Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadion Rajko Mitić Tue, 11 Aug - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Crvena ZvezdaCRV
0 2
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHBS
Full Time Tue, 11 Aug 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3
|
Goal
Javon East - 79'
D. Stanković 57' Red Card
Mohammed Abu Fani 90+3' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Crvena Zvezda 0–2 Hapoel Be'er Sheva. The result saw Hapoel Be'er Sheva take the points. Hapoel Be'er Sheva showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 4%–96%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Hapoel Be'er Sheva showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with pre-match patterns throughout the fixture.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals figures were unavailable so alignment could not be verified.
  • Market alignment: Result showed true market alignment with a recorded deviation of 2.9 percent.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were recorded for either side during the match.
  • Event impact: Second half adjustments occurred due to the listed red card distortion.
  • Red card distortion: Crvena Zvezda received two red cards and Hapoel Be'er Sheva received zero.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Nyberg
G. Nyberg
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Beigi
M. Beigi
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Söderkvist
A. Söderkvist
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Johnson
O. Johnson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Crvena Zvezda D. Stankovic
D. Stankovic
VS
Hapoel Be'er Sheva R. Kozuch
R. Kozuch
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Rank: L
Larne Rank: 57 W
Larne Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crvena Zvezda Rank: W
Víkingur Reykjavík Rank: W
Víkingur Reykjavík Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Crvena Zvezda
0.96%
Draw
1.9%
Away Hapoel Be'er Sheva
97.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34
36.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Power Score
34
36.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Crvena Zvezda — Opponent-weighted form score
Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Crvena Zvezda Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Crvena Zvezda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Crvena Zvezda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
312.50
10.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.57
312.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Crvena Zvezda — Efficiency Index
vs
Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Crvena Zvezda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Crvena Zvezda Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Crvena Zvezda Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Crvena Zvezda
vs
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Crvena Zvezda Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Crvena Zvezda 0.13
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Crvena Zvezda Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Crvena Zvezda 0.05
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0.00
Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HBS had peak pressure around 21'.
  • CRV started the game with stronger pressure.
CRV Pressure HBS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HBS reached the top pressure at 21' (43.60).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Crvena Zvezda CRV Home
1 matches
Hapoel Be'er Sheva HBS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:03:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
Stadion Rajko Mitić
Capacity
55538
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Glenn Nyberg
Mahbod Beigi
Andreas Söderkvist
Oscar Johnson

Statistics

Possession
CRV
45%
HBS
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
7 Shots 2
70 Dangerous attacks 43
4 Possession 96
3 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
27 Throwins 22

Attacking

103 Attacks 102

Defensive

4 Saves 1

Discipline

10 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Glenn Nyberg

Starting XI ▼

1
Matheus
Matheus Goalkeeper
5.88
23
Nair Tiknizyan
Nair Tiknizyan Defender
6.05
10
Aleksandar Katai
Aleksandar Katai
Midfielder80'
6.5
25
Strahinja Erakovic
Strahinja Erakovic Defender
6.05
32
Derrick Luckassen
Derrick Luckassen Defender
6.05
66
Young-woo Seol
Young-woo Seol Defender
6.05
14
Osman Bukari
Osman Bukari Midfielder
6.37
70
Muhammed Cham
Muhammed Cham
Midfielder73'
6.37
21
Timi Max Elsnik
Timi Max Elsnik Midfielder
6.5
15
Mohammed Abu Fani
Mohammed Abu Fani
Midfielder46'
5.39
22
Vasilije Kostov
Vasilije Kostov Midfielder
6.37
4
Mirko Ivanic
Mirko Ivanic
Midfielder63'
6.37
33
Rade Krunic
Rade Krunic (C) Midfielder
6.27
9
J. Enem
J. Enem Attacker
6.5
7
Marko Arnautovic
Marko Arnautovic
Attacker46'
6.43
17
Bruno Duarte
Bruno Duarte Attacker
6.43
Referee : Glenn Nyberg

Starting XI ▼

1
Ofir Marciano
Ofir Marciano Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Guy Mizrahi
Guy Mizrahi Defender
6.5
8
Hamode Kanaan
Hamode Kanaan
Attacker66'
6.5
4
Miguel Vítor
Miguel Vítor (C) Defender
6.5
5
Pedro Amador
Pedro Amador Defender
6.5
13
Ofir Davidzada
Ofir Davidzada
Defender90+2'
12
Itay Rotman
Itay Rotman Defender
6.49
7
Eliel Peretz
Eliel Peretz Midfielder
6.61
25
Lucas Ventura
Lucas Ventura Midfielder
6.5
28
Niv Yehoshua
Niv Yehoshua Midfielder
6.45
45
Muhammad Abu Rumi
Muhammad Abu Rumi
Attacker66'
6.5
9
Zahi Ahmed
Zahi Ahmed Attacker
6.5
20
Javon East
Javon East Attacker
7.23
19
Amit Ohana
Amit Ohana
Attacker90+2'
66
Igor Zlatanovic
Igor Zlatanovic Attacker
6.86
44
Djibril Diop
Djibril Diop
Defender76'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mohammed Abu Fani
Foul / 1st Redcard
90+3'
90+2'
Event
Ofir Davidzada → Pedro Amador
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Amit Ohana → Javon East
10th Substitution
Event
Aleksandar Katai → Nair Tiknizyan
8th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Javon East
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
76'
Event
Djibril Diop → Igor Zlatanovic
7th Substitution
Event
Muhammed Cham → Osman Bukari
6th Substitution
73'
66'
Event
Hamode Kanaan → Guy Mizrahi
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Muhammad Abu Rumi → Niv Yehoshua
5th Substitution
Event
Mirko Ivanic → Vasilije Kostov
3rd Substitution
63'
63'
Event
Niv Yehoshua
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
Event
Igor Zlatanovic
Field Goal / 1st Goal
Event
D. Stanković
Argument / 2nd Redcard
57'
Event
Marko Arnautovic → J. Enem
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Mohammed Abu Fani → Timi Max Elsnik
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
22'
Event
Itay Rotman
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Substitution Substitution
Amit Ohana is substituted off for Javon Romario East.
90
Update Update
On comes Ofir Davidadze, off goes Pedro Miguel Santos Amador.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Mohammed Abo Fani.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Aleksandar Katai comes on for Nair Tiknizyan.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
76
Update Update
Djibril Diop is on, and Igor Zlatanovic is off.
73
Update Update
Muhammed Saracevic is on, and Osman Bukari is off.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
On comes Mohammad Kanaan, off goes Guy Mizrahi.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Lucas de Souza Ventura of Nonoca.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Lucas de Souza Ventura from Nonoca.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Substitution Substitution
Mohammed Abo Fani is substituted for Timi Max Elsnik.
46
Update Update
On Marko Arnautovic, off Jay Enem.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Itay Rotman.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Glenn Nyberg.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Structural assessment: Hapoel Be'er Sheva exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.