DC United vs Toronto preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Audi Field Sat, 25 Jul - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
DC UnitedDCU
2 1
TorontoTOR
Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 11:30 PM
Regular Season
Kye Rowles - 41'
Tai Baribo - 90+10' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Theo Corbeanu  - 76'

CONTEXT

In a surprising turn of events, DC United overcame Toronto with a final score of 2-1 after leading 1-0 at the break. Toronto controlled more of the ball with 55 percent possession against DC United's 45 percent. The expected goals favored DC United slightly at 2.05 to 1.81. Although Toronto was considered the stronger side beforehand, DC United's efficiency proved decisive in securing the win. No red cards were shown throughout the contest. The match demonstrated how actual results can diverge from initial expectations in terms of team strength. The performance metrics indicated consistency between the scoreline and underlying data.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: DC United 2-1 Toronto. DC United showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency was in line with the overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: DC United posted 2.05 expected goals compared to Toronto's 1.81.
  • Event impact: No major events like red cards altered the flow of the game.
  • Red card distortion: The absence of red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary actions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Boiko
S. Boiko
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Parker
C. Parker
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Dunn
B. Dunn
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
DC United R. Weiler
R. Weiler
VS
Toronto R. Fraser
R. Fraser
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Houston Dynamo Rank: 63 D
CF Montréal Rank: 57 D
St. Louis City Rank: 63 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 L
Nashville SC Rank: 72 D
New York City Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
New England Rank: 60 D
CF Montréal Rank: 57 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 L
Charlotte Rank: 64 L
Inter Miami Rank: 77 L
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 65 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.38
58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
DC United
Toronto
Power Score
55.38
58
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
684
602

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
DC United — Opponent-weighted form score
Toronto — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) DC United Toronto

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

DC United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Toronto

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

DC United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Toronto
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
8.54
6.27
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
6.27
8.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
DC United +0.16 Efficiency Index
vs
Toronto -0.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
DC United
Toronto
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

DC United
vs
Toronto
Created Set-piece attacking threat
DC United Toronto
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
64%
52%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.31 vs -0.95
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
DC United Toronto
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
52%
64%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.95 vs -0.31
DC United
Toronto
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
DC United
vs
Toronto
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
DC United Toronto
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
DC United 0.30
Toronto 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
DC United Toronto
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
DC United 0.00
Toronto 0.00
DC United
Toronto
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TOR had peak pressure around 70'.
  • TOR started the game with stronger pressure.
DCU Pressure TOR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: TOR reached the top pressure at 70' (86.40).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

DC United DCU Home
4 matches
Toronto TOR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
7
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:04:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Gavran
Canada
1 L. Gavran
J. Gilman
United States
38 J. Gilman
W. Zimmerman
United States
25 W. Zimmerman
Z. Monlouis
Substitution
England
12 Z. Monlouis
D. Salloi
Hungary
20 D. Salloi
J. Osorio
Canada
21 (C) J. Osorio
R. Laryea
Canada
22 R. Laryea
K. Franklin
Canada
19 K. Franklin
D. Etienne Jr.
Substitution
Haiti
11 D. Etienne Jr.
T. Corbeanu
Substitution
Canada
7 T. Corbeanu
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Substitution
Colombia
17 E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Audi Field
Capacity
20000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sergii Boiko
Corey Parker
Brian Dunn
Elton Garcia

Statistics

Possession
DCU
46%
TOR
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 3
37 Dangerous attacks 55
45 Possession 55
8 Corners 5
6 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

44 Ball Safe 53
1 Penalties 0
4 Goal Kicks 7
7 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 29
3 Successful Headers 1
1 Injuries 1
7 Dribble Attempts 20
5 Successful Dribbles 8
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

71 Attacks 101
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

48 Long Passes 44
313 Passes 399
247 Successful Passes 334
79 Successful Passes Percentage 84
13 Key Passes 11
17 Successful Long Passes 26
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

Defensive

6 Saves 6
22 Tackles 8
8 Interceptions 7
45 Duels Won 40

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 18
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Sergii Boiko

Starting XI ▼

1
Sean Johnson
Sean Johnson Goalkeeper
6.77
3
Lucas Bartlett
Lucas Bartlett (C) Defender
6.56
5
Silvan Hefti
Silvan Hefti Defender
6.49
6
Keisuke Kurokawa
Keisuke Kurokawa Defender
6.93
15
Kye Rowles
Kye Rowles Defender
6.64
13
Sean Nealis
Sean Nealis
Defender80'
7
Peglow
Peglow Midfielder
6.7
8
Jared Stroud
Jared Stroud
Midfielder65'
21
Andre Dozzell
Andre Dozzell Midfielder
6.7
23
Brandon Servania
Brandon Servania Midfielder
6.51
77
Hosei Kijima
Hosei Kijima
Midfielder80'
25
Jackson Hopkins
Jackson Hopkins Midfielder
6.9
4
Matti Peltola
Matti Peltola
Defender65'
9
Tai Baribo
Tai Baribo Attacker
6.63
11
Louis Munteanu
Louis Munteanu Attacker
6.54
22
Nathan Ordaz
Nathan Ordaz
Attacker85'
Referee : Sergii Boiko

