Debrecen vs Pyunik preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Nagyerdei Stadion
Europa Conference League
DebrecenDEB
1 0
PyunikPYU
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Debrecen hosted Pyunik in the first leg of their two-legged knockout tie and secured a narrow 1-0 victory. The match remained level at halftime with both sides unable to break the deadlock during the opening forty-five minutes. Debrecen controlled proceedings after the interval and found the decisive goal to claim the win. Expected goals favored the home side at 1.67 against 1.01 for the visitors, reflecting a moderate 0.66 differential. Possession finished evenly split at fifty percent each, while no red cards disrupted either team. The stronger side according to pre-match assessment delivered the result in line with underlying metrics. This outcome leaves Debrecen with a slender advantage heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Debrecen recorded a significant structural deviation of 52.6 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: The final result proved consistent with the expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with market expectations for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Debrecen posted 1.67 expected goals compared to 1.01 for Pyunik.
  • Event impact: The second-half goal delivered the decisive impact in the 1-0 win.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Karlsen
J. Karlsen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Markus
M. Markus
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Mastrup
J. Mastrup
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Jens Grabski Maae
Jens Grabski Maae
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Debrecen G. Remmel
G. Remmel
VS
Pyunik A. Oseyan
A. Oseyan
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Marsaxlokk Rank: W
Marsaxlokk Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Debrecen
47.4%
Draw
26.97%
Away Pyunik
25.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Debrecen
-46.9%
Draw
+21.91%
Pyunik
+25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Debrecen
Pyunik
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Debrecen — Opponent-weighted form score
Pyunik — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Debrecen Pyunik

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Debrecen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Pyunik

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Debrecen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Pyunik
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.40
38.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.80
45.40
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Debrecen +0.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Pyunik -0.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Debrecen
Pyunik
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Debrecen
vs
Pyunik
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Debrecen Pyunik
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
32%
9%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.54 vs -0.09
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Debrecen Pyunik
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
9%
32%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.09 vs -0.54
Debrecen
Pyunik
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Debrecen
vs
Pyunik
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Debrecen Pyunik
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Debrecen 0.37
Pyunik 0.64
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Debrecen Pyunik
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Debrecen 0.00
Pyunik 0.02
Debrecen
Pyunik
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DEB had peak pressure around 50'.
  • DEB started the game with stronger pressure.
DEB Pressure PYU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DEB reached the top pressure at 50' (80.67).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Nagyerdei Stadion
Capacity
20340
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jacob Karlsen
Martin Markus
Jakob Mastrup
Jens Grabski Maae

Statistics

Possession
DEB
51%
PYU
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 10
54 Dangerous attacks 28
50 Possession 50
4 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 76
10 Goal Kicks 13
8 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 3
9 Dribble Attempts 13
4 Successful Dribbles 5
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

107 Attacks 77
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

51 Long Passes 59
397 Passes 400
302 Successful Passes 309
76 Successful Passes Percentage 77
11 Key Passes 14
18 Successful Long Passes 24
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

3 Saves 0
13 Tackles 10
12 Interceptions 8

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 12
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 6
14 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Plamen Andreev
Plamen Andreev Goalkeeper
7.09
3
Adrián Guerrero
Adrián Guerrero Defender
6.9
72
Rotem Keller
Rotem Keller
Defender80'
6.43
23
Gergő Tercza
Gergő Tercza Defender
7.13
77
Márk Szécsi
Márk Szécsi
Attacker80'
6.41
26
Ádám Lang
Ádám Lang Defender
7.21
28
Maximilian Hofmann
Maximilian Hofmann Defender
7.37
6
Blaz Boskovic
Blaz Boskovic Midfielder
6.67
10
Balázs Dzsudzsák
Balázs Dzsudzsák (C) Midfielder
7.17
—
Balázs Dzsudzsák 
80'
16
Sergi Samper
Sergi Samper Midfielder
6.51
19
Dominik Kocsis
Dominik Kocsis Attacker
6.56
25
Sohan Baldoni
Sohan Baldoni Attacker
6.51
11
Ákos Szendrei
Ákos Szendrei
Attacker64'
6.59
99
Flórián Cibla
Flórián Cibla Attacker
7.51
20
Máté Macsó
Máté Macsó
Midfielder73'
6.54
Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

