Degerfors vs Malmö FF preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Sat, 4 Jul - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
0 1
Malmö FF MAL
Full Time Sat, 4 Jul 1:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season
|
Goal
Erik Botheim - 52'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Degerfors 0–1 Malmö FF. The result saw Malmö FF take the points. Malmö FF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Degerfors 0.9 – 2.2 Malmö FF. Possession was 38%–62%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Degerfors 0-1 Malmö FF. Malmö FF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Mattsson
E. Mattsson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Hallin
M. Hallin
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Dahl
J. Dahl
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Enerholm
E. Enerholm
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
Malmö FF G. Helstrup
G. Helstrup
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 52 D
Kalmar Rank: 52 L
GAIS Rank: 62 D
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Örgryte Rank: 42 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Västerås SK Rank: 52 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 L
Häcken Rank: 61 L
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
AIK Rank: 60 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
0%
Draw
0%
Away Malmö FF
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.39
64.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
Malmö FF
Power Score
47.39
64.19
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
878
395

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors Malmö FF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Malmö FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Degerfors ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malmö FF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.24
28.23
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.23
27.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Degerfors -0.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Malmö FF +0.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Degerfors
Malmö FF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Degerfors
vs
Malmö FF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Degerfors Malmö FF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
32%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.05 vs -0.72
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Degerfors Malmö FF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
32%
5%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.72 vs -0.05
Degerfors
Malmö FF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Degerfors
vs
Malmö FF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Degerfors Malmö FF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Degerfors 0.17
Malmö FF 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Degerfors Malmö FF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Degerfors 0.02
Malmö FF 0.00
Degerfors
Malmö FF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MAL had peak pressure around 33'.
  • MAL started the game with stronger pressure.
Degerfors Pressure MAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MAL reached the top pressure at 33' (69.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
2 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:50:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
M. Igonen
Estonia
38 M. Igonen
D. Sundgren
Sweden
6 (C) D. Sundgren
S. Ohlsson
Substitution
Sweden
7 S. Ohlsson
S. Ohlsson
Sweden
16 S. Ohlsson
S. Diatara
18 S. Diatara
N. Girmai
Substitution
Sweden
22 N. Girmai
B. Hussein
Substitution
Sweden
8 B. Hussein
K. Karlsson
Sweden
4 K. Karlsson
E. Barsoum
Sweden
20 E. Barsoum
A. Taranis
Substitution
Denmark
17 A. Taranis
L. Fritzson
Sweden
14 L. Fritzson
R. Olsen
Sweden
1 (C) R. Olsen
M. Frejd Pålsson
Substitution
Sweden
44 M. Frejd Pålsson
O. Rosengren
Sweden
7 O. Rosengren
A. Đurić
Serbia
5 A. Đurić
N. Åstrand John
Substitution
Sweden
23 N. Åstrand John
A. Skogmar
Sweden
37 A. Skogmar
K. Busuladzic
Substitution
Sweden
40 K. Busuladzic
J. Larsen
Substitution
Denmark
17 J. Larsen
O. Sjöstrand
Substitution
24 O. Sjöstrand
S. Haksabanovic
Montenegro
29 S. Haksabanovic
E. Botheim
Norway
20 E. Botheim

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 04, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stora Valla
Capacity
7500
Attendance
4723
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erik Mattsson
Mikael Hallin
Jonas Dahl
Erik Enerholm

Statistics

Possession
Degerfors
41%
MAL
59%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 5
3 Shots 7
47 Dangerous attacks 50
38 Possession 62
7 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

73 Ball Safe 87
12 Goal Kicks 7
4 Goal Attempts 6
4 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 18
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0
14 Dribble Attempts 15
8 Successful Dribbles 6
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

85 Attacks 117
1 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

32 Long Passes 48
346 Passes 581
278 Successful Passes 510
80 Successful Passes Percentage 88
8 Key Passes 12
11 Successful Long Passes 25
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

2 Saves 0
21 Tackles 23
11 Interceptions 8
46 Duels Won 51

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 13
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.68
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren (C) Defender
6.88
7
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6.56
12
Erik Lindell
Erik Lindell
Defender76'
6.66
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6.82
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
6.67
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
6.53
8
Bilal Hussein
Bilal Hussein Midfielder
7.05
19
Alexander Lindgren
Alexander Lindgren
Midfielder70'
6.54
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
6.5
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay Midfielder
6.89
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker55'
6.74
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Attacker
6.52
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Attacker
7.05
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic
Attacker70'
6.59
Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen (C) Goalkeeper
6.64
5
Andrej Djuric
Andrej Djuric Defender
8.23
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Defender
7.65
44
Malte Frejd Pålsson
Malte Frejd Pålsson Defender
7.27
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus
Defender79'
6.58
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Midfielder
6.98
2
Johan Karlsson
Johan Karlsson
Defender86'
23
N. Åstrand John
N. Åstrand John Midfielder
7.56
45
Anton Sebastian Höög
Anton Sebastian Höög
Midfielder79'
6.29
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
6.73
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
7.33
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh
Midfielder70'
6.87
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
7.6
24
Oscar Sjöstrand
Oscar Sjöstrand Attacker
6.64
11
Emmanuel Ekong
Emmanuel Ekong
Midfielder86'
6.12
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
6.98

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Emmanuel Ekong → Oscar Sjöstrand
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Johan Karlsson → Jens Stryger Larsen
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Anton Sebastian Höög → N. Åstrand John
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Bleon Kurtulus → Malte Frejd Pålsson
7th Substitution
Event
Erik Lindell → Sebastian Ohlsson
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Alexander Lindgren → Bilal Hussein
2nd Substitution
70'
Event
Dijan Vukojevic → Arman Taranis
4th Substitution
70'
70'
Event
Theodor Lundbergh → Kenan Busuladzic
3rd Substitution
Event
Olle Leonardsson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Nahom Girmai Netabay
1st Substitution
55'
52'
Event
Erik Botheim
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Otto Rosengren
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
22'
Event
Kenan Busuladzic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 0-1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Erik Botheim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Ekong takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Substitution Substitution
Emmanuel Ekong is substituted for Oscar Sjostrand.
85
Update Update
Johan Karlsson comes on for Jens Stryger Larsen.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Attempt Attempt
Kazper Karlsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Substitution Substitution
Anton Hoog is substituted for Noah Astrand.
78
Update Update
Bleon Kurtulus is on, and Malte Frejd Palsson is off.
75
Update Update
Erik Lindell replaces Sebastian Ohlsson.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Update Update
Theodor Lundbergh replaces Kenan Busuladzic.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alexander Lindgren comes on for Bilal Hussein.
69
Update Update
Dijan Vukojevic is on, and Arman Taranis is off.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Sjostrand takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Attempt Attempt
Elias Barsoum takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
Update Update
Olle Leonardsson comes on for Nahom Netabay.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Olle Leonardsson.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Erik Botheim takes a right-footed shot.
52
Attempt Attempt
Kenan Busuladzic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Noah Astrand takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Kazper Karlsson's right-footed shot is blocked.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Otto Rosengren.
30
Attempt Attempt
Jens Stryger Larsen attempts a header but misses the shot.
30
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Sjostrand takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
30
Attempt Attempt
Right-footed shot blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Jens Stryger Larsen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Kenan Busuladzic.
17
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Sjostrand takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
16
Attempt Attempt
Nahom Netabay takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Erik Mattsson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Degerfors 0-1 Malmö FF. Structural assessment: Malmö FF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.