Coritiba vs Palmeiras preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Serie A
CoritibaCFC
1 3
PalmeirasPAL
Full Time
Round 19 Regular Season
Paulo Roberto - 68'
Goal
|
Goal
Mauricio - 9', 19'
Ramón Sosa - 67'

CONTEXT

The encounter between Coritiba and Palmeiras concluded with a 1-3 scoreline, with Palmeiras claiming the win. Halftime stood at 0-2. Despite Coritiba holding a slight possession advantage of 51 percent to 49 percent and generating higher expected goals at 1.72 versus 0.8, the result favored the visitors. The stronger team Palmeiras prevailed in a match where the outcome was inconsistent with xG projections. No red cards occurred during the game. Significant deviation was noted in the performance of Palmeiras relative to expectations. Efficiency remained in line with team capabilities throughout the contest. This result highlighted key differences in conversion rates on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Palmeiras showed significant deviation from pre-match performance expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with overall team performances.
  • xG alignment: The final result was not consistent with the xG differential.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: Coritiba posted 1.72 xG while Palmeiras recorded 0.8 xG.
  • Event impact: Second half adjustments contributed to the 1-3 final score.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Daronco
A. Daronco
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Oliveira
N. Oliveira
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Stanislau
M. Stanislau
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Silveira Tisne
L. Silveira Tisne
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Coritiba F. Seabra
F. Seabra
VS
Palmeiras A. Moreira Ferreira
A. Moreira Ferreira
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.28
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Bahia Rank: 62 W
Santos Rank: 62 W
Internacional Rank: 63 D
Vitória Rank: 62 L
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 52 W
Flamengo Rank: 75 W
Cruzeiro Rank: 67 D
Remo Rank: 57 D
Santos Rank: 62 D
Bragantino Rank: 64 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.65
76.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Power Score
48.65
76.18
League Position
7
1
Global Rank
555
117

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Coritiba — Opponent-weighted form score
Palmeiras — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Coritiba Palmeiras

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Coritiba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Palmeiras

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Coritiba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Palmeiras
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.00
25.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.18
27.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Coritiba +0.15 Efficiency Index
vs
Palmeiras -0.15 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Coritiba
Palmeiras
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Coritiba
vs
Palmeiras
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Coritiba Palmeiras
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
71%
5%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-1.21 vs -0.04
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Coritiba Palmeiras
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
5%
71%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.04 vs -1.21
Coritiba
Palmeiras
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Coritiba
vs
Palmeiras
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Coritiba Palmeiras
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Coritiba 0.23
Palmeiras 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Coritiba Palmeiras
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Coritiba 0.05
Palmeiras 0.00
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFC had peak pressure around 46'.
  • PAL started the game with stronger pressure.
CFC Pressure PAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CFC reached the top pressure at 46' (78.79).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 19 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Capacity
40502
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anderson Daronco
Nailton Oliveira
Michael Stanislau
Luiz Augusto Silveira Tisne

Statistics

Possession
CFC
52%
PAL
48%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 4
64 Dangerous attacks 39
51 Possession 49
8 Corners 4
16 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

59 Ball Safe 68
6 Goal Kicks 11
11 Goal Attempts 10
6 Substitutions 4
22 Throwins 16
0 Hit Woodwork 1
9 Successful Headers 11
0 Assists 1
3 Injuries 0
18 Dribble Attempts 17
9 Successful Dribbles 9
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

Attacking

105 Attacks 75

Possession

44 Long Passes 44
431 Passes 432
378 Successful Passes 377
88 Successful Passes Percentage 87
12 Key Passes 8
26 Successful Long Passes 22
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

3 Saves 5
18 Tackles 12
5 Interceptions 7
55 Duels Won 47

Build-up

37 Total Crosses 12
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI ▼

22
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel Goalkeeper
6.36
2
Tinga
Tinga Defender
6.39
17
Brian Ocampo
Brian Ocampo
Attacker77'
23
Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser Defender
6.1
26
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo Defender
6.19
6
Felipe Jonatan
Felipe Jonatan
Defender65'
55
Jacy
Jacy Defender
7.08
7
Joaquín Lavega
Joaquín Lavega Midfielder
6.55
11
Lucas Ronier
Lucas Ronier
Attacker59'
10
Josué
Josué Midfielder
7.52
19
Sebastián Gómez
Sebastián Gómez (C) Midfielder
6.45
36
Vini Paulista
Vini Paulista
Attacker46'
6.79
21
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos Midfielder
6.53
44
JP Chermont
JP Chermont
Defender77'
77
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes Midfielder
6.49
78
Renato Marques
Renato Marques Attacker
6.45
—
Renato Marques 
65'
Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI ▼

