo Monje Midfielder
6.29
27
Yonatan Goitía
Yonatan Goitía
Defender66'
6.38
11
Alexander Díaz
Alexander Díaz Attacker
6.53
21
Tomás González
Tomás González
Attacker71'
6.44
Referee : Andrés Merlos

Starting XI ▼

1
Fabricio Iacovich
Fabricio Iacovich Goalkeeper
6.61
4
Santiago Núñez
Santiago Núñez Defender
6.73
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
Ramiro Funes Mori Defender
6.59
35
Valente Pierani
Valente Pierani Defender
6.71
22
Alexis Castro
Alexis Castro
Midfielder60'
6.75
36
Joaquín Pereyra
Joaquín Pereyra Defender
6.42
17
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Attacker79'
6.58
40
Eros Mancuso
Eros Mancuso Defender
6.68
7
José Sosa
José Sosa (C) Midfielder
6.89
10
Tiago Palacios
Tiago Palacios
Midfielder60'
7.02
8
Gabriel Neves
Gabriel Neves Midfielder
7.11
11
Facundo Farías
Facundo Farías Midfielder
6.76
29
Fabricio Pérez
Fabricio Pérez
Attacker79'
6.48
18
Edwuin Cetré
Edwuin Cetré Attacker
6.8
28
Brian Aguirre
Brian Aguirre
Attacker60'
6.74
19
Adolfo Gaich
Adolfo Gaich Attacker
6.08

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Alexis Castro
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Joaquín Tobio Burgos → Joaquín Pereyra
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Fabricio Pérez → Facundo Farías
10th Substitution
Event
Mariano Bracamonte → Pedro Ramírez
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Gonzalo Flores → Antony Alonso
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Antony Alonso
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
73'
Event
Tomás González → Alexander Díaz
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Yonatan Goitía → Pablo Monje
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Nicolás Watson → Braian Sánchez
5th Substitution
66'
61'
Event
Ramiro Funes Mori
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
60'
Event
Brian Aguirre → Edwuin Cetré
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Alexis Castro → Valente Pierani
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Tiago Palacios → José Sosa
3rd Substitution
Event
Milton Céliz
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 4th Yellowcard
53'
53'
Event
José Sosa
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 5th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Carlos Quintana
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Antony Alonso
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
44'
Event
Milton Céliz
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
12'
Event
Braian Sánchez
Penalty Confirmed
9'
6'
Event
Santiago Núñez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Alexis Castro with his left foot, but it's blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Alexis Castro.
85
Attempt Attempt
Milton Aaron Celiz takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Brian Nicolas Aguirre takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Update Update
Joaquin Tobio Burgos is on, and Joaquin Pereyra is off.
79
Update Update
Fabricio Perez is on, and Facundo Farias is off.
77
Attempt Attempt
Milton Aaron Celiz takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
77
Update Update
Mariano Gaston Bracamonte comes on for Pedro Ramirez.
76
Update Update
Gonzalo Flores comes on for Antony Alonso.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antony Alonso scores with a left-footed shot.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antony Alonso scores with a left-footed shot.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antony Alonso scores with a left-footed shot.
71
Update Update
Tomas Gonzalez is on, and Alexander Diaz is off.
67
Update Update
Jonatan Esteban Goitia comes on for Pablo Monje.
66
Update Update
Jonatan Esteban Goitia replaces Pablo Monje.
66
Attempt Attempt
Alexis Castro takes a left-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Brian Nicolas Aguirre takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jose Ramiro Funes Mori.
60
Substitution Substitution
Brian Nicolas Aguirre is substituted off for Edwin Steven Cetre Angulo.
60
Update Update
Alexis Castro is on, and Valente Pierani is off.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jose Ramiro Funes Mori.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Brian Nicolas Aguirre comes on for Edwin Steven Cetre Angulo.
57
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Quintana takes a shot with his head but misses.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Milton Aaron Celiz receives a yellow card.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jose Ernesto Sosa receives a yellow card.
48
Attempt Attempt
Edwin Steven Cetre Angulo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Carlos Quintana.
44
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Quintana attempts a header but misses the shot.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Antony Alonso.
38
Attempt Attempt
Edwin Steven Cetre Angulo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Neves takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Milton Aaron Celiz takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Attempt Attempt
Jose Ramiro Funes Mori attempts a header but misses the shot.
15
Attempt Attempt
Adolfo Julian Gaich takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Milton Aaron Celiz with his right foot results in a goal.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Milton Aaron Celiz scores from the penalty spot to make it 1-0.
9
Update Update
VAR decision confirms a penalty awarded to Brian Sanchez.
7
Attempt Attempt
Brian Sanchez takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Santiago Misael Nunez.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Andres Merlos.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Estudiantes. Structural assessment: Deportivo Riestra exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.