Coritiba vs Cruzeiro preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Serie A
CoritibaCFC
0 1
CruzeiroCRZ
Full Time
Round 21 Regular Season
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Coritiba hosted Cruzeiro in a contest that ended 0-1 in favor of the away team after a goalless first half. The home side generated 1.02 expected goals while the visitors posted 1.87 creating a differential of negative 0.85. Possession was evenly split at 50 percent for each side. No red cards occurred during the match. As the stronger team Cruzeiro claimed the victory which aligned with the xG figures. The result demonstrated a significant deviation level of 100 percent attributed to the away side. Efficiency remained in line with projections and the outcome stayed consistent with expectations without any second half adjustments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Cruzeiro showed a significant deviation of 100 percent from expected structural patterns.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the overall team performances.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment confirmed the away team's superiority with 1.87 compared to 1.02.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the outcome matched pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations aligned with the final 0-1 score favoring the away side.
  • Event impact: Event impact stayed neutral given the even halftime at 0-0 and no cards.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role with zero red cards for both teams.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
W. do Nascimento Magalhaes
W. do Nascimento Magalhaes
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Cirilo Ferreira
B. Cirilo Ferreira
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Carvalho
L. Carvalho
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Tarcisio Nascimento Matos
Tarcisio Nascimento Matos
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Coritiba F. Seabra
F. Seabra
VS
Cruzeiro Artur Jorge
Artur Jorge
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.42
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bragantino Rank: 65 D
Palmeiras Rank: 76 L
Flamengo Rank: 78 L
Bahia Rank: 66 W
Santos Rank: 67 W
Internacional Rank: 66 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo Rank: 68 L
Internacional Rank: 63 W
Fluminense Rank: 71 D
Chapecoense Rank: 56 W
Palmeiras Rank: 79 D
Bahia Rank: 66 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.03
71.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Power Score
55.03
71.07
League Position
11
7
Global Rank
577
297

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Coritiba — Opponent-weighted form score
Cruzeiro — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Coritiba Cruzeiro

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Coritiba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cruzeiro

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Coritiba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cruzeiro
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.90
44.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
44.20
41.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Coritiba -0.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Cruzeiro +0.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Coritiba
vs
Cruzeiro
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Coritiba Cruzeiro
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
18%
6%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18 vs -0.11
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Coritiba Cruzeiro
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
6%
18%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.11 vs -0.18
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Coritiba
vs
Cruzeiro
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Coritiba Cruzeiro
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Coritiba 0.49
Cruzeiro 0.48
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Coritiba Cruzeiro
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Coritiba 0.02
Cruzeiro 0.00
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFC had peak pressure around 33'.
  • CRZ started the game with stronger pressure.
CFC Pressure CRZ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CFC reached the top pressure at 33' (87.09).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Coritiba CFC Home
1 matches
Cruzeiro CRZ Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-01T00:00:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 21 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Capacity
40502
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
Brígida Cirilo Ferreira
Leone Carvalho
Tarcisio Nascimento Matos

Statistics

Possession
CFC
48%
CRZ
52%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 3
9 Shots 8
39 Dangerous attacks 42
50 Possession 50
4 Corners 2
18 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

92 Ball Safe 82
9 Goal Kicks 10
9 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 18
16 Successful Headers 12
0 Assists 1
0 Injuries 1
13 Dribble Attempts 8
5 Successful Dribbles 7
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 88

Attacking

86 Attacks 101
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

54 Long Passes 67
411 Passes 418
338 Successful Passes 346
82 Successful Passes Percentage 83
10 Key Passes 13
23 Successful Long Passes 39
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58

Defensive

3 Saves 2
7 Tackles 14
6 Interceptions 6
47 Duels Won 46

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 25
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes

Starting XI ▼

1
Pedro Morisco
Pedro Morisco Goalkeeper
6.75
2
Tinga
Tinga Defender
8.09
23
Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser Defender
7.03
26
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo Defender
6.88
6
Felipe Jonatan
Felipe Jonatan
Defender65'
6.4
55
Jacy
Jacy Defender
7.01
10
Josué
Josué Midfielder
6.94
11
Lucas Ronier
Lucas Ronier Midfielder
7.47
19
Sebastián Gómez
Sebastián Gómez (C) Midfielder
6.6
17
Brian Ocampo
Brian Ocampo
Attacker79'
6.63
21
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos Midfielder
6.59
50
Tissi
Tissi
Midfielder54'
6.55
77
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes Midfielder
6.5
20
Keno
Keno
Attacker79'
6.57
32
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha Attacker
6.17
99
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Attacker65'
6.45
Referee : Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes

