Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Reino de León Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
Burgos BUR
KICKOFF : Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
Round 41 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cultural Leonesa host Burgos in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León. Domestically, Cultural Leonesa sit 21th in the table while Burgos are 7th. Power ranking favours Burgos by 14.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Burgos hold a +14.2 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Burgos sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Cultural Leonesa show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Burgos have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Burgos carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Burgos hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Cultural Leonesa 30.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.5% (Δ+0%) | Burgos 39.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
VS
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
0.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: 70 W
Albacete Rank: 66 L
Cádiz Rank: 56 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 L
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Granada Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: 64 W
Almería Rank: 71 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 70 D
Castellón Rank: 68 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cultural Leonesa
30.27%
Draw
30.51%
Away Burgos
39.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54
68.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
Power Score
54
68.24
League Position
21
7
Global Rank
564
252

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cultural Leonesa Burgos

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Home
1 matches
Burgos BUR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
1
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:10:28+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-5-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
13 E. Badía Guardiola
V. García Hernández
24 V. García Hernández
M. Barzic Gutiérrez
36 M. Barzic Gutiérrez
E. Fornos Domínguez
5 E. Fornos Domínguez
R. Hinojo Estrada
21 R. Hinojo Estrada
L. Ribeiro Costa
15 L. Ribeiro Costa
J. Fernández Abruñedo
14 J. Fernández Abruñedo
N. Radoja
22 N. Radoja
L. Rodríguez Chacón
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
H. Ahmed
12 H. Ahmed
D. Collado Raya
7 D. Collado Raya
A. Cantero Armendáriz
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
F. Miguel
12 F. Miguel
G. Sierra Pérez
8 G. Sierra Pérez
S. González Martínez
6 S. González Martínez
A. Lizancos Saldaña
2 A. Lizancos Saldaña
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
M. Atienza Villa
5 M. Atienza Villa
I. Ruiz
23 I. Ruiz
V. Mollejo Carpintero
11 V. Mollejo Carpintero
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
F. Niño Rodriguez
9 F. Niño Rodriguez

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Capacity
13346
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
6.84
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin Midfielder
6.67
15
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro Midfielder
6.94
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado Centre Forward
6.59
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Right Back
6.54
5
Quique Fornos
Quique Fornos Left Back
6.41
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Central Midfield
7.11
14
Bicho
Bicho Central Midfield
6.87
21
Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo Left Back
6.66
22
Nemanja Radoja
Nemanja Radoja Central Midfield
6.75
36
Matia Barzic
Matia Barzic Right Back
6.74

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
6.99
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
6.79
11
Víctor Mollejo
Víctor Mollejo Midfielder
6.58
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño Attacker
6.9
14
David González
David González Attacker
6.9
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza Central Midfield
6.96
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Left Back
6.93
2
Álex Lizancos
Álex Lizancos Right Back
6.92
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Right Back
6.78
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Left Back
6.98
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Central Midfield
6.98

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Burgos holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Burgos a 14.2-point edge. External projection is Cultural Leonesa 30.4%, draw 30.2%, and Burgos 39.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.