Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Selhurst Park Thu, 7 May - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
KICKOFF : Thu, 7 May - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 1

CONTEXT

Crystal Palace host Shakhtar Donetsk at Selhurst Park in the second leg of the Europa Conference League semi-finals, carrying a 3-1 aggregate lead from their dominant first-leg win away in Ukraine. The Eagles, powered by a 85.91 rating against Shakhtar's 75.3, hold a clear 10.6-point advantage, positioning them as favorites to reach the final. Oliver Glasner's team has outperformed in recent form with a 41.72 score to the Ukrainians' 24.44, thriving on home soil where fan support amplifies their intensity. Shakhtar face a steep challenge, needing at least three unanswered goals to level the tie, while Palace can afford defensive solidity. Key battles in midfield and attack will decide progression, with Palace's structured play likely to frustrate Shakhtar's recovery bid. This clash blends Premier League grit with Ukrainian resilience.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Crystal Palace benefits from home advantage and a 10.6-point power score edge over Shakhtar Donetsk.
  • Form: Crystal Palace's form score of 41.72 outpaces Shakhtar Donetsk's 24.44.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or last outings reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence proxies used.
  • xVariable: Power scores highlight Crystal Palace's 85.91 superiority to Shakhtar's 75.3.
  • Market: Crystal Palace 60.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.5% (Δ+0%) | Shakhtar Donetsk 17.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
1.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 W
Fiorentina Rank: 76 L
Fiorentina Rank: 77 W
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: D
Zrinjski Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 L
AZ Rank: 74 D
AZ Rank: 76 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 L
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 W
Rijeka Rank: 71 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Crystal Palace
60.33%
Draw
22.48%
Away Shakhtar Donetsk
17.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.91
75.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Power Score
85.91
75.3
League Position
10
6
Global Rank
31
114

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Crystal Palace Opponent-weighted form score
Shakhtar Donetsk Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Crystal Palace CRY Home
1 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:02:41+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
D. Riznyk
31 D. Riznyk
P. Azevedo Pereira
13 P. Azevedo Pereira
M. Matviyenko
22 M. Matviyenko
V. Bondar
5 V. Bondar
V. Tobias da Silva
17 V. Tobias da Silva
O. Ocheretko
27 O. Ocheretko
E. de Sousa Lemos
7 E. de Sousa Lemos
M. Gomes Claudino
6 M. Gomes Claudino
P. Delmino da Silva
10 P. Delmino da Silva
A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
30 A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
K. Elias Nogueira
19 K. Elias Nogueira

General Information

Date & Time
May 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 1
Stadium
Selhurst Park
Capacity
25456
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
José Enrique Naranjo Pérez
Diego Sánchez Rojo
José María Sánchez Martínez

Expected Lineup

Referee : Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Starting XI

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.69
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
7.18
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
7.11
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
7.12
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.84
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
7.27
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
7.04
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
7.2
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
6.74
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
7.21
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
7.17
Referee : Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Starting XI

31
Dmytro Riznyk
Dmytro Riznyk Goalkeeper
6.68
17
Vinícius Tobias
Vinícius Tobias Defender
6.97
5
Valeriy Bondar
Valeriy Bondar Defender
7.17
22
Mykola Matvienko
Mykola Matvienko Defender
6.91
13
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique Defender
7.16
6
Marlon Gomes
Marlon Gomes Midfielder
7.12
27
Oleg Ocheretko
Oleg Ocheretko Midfielder
6.76
30
Alisson
Alisson Attacker
7.03
10
Pedrinho
Pedrinho Attacker
7.29
7
Eguinaldo
Eguinaldo Attacker
6.86
19
Kauã Elias
Kauã Elias Attacker
7.05

CONCLUSION

Crystal Palace stand on the brink of the Europa Conference League final, nursing a 3-1 aggregate cushion that demands respect from Shakhtar Donetsk. Their superior power and form metrics suggest a controlled performance at Selhurst Park will suffice for progression. While Shakhtar's pedigree offers hope for an upset, overturning the deficit requires perfection Palace rarely concedes. Expect the Eagles to leverage home atmosphere, maintaining defensive shape while probing on counters. A clean sheet seals it, but even a single goal extends their lead unassailably. This tie tilts decisively homeward.