Degerfors vs Malmö FF preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Sat, 4 Jul - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
Malmö FF MAL
KICKOFF : Sat, 4 Jul - 1:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Degerfors welcomes Malmö FF to Stora Valla for an Allsvenskan regular season encounter in 2026. The home side occupies twelfth place in the domestic table while the visitors sit ninth. Power metrics reveal a clear edge for the away team at 61.24 against 47.31. Form scores sit nearly level with Degerfors on 10.22 and Malmö FF on 10. Squad resources and overall structure favor the stronger visitors. Efficiency details stay unavailable while transition patterns lack recorded specifics. Set piece analysis carries low confidence through proxy data for both clubs. Expected variables point toward Malmö FF maintaining control across key phases of play.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Malmö FF holds a 13.9 point power advantage over Degerfors.
  • Form: Form scores stand closely aligned at 10.22 for Degerfors and 10 for Malmö FF.
  • Squad: Malmö FF ranks as the stronger squad according to available metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency information remains unavailable in current records.
  • Transition: Transition data shows no recorded specifics for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics reflect low confidence via proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Expected variables highlight Malmö FF ahead in overall indicators.
  • Market: Baseline split: Degerfors 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Malmö FF 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
Malmö FF Malmö FF
Malmö FF
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 51 D
Kalmar Rank: 50 L
GAIS Rank: 60 D
Mjällby Rank: 68 L
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Örgryte Rank: 40 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 45 W
Västerås SK Rank: 48 L
Hammarby Rank: 66 L
Häcken Rank: 61 L
Mjällby Rank: 68 L
AIK Rank: 56 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
0%
Draw
0%
Away Malmö FF
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.31
61.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
Malmö FF
Power Score
47.31
61.24
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
841
436

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Degerfors Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors Malmö FF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
2 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-01T00:03:11+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
M. Igonen
38 M. Igonen
D. Sundgren
6 D. Sundgren
S. Ohlsson
16 S. Ohlsson
N. Moro
15 N. Moro
E. Lindell
12 E. Lindell
E. Barsoum
20 E. Barsoum
K. Karlsson
4 K. Karlsson
N. Girmai
22 N. Girmai
L. Fritzson
14 L. Fritzson
D. Vukojevic
11 D. Vukojevic
A. Taranis
17 A. Taranis
R. Olsen
1 R. Olsen
G. Dal Toé Busanello
25 G. Dal Toé Busanello
A. Đurić
5 A. Đurić
B. Kurtulus
4 B. Kurtulus
J. Larsen
17 J. Larsen
O. Sjöstrand
24 O. Sjöstrand
A. Skogmar
37 A. Skogmar
O. Rosengren
7 O. Rosengren
K. Busuladzic
40 K. Busuladzic
S. Haksabanovic
29 S. Haksabanovic
E. Botheim
20 E. Botheim

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 04, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stora Valla
Capacity
7500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.69
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Centre Forward
6.78
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren Right Back
7.09
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Right Back
6.75
15
Nasiru Moro
Nasiru Moro Left Back
6.38
12
Erik Lindell
Erik Lindell Left Back
6.65
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Attacking Midfield
6.76
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Defensive Midfield
6.67
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Defensive Midfield
6.72
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay Right Wing
7.09
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Left Wing
6.58

Starting XI

1
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen Goalkeeper
7.38
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
6.86
24
Oscar Sjöstrand
Oscar Sjöstrand Midfielder
6.5
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
7.29
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
7.23
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Right Back
6.75
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus Right Back
6.43
5
Andrej Djuric
Andrej Djuric Left Back
6.62
25
Busanello
Busanello Left Back
6.74
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Central Midfield
7.4
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Central Midfield
6.87

CONCLUSION

Malmö FF enters the fixture with superior structural metrics and a recognized squad edge that shapes expectations at Stora Valla. Degerfors must leverage home conditions and near parity in form to challenge proceedings effectively. Limited data on efficiency and transitions leaves room for in game adjustments from both coaches. Set piece elements carry uncertainty due to proxy sourcing yet could still affect outcomes. Overall expected variables tilt toward the visitors sustaining pressure throughout. Degerfors will seek to disrupt patterns and capitalize on any lapses while Malmö FF aims to dictate tempo from the outset.