Coventry City vs Wrexham preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Coventry Building Society Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 11:00 AM
Championship
Coventry City CVC
3 1
Wrexham WXH
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 11:00 AM
Round 45 Regular Season
Brandon Thomas-Asante - 19'
Victor Torp - 80'
Ephron Mason-Clark - 90+4'
Goal
|
Goal
Ollie Rathbone - 25'

CONTEXT

Coventry City secured a 3-1 victory over Wrexham, overcoming a 1-1 halftime deadlock to dominate the second half. Holding 61% possession throughout, Coventry asserted their status as the stronger team, converting opportunities while Wrexham managed only one goal. The match featured no red cards or major disruptions, allowing play to flow naturally. This result marked a significant structural deviation of 50.5% in Coventry's favor, reflecting their outperformance relative to pre-match expectations where they held a 49.5% implied probability of winning compared to Wrexham's 26.3%. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with norms, and the outcome aligned with market assessments. Without xG data available, deeper chance quality analysis remains pending, but Coventry's control and finishing efficiency proved decisive in clinching the points.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Coventry City recorded a significant structural deviation of 50.5%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true with Coventry City's victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Coventry City F. Lampard
F. Lampard
VS
Wrexham P. Parkinson
P. Parkinson
1.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Portsmouth Rank: W
Blackburn Rovers Rank: D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Hull City Rank: D
Derby County Rank: W
Swansea City Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Oxford United Rank: W
Stoke City Rank: W
Birmingham City Rank: L
Southampton Rank: L
West Bromwich Albion Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Coventry City
49.45%
Draw
24.23%
Away Wrexham
26.32%

Movement

Changes since opening
Coventry City
-45.27%
Draw
+19.14%
Wrexham
+26.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.68
27.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Coventry City
Wrexham
Power Score
32.68
27.52
League Position
1
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Coventry City — Opponent-weighted form score
Wrexham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Coventry City Wrexham

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Coventry City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Wrexham

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Coventry City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wrexham
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Coventry City Wrexham
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Coventry City Wrexham
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Coventry City
Wrexham
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Coventry City
vs
Wrexham
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Coventry City Wrexham
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Coventry City 0.00
Wrexham 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Coventry City Wrexham
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Coventry City 0.00
Wrexham 0.00
Coventry City
Wrexham
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CVC had peak pressure around 20'.
  • CVC started the game with stronger pressure.
CVC Pressure WXH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CVC reached the top pressure at 20' (78.95).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Coventry City CVC Home
2 matches
Wrexham WXH Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
5
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T10:30:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Pitch
C. Rushworth
England
19 C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
Netherlands
27 M. van Ewijk
B. Thomas
England
4 B. Thomas
L. Kitching
England
15 L. Kitching
J. Dasilva
England
3 J. Dasilva
O. Frank
Nigeria
16 O. Frank
M. Grimes
Substitution
England
6 M. Grimes
B. Thomas-Asante
Substitution
England
23 B. Thomas-Asante
J. Eccles
Substitution
England
28 J. Eccles
E. Mason-Clark
England
10 E. Mason-Clark
H. Wright
Substitution
United States
11 H. Wright
D. Ward
Wales
21 D. Ward
C. Doyle
England
2 C. Doyle
D. Scarr
England
24 D. Scarr
D. Hyam
Scotland
5 D. Hyam
G. Thomason
England
14 G. Thomason
O. Rathbone
Substitution
England
20 O. Rathbone
M. James
England
37 M. James
G. Dobson
England
15 G. Dobson
I. Kabore
Burkina Faso
12 I. Kabore
J. Windass
Substitution
England
10 J. Windass
S. Smith
Substitution
England
28 S. Smith

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Capacity
32609
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Samuel Allison

Statistics

Possession
CVC
58%
WXH
42%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 9
64 Dangerous attacks 34
61 Possession 39
4 Corners 4
18 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
16 Successful Headers 20
6 Successful Dribbles 3
14 Dribble Attempts 9
5 Goal Kicks 10
1 Assists 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
13 Throwins 14
7 Goal Attempts 6
66 Ball Safe 64
4 Substitutions 3
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

113 Attacks 56
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

23 Successful Long Passes 32
84 Successful Passes Percentage 76
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
383 Successful Passes 220
458 Passes 290
51 Long Passes 62
10 Key Passes 10

Defensive

54 Duels Won 43
6 Interceptions 2
15 Tackles 14
1 Saves 3

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 17
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