1
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper
7.45
2
Alexander Barboza
Alexander Barboza Defender
6.06
15
Gustavo Gómez
Gustavo Gómez (C) Defender
6.97
26
Murilo
Murilo Defender
7.1
8
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira Midfielder
7.25
30
Lucas Evangelista
Lucas Evangelista
Midfielder90+1'
12
Khellven
Khellven Midfielder
6.77
17
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas Midfielder
7.14
22
Joaquín Piquerez
Joaquín Piquerez Midfielder
6.5
11
Jhon Arias
Jhon Arias Attacker
7.17
37
Riquelme Fillipi
Riquelme Fillipi
Attacker80'
18
Mauricio
Mauricio Attacker
2
8.82
32
Emiliano Martínez
Emiliano Martínez
Midfielder79'
19
Ramón Sosa
Ramón Sosa Attacker
7.5
39
Heittor Vinicius da Silva Nunes
Heittor Vinicius da Silva Nunes
Attacker90+1'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Lucas Evangelista → Andreas Pereira
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Heittor Vinicius da Silva Nunes → Ramón Sosa
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Riquelme Fillipi → Jhon Arias
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Emiliano Martínez → Mauricio
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Khellven
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
JP Chermont → Thiago Santos
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Brian Ocampo → Tinga
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Paulo Roberto
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
68'
67'
Event
Ramón Sosa
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Felipe Jonatan → Bruno Melo
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Paulo Roberto → Renato Marques 
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Lucas Ronier → Joaquín Lavega
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Vini Paulista → Sebastián Gómez 
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Thiago Santos
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45'
38'
Event
Alexander Barboza
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
19'
Event
Mauricio
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
15'
Event
Ramón Sosa
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
9'
Event
Mauricio
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Update Update
Heittor is on, and Ramon Sosa Acosta is off.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Lucas Evangelista comes on for Andreas Hugo Hoelgebaum Pereira.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ronier takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Attempt Attempt
Brian Ocampo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
81
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Jonatan attempts a header but misses the shot.
80
Update Update
Riquelme is on, and Jhon Arias is off.
80
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ronier takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
79
Update Update
Emiliano Martinez comes on for Mauricio Magalhaes Prado.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira receives a yellow card.
77
Update Update
Joao Pedro Chermont comes on for Thiago dos Santos.
77
Update Update
On Brian Ocampo, off Guilherme de Jesus da Silva, Tinga.
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira with his left foot is saved.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Paulo Roberto with his right foot finds the back of the net.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ramon Sosa Acosta takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ramon Sosa Acosta scores to make it 0-3, assisted by Joaquin Piquerez Moreira.
65
Update Update
Paulo Roberto is on, and Renato Marques is off.
65
Update Update
Felipe Jonatan comes on for Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos.
65
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme de Jesus da Silva takes a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked by Tinga.
63
Attempt Attempt
Marlon Rodrigues de Freitas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Lucas Ronier comes on for Joaquin Lavega Colzada.
58
Attempt Attempt
Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Update Update
Lucas Ronier comes on for Joaquin Lavega Colzada.
56
Attempt Attempt
Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Magalhaes Prado takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Magalhaes Prado takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Attempt Attempt
Breno Henrique Vasconcelos Lopes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Vinicius Romualdo dos Santos is on, and Sebastian Gomez is off.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-2.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ramon Sosa Acosta takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thiago dos Santos receives a yellow card.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Attempt Attempt
Renato Marques attempts a header but misses the shot.
40
Attempt Attempt
Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira with his left foot, but it's saved.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Alexander Nahuel Barboza Ullua.
37
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Piquerez Moreira takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jacy Maranhao Oliveira Head Shot Missed
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Arias takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mauricio Magalhaes Prado scores with a right-footed shot.
19
Attempt Attempt
Ramon Sosa Acosta takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mauricio Magalhaes Prado scores, making it 0-2.
15
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Lavega Colzada takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ramon Sosa Acosta.
15
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Lavega Colzada takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Mauricio Magalhaes Prado takes a left-footed shot.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mauricio Magalhaes Prado scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Ramon Sosa Acosta.
5
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Hugo Hoelgebaum Pereira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Anderson Daronco.

CONCLUSION

Palmeiras secured the 1-3 victory through superior finishing despite lower xG totals. Coritiba generated more expected goals yet converted fewer chances into the scoreline. The 0-2 halftime lead set the tone and limited second half responses. Even possession distribution and zero red cards allowed uninterrupted play. Alignment with projections reflected accurate pre-game assessments of team strengths. The result illustrated how conversion efficiency can override xG volume in final outcomes. Palmeiras capitalized on early opportunities to claim the points in a controlled manner.