Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Red Bull Arena Yesterday - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace CRY
Rayo Vallecano RAY
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 7:00 PM
Final

CONTEXT

Crystal Palace and Rayo Vallecano meet in the Europa Conference League Final at Red Bull Arena in the 2025/2026 season. Crystal Palace arrive as the stronger side according to power metrics, holding an 85.66 rating against Rayo Vallecano's 80.48 and a 5.2-point advantage. The venue offers a neutral setting for this decisive clash between two sides with contrasting domestic backgrounds. Both teams have navigated the international cup path to reach this stage, setting up an intriguing contest between Palace's structured approach and Rayo Vallecano's resilient style. Limited recent outing data leaves form comparisons reliant on season-long indicators, with the match poised to highlight efficiency in key areas.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Crystal Palace hold a power score of 85.66 compared to Rayo Vallecano's 80.48 with a 5.2-point advantage.
  • Form: Rayo Vallecano post a form score of 51 against Crystal Palace's 47.28.
  • Squad: Squad composition details remain unavailable for both Crystal Palace and Rayo Vallecano.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no available data for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence with proxy usage noted for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power advantage stands at 5.2 points in favor of Crystal Palace.
  • Market: Crystal Palace 46.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.3% (Δ+0%) | Rayo Vallecano 24.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 W
Fiorentina Rank: 79 L
Fiorentina Rank: 79 W
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 78 W
Strasbourg Rank: 78 W
AEK Athens Rank: 79 L
AEK Athens Rank: 79 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 L
Samsunspor Rank: 74 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Crystal Palace
46.32%
Draw
29.31%
Away Rayo Vallecano
24.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.66
80.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
85.66
80.48
League Position
10
5
Global Rank
32
55

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Crystal Palace Rayo Vallecano

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Crystal Palace CRY Home
0 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:01:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
D. Henderson
1 D. Henderson
C. Riad
34 C. Riad
M. Lacroix
5 M. Lacroix
J. Canvot
23 J. Canvot
D. Muñoz Mejía
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
A. Wharton
20 A. Wharton
D. Kamada
18 D. Kamada
T. Mitchell
3 T. Mitchell
I. Sarr
7 I. Sarr
J. Mateta
14 J. Mateta
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
A. Batalla Barga
13 A. Batalla Barga
J. Chavarría Pérez
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
N. Mendy
32 N. Mendy
F. Lejeune
24 F. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
2 A. Ratiu
Ó. Martín Luengo
23 Ó. Martín Luengo
I. Palazón Camacho
7 I. Palazón Camacho
P. Ciss
6 P. Ciss
L. Espino García
22 L. Espino García
A. Zurawski
9 A. Zurawski
J. De Frutos Sebastián
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián

General Information

Date & Time
May 27, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Final
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Capacity
47069
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Bindoni
Glenn Nyberg
Alberto Tegoni
Maurizio Mariani

Expected Lineup

Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.76
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
7.29
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
7.13
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
7.1
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.81
34
Chadi Riad
Chadi Riad Defender
6.47
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
7.17
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
7.05
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
7.24
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
7.16
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
6.77
Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.93
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
6.78
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
6.95
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7.34
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino Defender
6.95
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy Defender
6.42
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín Midfielder
6.84
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
7.05
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón Attacker
7.02
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
7.1
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
6.87

CONCLUSION

This final pits Crystal Palace's higher power rating against Rayo Vallecano's slight form edge in a neutral venue setting. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece metrics shifts focus toward overall structural balance and in-game adaptability. Both sides have shown consistency to reach this point yet face a decisive test where small margins will determine the outcome. Crystal Palace may leverage their power advantage while Rayo Vallecano look to exploit any transitional openings. The match promises a tactical battle centered on control and execution across all phases of play.