6 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Samuel Allison

Starting XI ▼

19
Carl Rushworth
Carl Rushworth Goalkeeper
6.96
3
Jay Dasilva
Jay Dasilva Defender
6.83
4
Bobby Thomas
Bobby Thomas Defender
7.13
15
Liam Kitching
Liam Kitching Defender
7.03
27
Milan van Ewijk
Milan van Ewijk Defender
6.88
6
Matt Grimes
Matt Grimes Midfielder
7.25
8
Jamie Allen
Jamie Allen
Midfielder87'
6.68
10
Ephron Mason-Clark
Ephron Mason-Clark Midfielder
6.98
16
Frank Onyeka
Frank Onyeka Midfielder
6.84
23
Brandon Thomas-Asante
Brandon Thomas-Asante Midfielder
6.96
14
Romain Esse
Romain Esse
Midfielder82'
6.78
28
Josh Eccles
Josh Eccles Midfielder
6.75
29
Victor Torp
Victor Torp
Midfielder71'
7.1
11
Haji Wright
Haji Wright Attacker
6.87
9
Ellis Simms
Ellis Simms
Attacker71'
6.79
Referee : Samuel Allison

Starting XI ▼

21
Danny Ward
Danny Ward Goalkeeper
7.12
2
Callum Doyle
Callum Doyle Defender
6.82
5
Dominic Hyam
Dominic Hyam Defender
6.85
24
Dan Scarr
Dan Scarr Defender
6.8
12
Issa Kaboré
Issa Kaboré Midfielder
6.8
14
George Thomason
George Thomason Midfielder
6.96
15
George Dobson
George Dobson Midfielder
6.91
20
Ollie Rathbone
Ollie Rathbone Midfielder
6.86
27
Lewis O'Brien
Lewis O'Brien
Midfielder60'
6.98
37
Matty James
Matty James Midfielder
6.83
10
Josh Windass
Josh Windass Attacker
7.03
33
Nathan Broadhead
Nathan Broadhead
Attacker71'
6.89
28
Sam Smith
Sam Smith Attacker
6.68
19
Kieffer Moore
Kieffer Moore
Attacker72'
7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ephron Mason-Clark
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
90+4'
Event
Jamie Allen → Matt Grimes
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Romain Esse → Brandon Thomas-Asante
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Victor Torp
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
80'
72'
Event
Kieffer Moore → Sam Smith
5th Substitution
Event
Ellis Simms → Haji Wright
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Victor Torp → Josh Eccles
4th Substitution
71'
71'
Event
Nathan Broadhead → Josh Windass
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Lewis O'Brien → Ollie Rathbone
1st Substitution
53'
Event
Ollie Rathbone
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Josh Eccles
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
50'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Matty James
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Frank Onyeka
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
29'
25'
Event
Ollie Rathbone
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Brandon Thomas-Asante
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
19'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Kieffer Moore from Wrexham misses an attempt with a header from the center of the box, sending it just a bit too high. The cross was assisted by George Thomason.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Kieffer Moore of Wrexham.
88
Update Update
Frank Onyeka wins a free kick for Coventry City in the defensive half.
89
Update Update
Coventry City is called offside. Ephron Mason-Clark is the player caught offside.
86
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Victor Torp from Coventry City takes a right-footed shot from outside the box that is close but goes to the right. Matt Grimes provided the assist.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Jamie Allen comes on for Matt Grimes.
83
Corner Corner
Dan Scarr from Wrexham misses the header from the right side of the six-yard box, sending it high and wide to the right. The attempt was assisted by George Dobson's cross after a corner.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Romain Esse from Coventry City.
83
Corner Corner
Wrexham wins a corner after Romain Esse concedes.
86
Update Update
Brien from Wrexham wins a free kick in the defensive half.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Romain Esse comes on for Brandon Thomas-Asante.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Victor Torp scores for Coventry City with a right-footed shot from a free kick into the top left corner. The score is now Coventry City 2, Wrexham 1.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Dominic Hyam of Wrexham.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Dominic Hyam of Wrexham.
75
Update Update
Frank Onyeka of Coventry City wins a free kick in the defensive half.
76
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Callum Doyle from Wrexham.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Issa Kaboré of Wrexham.
74
Corner Corner
Wrexham wins a corner after Bobby Thomas concedes.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Wrexham: Nathan Broadhead comes on for Josh Windass.
73
Corner Corner
Wrexham have been awarded a corner after Jay Dasilva conceded it.
72
Update Update
Kieffer Moore comes on for Sam Smith at Wrexham.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Victor Torp comes on for Josh Eccles.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Sam Smith from Wrexham has a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the center of the goal by Carl Rushworth from Coventry City. The assist came from Josh Windass with a through ball.
69
Attempt Attempt
Matty James from Wrexham misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it to the left. The attempt was assisted by Josh Windass.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Ephron Mason-Clark of Coventry City.
67
Update Update
Josh Windass wins a free kick for Wrexham on the right wing.
84
Attempt Attempt
Ellis Simms of Coventry City has a left-footed shot from the center of the box blocked. Romain Esse provided the assist.
64
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Dan Scarr concedes.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Ellis Simms comes on for Haji Wright.
62
Update Update
Foul by Dominic Hyam for Wrexham.
61
Update Update
Dan Scarr's header from the center of the box for Wrexham is blocked. The attempt was assisted by a cross from George Dobson.
62
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City wins a free kick on the left wing.
56
Update Update
Sam Smith from Wrexham wins a free kick in the attacking half.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Liam Kitching of Coventry City.
60
Update Update
Brien comes on for Oliver Rathbone.
56
Corner Corner
Milan van Ewijk from Coventry City misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it close but to the right after a corner.
