CSKA Moskva vs Lokomotiv Moskva preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
VEB Arena Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
3 1
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
Full Time Sun, 17 May 3:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Danila Kozlov - 35'
Maksim Nenakhov - 57' (Own Goal)
Danil Krugovoy - 90+1'
Goal
|
Goal
Alexander Silyanov - 70'

CONTEXT

CSKA Moskva secured a 3-1 victory over Lokomotiv Moskva. At halftime the score stood at 1-0 in favor of the home side. Lokomotiv Moskva controlled more of the ball with 57 percent possession while CSKA Moskva had 43 percent. No red cards were shown during the contest. Although Lokomotiv Moskva was identified as the stronger team beforehand, CSKA Moskva claimed the win. This result represented a significant deviation involving the home team. The efficiency shift appeared in line with the overall play. Expected goals data was unavailable for detailed comparison but the final score reflected the match events accurately. The absence of major incidents like dismissals allowed both teams to maintain their structures.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The outcome showed a significant deviation with CSKA Moskva as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with performance throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not available to assess alignment with the result.
  • Market alignment: The result was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No specific expected goals figures were recorded for this fixture.
  • Event impact: Key events led to the 3-1 final score after a 1-0 halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so there was no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Chistyakov
A. Chistyakov
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Petrosyan
V. Petrosyan
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Shiryaev
A. Shiryaev
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Anopa
A. Anopa
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
CSKA Moskva D. Igdisamov
D. Igdisamov
VS
Lokomotiv Moskva M. Galaktionov
M. Galaktionov
1.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 W
Zenit Rank: 80 L
Rubin Kazan Rank: 62 D
Rostov Rank: 61 D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 D
Sochi Rank: 52 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 65 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 55 L
Zenit Rank: 81 D
Orenburg Rank: 54 W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 56 D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 11 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home CSKA Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Lokomotiv Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.3
70.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CSKA Moskva
Lokomotiv Moskva
Power Score
69.3
70.14
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
218
200

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CSKA Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

CSKA Moskva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lokomotiv Moskva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

CSKA Moskva ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lokomotiv Moskva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
CSKA Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
CSKA Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
CSKA Moskva
Lokomotiv Moskva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
CSKA Moskva
vs
Lokomotiv Moskva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
CSKA Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
CSKA Moskva 0.00
Lokomotiv Moskva 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
CSKA Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
CSKA Moskva 0.00
Lokomotiv Moskva 0.00
CSKA Moskva
Lokomotiv Moskva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Lokomotiv Moskva had peak pressure around 73'.
  • CSKA Moskva started the game with stronger pressure.
CSKA Moskva Pressure Lokomotiv Moskva Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Lokomotiv Moskva reached the top pressure at 73' (90.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 45 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Home
45 matches
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Away
Match Record
17
Wins
17
11
Draws
11
17
Losses
17
Goals
63
Goals Scored
53
53
Goals Conceded
63
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T14:45:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
V. Torop
Russia
49 V. Torop
M. Gajić
Serbia
22 M. Gajić
M. Lukun
Russia
90 M. Lukun
K. Danilov
Russia
79 K. Danilov
M. Reis de Lima
Substitution
Brazil
2 M. Reis de Lima
I. Oblyakov
Substitution
Russia
10 I. Oblyakov
M. Kislyak
Russia
31 M. Kislyak
D. Krugovoi
Russia
3 D. Krugovoi
D. Barinov
Russia
6 D. Barinov
D. Kozlov
Substitution
Russia
18 D. Kozlov
M. Voronov
Substitution
97 M. Voronov
A. Mitryushkin
Russia
1 A. Mitryushkin
Lucas Fasson
Substitution
Brazil
3 Lucas Fasson
E. Morozov
Russia
85 E. Morozov
A. Silyanov
Russia
45 A. Silyanov
M. Nenakhov
Russia
24 M. Nenakhov
S. Pinyaev
Substitution
Russia
9 S. Pinyaev
A. Karpukas
Russia
93 A. Karpukas
D. Prutsev
Substitution
Russia
25 D. Prutsev
A. Rudenko
Substitution
Russia
19 A. Rudenko
D. Vorobyev
Substitution
Russia
10 D. Vorobyev
A. Batrakov
Russia
83 A. Batrakov

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
VEB Arena
Capacity
30457
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Artem Chistyakov
Varantso Petrosyan
Aleksey Shiryaev
Anton Anopa

Statistics

Possession
CSKA Moskva
45%
Lokomotiv Moskva
55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 9
34 Dangerous attacks 56
43 Possession 57
3 Corners 5
9 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
9 Goal Kicks 7
16 Dribble Attempts 11
18 Throwins 19
12 Successful Headers 15
10 Successful Dribbles 3
2 Assists 1
62 Ball Safe 61
8 Goal Attempts 9
4 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

70 Attacks 80
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

17 Successful Long Passes 21
372 Passes 486
295 Successful Passes 416
79 Successful Passes Percentage 86
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
43 Long Passes 38