Starting XI ▼

1
Luka Gavran
Luka Gavran Goalkeeper
6.86
12
Zane Monlouis
Zane Monlouis Defender
6.56
14
Alonso Coello
Alonso Coello
Midfielder46'
25
Walker Zimmerman
Walker Zimmerman Defender
6.65
38
Jackson Gilman
Jackson Gilman Defender
6.48
19
Kobe Franklin
Kobe Franklin Midfielder
6.49
20
Dániel Sallói
Dániel Sallói Midfielder
6.75
21
Jonathan Osorio
Jonathan Osorio (C) Midfielder
6.51
22
Richie Laryea
Richie Laryea Midfielder
6.37
7
Theo Corbeanu
Theo Corbeanu Attacker
6.49
78
Malik Henry
Malik Henry
Midfielder90+2'
11
Derrick Etienne Jr.
Derrick Etienne Jr. Attacker
6.63
10
Djordje Mihailovic
Djordje Mihailovic
Midfielder54'
17
Emilio Aristizábal
Emilio Aristizábal Attacker
6.39
29
Deandre Kerr
Deandre Kerr
Attacker54'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tai Baribo
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
90+10'
Event
Andre Dozzell
Penalty awarded
90+8'
90+2'
Event
Malik Henry → Theo Corbeanu 
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Jonathan Osorio
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Nathan Ordaz → Louis Munteanu
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Hosei Kijima → Brandon Servania
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Sean Nealis → Kye Rowles
7th Substitution
80'
76'
Event
Theo Corbeanu 
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Matti Peltola → Jackson Hopkins
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Jared Stroud → Peglow
5th Substitution
65'
54'
Event
Deandre Kerr  → Emilio Aristizábal
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Djordje Mihailovic → Derrick Etienne Jr.
3rd Substitution
Event
Louis Munteanu
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
53'
46'
Event
Alonso Coello → Zane Monlouis 
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Kye Rowles
Header / 1st Goal
41'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Thai Baribo Right Footed Shot Goal
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Thai Baribo 2-1
90
Update Update
VAR Decision - Penalty awarded - Andre Dozzell
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Hosei Kijima Left Footed Shot Blocked
90
Update Update
On Malik Henry，Off Theo Corbeanu
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
85
Update Update
On Nathan Ordaz，Off Louis Munteanu
80
Update Update
On Sean Nealis，Off Kye Rowles
80
Update Update
On Sean Nealis，Off Kye Rowles
78
Update Update
On Hosei Kijima，Off Brandon Servania
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jared Stroud Right Footed Shot Missed
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Andre Dozzell Left Footed Shot Saved
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Louis Munteanu Right Footed Shot Saved
77
Corner Corner
Corner
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Theo Corbeanu Left Footed Shot Goal
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jonathan Osorio Head Shot Blocked
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Theo Corbeanu 1-1
68
Corner Corner
Corner
67
Corner Corner
Corner
67
Corner Corner
Corner
66
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Djordje Mihailovic Right Footed Shot Saved
66
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Djordje Mihailovic Right Footed Shot Saved
65
Corner Corner
Corner
65
Update Update
On Matti Peltola，Off Jackson Hopkins
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Daniel Salloi Left Footed Shot Blocked
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Louis Munteanu Left Footed Shot Saved
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alonso Coello Right Footed Shot Missed
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Djordje Mihailovic Head Shot Blocked
56
Update Update
Offside
56
Update Update
Offside
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jonathan Osorio Head Shot Saved
55
Corner Corner
Corner
54
Update Update
On Deandre Kerr，Off Emilio Aristizabal
54
Corner Corner
Corner
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alonso Coello Right Footed Shot Missed
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lucas Bartlett Head Shot Missed
50
Corner Corner
Corner
49
Update Update
Offside
46
Update Update
On Alonso Coello，Off Zane Monlouis
46
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Thai Baribo Right Footed Shot Missed
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brandon Servania Left Footed Shot Blocked
44
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Silvan Hefti Right Footed Shot Blocked
44
Corner Corner
Corner
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Kye Rowles Head Shot Goal
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Kye Rowles 1-0，Assist：Keisuke Kurokawa
40
Corner Corner
Corner
39
Corner Corner
Corner
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jonathan Osorio Right Footed Shot Saved
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Peglow Right Footed Shot Missed
32
Corner Corner
Corner
28
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jackson Hopkins Right Footed Shot Blocked
28
Corner Corner
Corner
23
Corner Corner
Corner
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Richmond Laryea Right Footed Shot Blocked
16
Corner Corner
Corner
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Peglow Right Footed Shot Missed
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jackson Hopkins Right Footed Shot Saved
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Daniel Salloi Right Footed Shot Saved
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jackson Hopkins Left Footed Shot Saved
4
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Derrick Etienne Right Footed Shot Saved
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Sergiy Boyko

CONCLUSION

DC United's victory over Toronto by 2-1 stands as a testament to their ability to capitalize on opportunities despite lower possession. With a halftime lead of 1-0, they maintained composure to secure the three points. The expected goals suggested a close contest, and the final result reflected that closely. Toronto's status as the stronger team did not translate into the outcome on this occasion due to DC United's effective play. Efficiency metrics showed alignment with the game's progression. This match serves as an example of how teams can exceed expectations through solid execution. The lack of red cards kept the focus purely on tactical and skill-based elements throughout the ninety minutes.