55
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Danny Ward concedes.
55
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Danny Ward concedes.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oliver Rathbone from Wrexham receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
53
Update Update
Frank Onyeka from Coventry City wins a free kick in the attacking half.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Oliver Rathbone of Wrexham.
52
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Matt Grimes from Coventry City takes a left-footed shot from outside the box.
51
Update Update
Bobby Thomas wins a free kick for Coventry City in the defensive half.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Sam Smith of Wrexham.
50
Update Update
George Dobson from Wrexham wins a free kick in the defensive half.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Josh Eccles of Coventry City receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
50
Update Update
Foul committed by Josh Eccles of Coventry City.
49
Update Update
Milan van Ewijk of Coventry City wins a free kick in the defensive half.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by George Thomason of Wrexham.
50
Attempt Attempt
Haji Wright's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Frank Onyeka.
45
Update Update
The second half begins after the match finishes 1-1.
61
Corner Corner
Wrexham wins a corner after Bobby Thomas concedes.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at Coventry City 1, Wrexham 1.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Brandon Thomas-Asante of Coventry City.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
44
Update Update
Matty James from Wrexham wins a free kick in the defensive half.
42
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after George Thomason concedes.
41
Update Update
Offside against Wrexham. Sam Smith is flagged for offside.
40
Update Update
Josh Eccles of Coventry City wins a free kick on the left wing.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matty James of Wrexham receives a yellow card for a foul.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Matty James of Wrexham.
39
Attempt Attempt
George Thomason from Wrexham hits the woodwork with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
37
Attempt Attempt
Liam Kitching of Coventry City misses an attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box, going close but missing to the right after a set piece situation.
36
Update Update
Josh Eccles from Coventry City wins a free kick in the attacking half.
36
Update Update
Foul by George Dobson for Wrexham.
35
Update Update
Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City wins a free kick on the right wing.
35
Update Update
Foul committed by Oliver Rathbone of Wrexham.
34
Update Update
Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City wins a free kick on the right wing.
33
Update Update
Handball by George Thomason of Wrexham.
32
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Josh Windass from Wrexham with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
45
Update Update
Haji Wright from Coventry City is caught offside.
29
Update Update
Issa Kaboré from Wrexham wins a free kick in the attacking half.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Frank Onyeka from Coventry City receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
29
Update Update
Issa Kaboré from Wrexham wins a free kick in the attacking half.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Sam Smith of Wrexham.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Callum Doyle of Wrexham.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oliver Rathbone scores for Wrexham with a left-footed shot from the center of the box. The match is now 1-1.
23
Corner Corner
Coventry City win a corner after Dominic Hyam concedes.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Coventry City leads 1-0 after Brandon Thomas-Asante scores with a right-footed shot from close range into the top right corner, assisted by Ephron Mason-Clark's cross.
27
Update Update
Carl Rushworth from Coventry City wins a free kick in the defensive half.
16
Attempt Attempt
Brandon Thomas-Asante's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Josh Eccles has a right-footed shot from outside the box for Coventry City, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Jay Dasilva.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Oliver Rathbone of Wrexham.
15
Update Update
Josh Eccles of Coventry City wins a free kick in the attacking half.
10
Update Update
Brandon Thomas-Asante wins a free kick for Coventry City on the right wing.
8
Attempt Attempt
Matty James from Wrexham has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Josh Windass.
7
Attempt Attempt
Brandon Thomas-Asante's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked.
7
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark is caught offside for Coventry City.
6
Update Update
Haji Wright from Coventry City wins a free kick in the attacking half.
6
Attempt Attempt
Callum Doyle's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Josh Windass.
5
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. George Dobson from Wrexham has a left-footed shot from the center of the box that is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Josh Windass from Wrexham has a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it is blocked. The assist came from George Thomason.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Dan Scarr of Wrexham.
43
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Dan Scarr concedes.
13
Attempt Attempt
George Thomason's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
10
Update Update
Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City wins a free kick on the right wing.

CONCLUSION

Coventry City's 3-1 win over Wrexham underscored their superiority, particularly after a balanced 1-1 halftime with 61% possession dominance. The significant 50.5% structural deviation highlights Coventry's effective execution beyond pre-match projections of 49.5% win probability. Market alignment confirmed the result's consistency, while efficiency stayed on track without disruptions from red cards or adjustments. This performance solidifies Coventry's standing, demonstrating control and clinical finishing against a resilient Wrexham side that held firm early but faded late.