Defensive

11 Interceptions 12
46 Duels Won 42
2 Saves 2
13 Tackles 13

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 35
1 Accurate Crosses 12

Discipline

11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Artem Chistyakov

Starting XI ▼

49
Vladislav Torop
Vladislav Torop Goalkeeper
7.04
2
Matheus Reis
Matheus Reis Defender
6.77
11
Tamerlan Musaev
Tamerlan Musaev
Attacker63'
6.86
22
Milan Gajić
Milan Gajić Defender
6.72
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Defender
6.85
90
Matvey Lukin
Matvey Lukin Defender
6.95
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Midfielder
7.05
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Midfielder
7.14
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Midfielder
7.42
67
Mingiyan Badmaev
Mingiyan Badmaev
Defender90+5'
18
Danila Kozlov
Danila Kozlov Midfielder
6.56
7
Matheus Alves Nascimento
Matheus Alves Nascimento
Midfielder71'
6.84
31
Matvey Kislyak
Matvey Kislyak Midfielder
7.2
97
Maksim Voronov
Maksim Voronov Attacker
6.54
52
Artem Bandikyan
Artem Bandikyan
Midfielder63'
6.68
Referee : Artem Chistyakov

Starting XI ▼

1
Anton Mitryushkin
Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Lucas Fasson
Lucas Fasson Defender
6.88
5
Gerzino Nyamsi
Gerzino Nyamsi
Defender39'
6.8
24
Maksim Nenakhov
Maksim Nenakhov Defender
6.6
45
Alexander Silyanov
Alexander Silyanov Defender
6.89
85
Evgeniy Morozov
Evgeniy Morozov Defender
6.75
9
Sergey Pinyaev
Sergey Pinyaev Midfielder
6.72
8
Vladislav Sarvelyi
Vladislav Sarvelyi
Midfielder61'
6.49
19
Aleksandr Rudenko
Aleksandr Rudenko Midfielder
6.87
14
Nikita Saltykov
Nikita Saltykov
Midfielder61'
6.54
25
Danil Prutsev
Danil Prutsev Midfielder
6.28
32
Lucas Vera
Lucas Vera
Midfielder61'
6.64
93
Artem Karpukas
Artem Karpukas Midfielder
6.93
10
Dmitry Vorobyev
Dmitry Vorobyev Attacker
7.12
99
Ruslan Myalkovskiy
Ruslan Myalkovskiy
Attacker86'
6.36
83
Aleksey Batrakov
Aleksey Batrakov Attacker
7.71

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mingiyan Badmaev → Ivan Oblyakov
9th Substitution
90+5'
Event
Danil Krugovoy
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+1'
86'
Event
Ruslan Myalkovskiy → Dmitry Vorobyev
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Aleksey Batrakov
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Matheus Alves Nascimento → Danila Kozlov
7th Substitution
71'
70'
Event
Alexander Silyanov
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Artem Bandikyan → Maksim Voronov
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Tamerlan Musaev → Matheus Reis
6th Substitution
63'
61'
Event
Vladislav Sarvelyi → Sergey Pinyaev
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Lucas Vera → Danil Prutsev
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Nikita Saltykov → Aleksandr Rudenko
2nd Substitution
Event
Maksim Nenakhov
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
57'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Gerzino Nyamsi → Lucas Fasson
1st Substitution
Event
Danila Kozlov
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
35'

Match Commentary

57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Maksim Nenakhov makes it 2-0.
90
Update Update
Mingiyan Badmaev is on, and Ivan Oblyakov is off.
88
Attempt Attempt
Alexey Batrakov takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Alexey Batrakov's left-footed shot is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Vladislav Sarveli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Update Update
Matheus Alves Nascimento comes on for Danila Kozlov.
61
Update Update
Lucas Gabriel Vera replaces Danil Prutsev.
61
Update Update
Nikita Saltykov is on, and Aleksandr Rudenko is off.
63
Update Update
Tamerlan Musaev replaces Matheus Reis de Lima.
86
Update Update
Ruslan Myalkovskiy comes on for Dmitry Vorobyev.
63
Update Update
Artem Bandikyan comes on for Maksim Voronov.
61
Update Update
Vladislav Sarveli is on, and Sergey Pinyaev is off.
48
Attempt Attempt
Alexey Batrakov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Vladislav Sarveli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Aleksandr Silyanov with his right foot results in a goal.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Daniil Krugovoy scores with a left-footed shot.
83
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Alves Nascimento takes a left-footed shot but misses.
83
Attempt Attempt
Tamerlan Musaev's right-footed shot is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Gerzino Nyamsi attempted a header but missed the shot.
61
Attempt Attempt
Sergey Pinyaev takes a left-footed shot but misses.
57
Attempt Attempt
Gerzino Nyamsi attempts a header but misses the shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sergey Pinyaev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Sergey Pinyaev takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandr Silyanov takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Update Update
Aleksandr Silyanov's header is blocked.
43
Update Update
Aleksandr Silyanov's header is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Milan Gajic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Danila Kozlov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Danila Kozlov scores with a right-footed shot.
42
Attempt Attempt
Dmitry Vorobyev's header is saved.
39
Update Update
Gerzino Nyamsi is on, and Lucas Fasson is off.
27
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandr Rudenko attempts a header but misses the shot.
27
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandr Rudenko attempts a header but misses the shot.
21
Attempt Attempt
Danil Prutsev takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Sergey Pinyaev takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Dmitry Vorobyev takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Daniil Krugovoy takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Daniil Krugovoy takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: CSKA Moskva 3-1 Lokomotiv Moskva. Structural assessment: CSKA Moskva exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.