16
Henri Avagyan
Henri Avagyan (C) Goalkeeper
6.42
5
James
James Defender
6.69
9
Artak Dashyan
Artak Dashyan Defender
6.67
3
Nikolaos Kenourgios
Nikolaos Kenourgios
Defender29'
5.89
15
Mikhail Kovalenko
Mikhail Kovalenko Defender
7.25
76
Filipe Almeida
Filipe Almeida Defender
6.74
88
Robert Darbinyan
Robert Darbinyan
Defender57'
6.54
79
Sergiy Vakulenko
Sergiy Vakulenko Defender
7.14
11
Hovhannes Harutyunyan
Hovhannes Harutyunyan Midfielder
6.7
23
Witiness Quembo
Witiness Quembo
Attacker66'
6.34
18
Karlen Hovhannisyan
Karlen Hovhannisyan Midfielder
7.34
22
Sead Islamovic
Sead Islamovic Midfielder
7.07
25
Daniil Kulikov
Daniil Kulikov Midfielder
6.51
10
Iman Griffith
Iman Griffith
Attacker67'
6.73
95
Momo Yansane
Momo Yansane Attacker
6.75
29
Iasonas Pikis
Iasonas Pikis
Attacker66'
6.4

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Blaz Boskovic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
88'
Event
Mikhail Kovalenko
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Witiness Quembo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Rotem Keller → Adrián Guerrero
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Sain Balázs Csaba → Balázs Dzsudzsák 
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Márk Szécsi → Gergő Tercza
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Máté Macsó → Flórián Cibla
7th Substitution
73'
67'
Event
Iman Griffith → Daniil Kulikov
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Iasonas Pikis → Momo Yansane
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Witiness Quembo → Hovhannes Harutyunyan
5th Substitution
Event
Ákos Szendrei → Sohan Baldoni
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Flórián Cibla
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
57'
Event
Robert Darbinyan → Filipe Almeida
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
33'
Event
James
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
29'
Event
Nikolaos Kenourgios → Artak Dashyan
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-0.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Blaz Boskovic receives a yellow card.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mikhail Kovalenko receives a yellow card.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mikhail Kovalenko receives a yellow card.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Witiness Chimoio Joao Quembo.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mark Szecsi comes on for Gergo Tercza.
80
Update Update
Rotem Keller is on, and Adrián Guerrero is off.
78
Update Update
Rotem Keller replaces Adrián Guerrero.
78
Attempt Attempt
Mikhail Kovalenko takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Attempt Attempt
Sead Islamovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
73
Update Update
Mate Macso replaces Florian Cibla.
73
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Kocsis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
72
Attempt Attempt
Florian Cibla takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Update Update
Iasonas Pikis is on, and Momo Yansane is off.
66
Update Update
Iman Griffith is on, and Daniil Kulikov is off.
66
Update Update
On Witiness Chimoio, Joao Quembo comes on for Hovhannes Harutyunyan.
66
Attempt Attempt
Karlen Hovhannisyan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Hovhannes Harutyunyan takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
64
Update Update
Akos Szendrei is on, and Sohan Baldoni is off.
62
Attempt Attempt
Karlen Hovhannisyan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Sead Islamovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Florian Cibla takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Florian Cibla scores, making it 1-0.
58
Attempt Attempt
Sohan Baldoni takes a left-footed shot but misses.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Robert Darbinyan comes on for Filipe Almeida.
57
Attempt Attempt
James Santos das Neves takes a left-footed shot but misses.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Attempt Attempt
Daniil Kulikov's header is saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Samper Montana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Samper Montana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Adam Lang takes a shot, but it's blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Blaz Boskovic takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Maximilian Hofmann takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Kocsis takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Sohan Baldoni takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Kocsis takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Hovhannes Harutyunyan with his right foot, but it misses the target.
47
Attempt Attempt
Adrián Guerrero takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Balazs Dzsudzsak takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Filipe Almeida attempts a header but misses the shot.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Attempt Attempt
Filipe Almeida takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
31
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Kocsis takes a header shot that hits the post.
29
Substitution Substitution
Nikos Kainourgios is substituted off for Artak Dashyan.
28
Substitution Substitution
Nikos Kainourgios is substituted off for Artak Dashyan.
26
Attempt Attempt
James Santos das Neves attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Artak Dashyan takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Artak Dashyan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
James Santos das Neves takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Artak Dashyan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Attempt Attempt
Sohan Baldoni takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Attempt Attempt
Maximilian Hofmann takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jacob Karlsen.

CONCLUSION

Debrecen claimed a hard-fought 1-0 success in the opening leg against Pyunik. The home side created the clearer opportunities after the break and converted the key moment to establish a narrow lead. With expected goals supporting the margin and possession balanced throughout, the performance reflected controlled progression rather than dominance. Both teams will now prepare for the return encounter where Pyunik must seek an away goal to shift momentum. The current aggregate places Debrecen in a favorable position yet the tie remains open. Continued discipline and clinical finishing will be essential for the hosts to advance while the visitors look to exploit any lapses in concentration during the second leg.