Starting XI ▼

81
Otávio Costa
Otávio Costa Goalkeeper
6.93
12
William
William Defender
7.94
15
Fabrício Bruno
Fabrício Bruno Defender
7.21
27
Gabriel Rojas
Gabriel Rojas Defender
7.15
25
Lucas Villalba
Lucas Villalba
Defender86'
34
Jonathan Jesus
Jonathan Jesus Defender
7.18
8
Gerson
Gerson Midfielder
7.9
7
Matheus Henrique
Matheus Henrique
Midfielder69'
6.78
10
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira Midfielder
8.22
29
Lucas Romero
Lucas Romero (C) Midfielder
7.18
38
Felipe Morais
Felipe Morais Midfielder
6.31
70
Kaique Kenji
Kaique Kenji
Attacker60'
6.47
99
Keny Arroyo
Keny Arroyo Midfielder
6.81
11
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
Attacker70'
6.52
19
Kaio Jorge
Kaio Jorge Attacker
6.86
9
Bruno Rodrigues
Bruno Rodrigues
Attacker85'
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Matheus Henrique
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
86'
Event
Lucas Villalba → Gabriel Rojas
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Bruno Rodrigues → Kaio Jorge 
9th Substitution
Event
Keno → Breno Lopes
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Brian Ocampo → Sebastián Gómez 
8th Substitution
79'
70'
Event
Marquinhos  → Keny Arroyo
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Matheus Henrique → Gerson
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Matheus Pereira
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Felipe Jonatan → Bruno Melo
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Rodrigo Rodrigues  → Pedro Rocha
4th Substitution
65'
60'
Event
Kaique Kenji → Felipe Morais
2nd Substitution
Event
Tissi → Thiago Santos
1st Substitution
54'
1ST-HALF
Event
Thiago Santos
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
37'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ronier takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ronier takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Matheus Henrique.
88
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Pereira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Lucas Villalba replaces Gabriel Rojas.
85
Attempt Attempt
Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
81
Update Update
Bruno Rafael Rodrigues do Nascimento is on, and Kaio Jorge Pinto Ramos is off.
81
Attempt Attempt
Jacy Maranhao Oliveira takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ronier takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Vitor Goncalves Tissi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Update Update
Marcos da Silva Franca Keno comes on for Breno Henrique Vasconcelos Lopes.
79
Update Update
Marcos da Silva Franca Keno comes on for Breno Henrique Vasconcelos Lopes.
76
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Gomez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Rojas takes a left-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Marcus Vinicius Oliveira Alencar is on, and Keny Arroyo is off.
70
Substitution Substitution
Marcus Vinicius Oliveira Alencar is substituted on for Keny Arroyo.
68
Attempt Attempt
Keny Arroyo takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Matheus Pereira scores with a left-footed shot.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Matheus Pereira scores, making it 1-0.
65
Update Update
Rodrigo Rodrigues comes on for Pedro Rocha Neves.
65
Update Update
Felipe Jonatan comes on for Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos.
60
Update Update
On comes Kaique Kenji Takamura Correa, and Felipe Morais goes off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Gerson Santos da Silva takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Morais takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Morais takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Jesus takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
54
Update Update
On comes Vitor Goncalves Tissi, and Thiago dos Santos goes off.
52
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Rocha Neves takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
49
Attempt Attempt
Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Keny Arroyo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
William de Asevedo Furtado takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Breno Henrique Vasconcelos Lopes takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Breno Henrique Vasconcelos Lopes takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Morais takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
William de Asevedo Furtado takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Thiago dos Santos.
31
Attempt Attempt
Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira with his right foot is saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ronier takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Thiago dos Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Daniel Romero takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Keny Arroyo takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Pereira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jacy Maranhao Oliveira attempts a header but misses the shot.
15
Attempt Attempt
Keny Arroyo's right-footed shot is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Pereira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Pereira takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
6
Update Update
Offside.
5
Attempt Attempt
Keny Arroyo's right-footed shot is blocked.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Coritiba 0-1 Cruzeiro. Structural assessment: Cruzeiro exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.