Dečić vs Liepāja preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Tuško Polje
Europa Conference League
DečićDEČ
1 2
LiepājaFKL
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Davor Kontić - 12'
Goal
|
Goal
Kyvon Leidsman - 45+1'

CONTEXT

Dečić welcomed Liepāja for the opening leg of their two-legged knockout encounter. The home team, considered the stronger side, opened the scoring in the first half to lead at the interval. Liepāja fought back to equalize before halftime, making the score 1-1 at the break. After the restart, the away side netted the decisive goal to claim a 1-2 victory. Dečić maintained 59 percent possession throughout but struggled to create clear opportunities against a resilient defense. The absence of red cards meant both sides played with full complements. This result gives Liepāja a slight edge for the return match. The minimal deviation observed aligned with the final outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Liepāja showed a minimal structural deviation of 5.7 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with the market.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be determined due to missing data.
  • Event impact: The match ended 1-2 after a 1-1 halftime score with no major events.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Qurbanov
T. Qurbanov
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Əzizli
A. Əzizli
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Akbarzada
G. Akbarzada
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Umudlu
K. Umudlu
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Dečić I. Brnović
I. Brnović
VS
Liepāja V. Vassiljev
V. Vassiljev
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Liepāja Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dečić Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dečić
0.64%
Draw
5.06%
Away Liepāja
94.3%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dečić
-0.77%
Draw
-3.53%
Liepāja
+4.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dečić
Liepāja
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dečić — Opponent-weighted form score
Liepāja — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dečić Liepāja

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dečić

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Liepāja

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dečić ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Liepāja
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.22
29.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.39
43.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dečić +1.12 Efficiency Index
vs
Liepāja -1.12 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dečić
Liepāja
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dečić ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Liepāja
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dečić Liepāja
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dečić Liepāja
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dečić
Liepāja
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dečić
vs
Liepāja
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dečić Liepāja
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dečić 0.23
Liepāja 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dečić Liepāja
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dečić 0.03
Liepāja 0.01
Dečić
Liepāja
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DEČ had peak pressure around 72'.
  • DEČ started the game with stronger pressure.
DEČ Pressure FKL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DEČ reached the top pressure at 72' (54.06).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dečić DEČ Home
1 matches
Liepāja FKL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-16T00:00:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Tuško Polje
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tural Qurbanov
Asiman Əzizli
Gulnura Akbarzada
Kamal Umudlu

Statistics

Possession
DEČ
59%
FKL
41%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
14 Shots 4
90 Dangerous attacks 61
59 Possession 41
11 Corners 1
14 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

120 Ball Safe 96
12 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 4
32 Throwins 19

Attacking

149 Attacks 117

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Tural Qurbanov

Starting XI ▼

25
Danilo Radošević
Danilo Radošević Goalkeeper
5.88
17
Leon Ujkaj
Leon Ujkaj Defender
6.05
18
Lazar Maras
Lazar Maras Defender
6.05
—
Lazar Maras
70'
22
Jonathan Dresaj Defender
29
Nikola Braunovic
Nikola Braunovic Defender
6.05
8
Aleksa Ćetković
Aleksa Ćetković Midfielder
6.27
74
Petar Pavlicevic
Petar Pavlicevic
Midfielder70'
6.5
14
Aldin Adžović
Aldin Adžović Midfielder
6.27
16
Matija Bozanovic
Matija Bozanovic
Midfielder70'
6.5
27
Davor Kontić Midfielder
32
Balša Radusinović
Balša Radusinović Midfielder
6.23
—
Balša Radusinović
70'
11
Uroš Đuranović
Uroš Đuranović Attacker
6.43
23
Sinisa Stanisavic Attacker
Referee : Tural Qurbanov

Starting XI ▼

24
Davis Oss
Davis Oss Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Bart Straalman
Bart Straalman Defender
6.37
33
Ilja Korotkovs
Ilja Korotkovs Defender
6.26
35
Vladislavs Sorokins
Vladislavs Sorokins Defender
6.25
6
Rodolphe Ekou Midfielder
23
Amar Haïdara Midfielder
28
Andriy Korobenko
Andriy Korobenko Midfielder
6.37
26
Vjačeslavs Isajevs
Vjačeslavs Isajevs
Defender46'
6.5
32
Leonel Strumia
Leonel Strumia Midfielder
6.37
55
Fellipe Cardoso
Fellipe Cardoso Midfielder
6.57
14
Djibril Guèye
Djibril Guèye
Midfielder84'
6.5
18
Joseph Oloko Ede Attacker
44
Kyvon Leidsman
Kyvon Leidsman Attacker
6.82
—
Kyvon Leidsman
59'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Kirils Iljins → Joseph Oloko Ede
9th Substitution
90'
Event
5th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Vladislavs Sorokins
4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Djibril Guèye → Fellipe Cardoso
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Davis Oss
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Petar Ivanović
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Matija Bozanovic → Aldin Adžović
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Pjeter Ljuljdjuraj → Lazar Maras
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Jovan Mugoša → Balša Radusinović
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Petar Pavlicevic → Aleksa Ćetković
6th Substitution
70'
61'
Event
Fellipe Cardoso
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
59'
Event
Abiodun Ogunniyi → Kyvon Leidsman
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Vjačeslavs Isajevs → Andriy Korobenko
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Kyvon Leidsman
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Abiodun Ogunniyi
2nd Yellowcard
26'
Event
Balša Radusinović
1st Yellowcard
18'
Event
Davor Kontić
Field Goal / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Kirils Iljins is substituted for Joseph Ede.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Vladislavs Sorokins.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Davis Oss receives a yellow card.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Abiodun Ogunniyi.
84
Update Update
Djibril Gueye comes on for Fellipe Cardoso.
81
Update Update
Petar Ivanović is on, and Davor Kontic is off.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
On for Jovan Mugosa, off goes Balsa Radusinovic.
69
Update Update
Petar Pavlicevic comes on for Aleksa Cetkovic.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Matija Bozanovic comes on for Aldin Adzovic.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Pjeter Ljuljdjuraj comes on for Lazar Maras.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fellipe Cardoso scores, making it 1-2.
59
Update Update
Abiodun Ogunniyi replaces Kyvon Leidsman.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
On Vjaceslavs Isajevs, off Andriy Korobenko.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Balsa Radusinovic.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Liepāja secured an important victory away from home in this first leg against Dečić. Although the hosts enjoyed greater possession, they were unable to prevent the visitors from scoring twice. The halftime score of 1-1 reflected the balanced nature of the opening period. Liepāja's ability to score the winner in the second half proved crucial for their overall position in the tie. With no red cards affecting the proceedings, the match remained a fair contest between the two sides. Dečić will need to improve their attacking output in the upcoming leg to overturn the deficit. This result highlights the challenges of home advantage in such knockout formats.