CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Vitosha (Bistritsa (Bistrica)) Today - 5:30 PM
Europa Conference League
CSKA 1948 SofiaC1S
PanathinaikosPAO
KICKOFF : Today - 5:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1

CONTEXT

CSKA 1948 Sofia host Panathinaikos at Stadion Vitosha for the second leg of their Europa Conference League third qualifying round tie. The sides drew 1-1 in the opening fixture six days ago, leaving the aggregate level at 1-1. Panathinaikos arrive with the higher overall power rating of 76.91, giving them a 13.6-point edge over the home side. Form scores also tilt toward the visitors at 27.78 against 16.67. Both teams operate without recent domestic league positioning data, as the tie sits outside their primary competitions. The venue in Bistritsa presents a compact setting that may compress space and reward structured build-up. Panathinaikos will aim to leverage their squad depth and technical quality to break down a compact CSKA 1948 Sofia defense. The home side must balance caution with the need to create opportunities on the counter. Limited underlying metrics leave some tactical details open to interpretation on the night.

TL;DR

  • Structural: The match takes place at Stadion Vitosha in the third qualifying round of the Europa Conference League.
  • Form: Panathinaikos holds a higher form score of 27.78 compared to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 16.67.
  • Squad: Panathinaikos enters as the stronger side with a power score of 76.91 against 63.33.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams ahead of this encounter.
  • Transition: Both sides will look to improve their transitional play in this second leg.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis is limited with no xG data available, relying on proxy metrics.
  • xVariable: The power advantage of 13.6 points favors Panathinaikos in this matchup.
  • Market: CSKA 1948 Sofia 18.9% (Δ-0.4%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0.1%) | Panathinaikos 54.5% (Δ+0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
CSKA 1948 Sofia A. Emilov Aleksandrov
A. Emilov Aleksandrov
VS
Panathinaikos J. Neestrup Hansen
J. Neestrup Hansen
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Panathinaikos Rank: 78 D
Spartak Trnava Rank: 76 D
Spartak Trnava Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
CSKA 1948 Sofia Rank: 63 D
Paksi SE Rank: 63 D
Paksi SE Rank: 61 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home CSKA 1948 Sofia
18.93%
Draw
26.6%
Away Panathinaikos
54.47%

Movement

Changes since opening
CSKA 1948 Sofia
-0.39%
Draw
+0.07%
Panathinaikos
+0.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.33
76.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Panathinaikos
Power Score
63.33
76.91
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
474
121

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
CSKA 1948 Sofia — Opponent-weighted form score
Panathinaikos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CSKA 1948 Sofia Panathinaikos

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

CSKA 1948 Sofia C1S Home
1 matches
Panathinaikos PAO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
1.10
xG
1.12
1.12
xGA
1.10

Data last updated: 2026-08-11T00:02:12+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Stadion Vitosha (Bistritsa (Bistrica))
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jasper Vergoote
Michael Geerolf
Martijn Tiesters
Nathan Verboomen

CONCLUSION

Panathinaikos carry a modest overall edge into the return fixture, yet the level aggregate means CSKA 1948 Sofia remain firmly in contention. The visitors possess superior squad resources and a stronger recent form profile, which could prove decisive if the game opens up. At the same time the home side can draw confidence from holding their opponents in the first leg and will seek to exploit any lapses in concentration. With set-piece and efficiency metrics sparse, much will depend on in-game adjustments and individual quality. Panathinaikos are expected to control territory, but CSKA 1948 Sofia's compact organization could frustrate them. The outcome will likely hinge on which team executes its transitions more cleanly and manages the physical demands of a second leg played in quick succession.