Coritiba vs Corinthians preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Serie A
CoritibaCFC
2 1
CorinthiansCTH
Full Time
Round 24 Regular Season
Pedro Rocha - 40'
Goal
|
Goal
Raniele - 90+3'

CONTEXT

Coritiba defeated Corinthians 2-1 in a match that saw the home side lead 1-0 at halftime. Corinthians controlled possession with 64 percent and created more expected goals at 0.65 against Coritiba's 0.38. The stronger team on paper failed to convert its statistical advantages into a positive result. Coritiba's victory represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations given the xG differential of negative 0.27. No red cards were issued to either side during the contest. The outcome proved inconsistent with underlying performance metrics yet remained aligned with other indicators. Efficiency measures stayed in line with the final scoreline.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Coritiba 2-1 Corinthians. Coritiba showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the match outcome.
  • xG alignment: The final result was not aligned with the expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Corinthians generated higher expected goals at 0.65 compared to Coritiba's 0.38.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow of the game significantly.
  • Red card distortion: The absence of red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary actions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Daronco
A. Daronco
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
T. Kappes Diel
T. Kappes Diel
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Luciane Rodrigues dos Santos
Luciane Rodrigues dos Santos
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
H. Cardoso
H. Cardoso
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Coritiba F. Seabra
F. Seabra
VS
Corinthians F. Diniz Silva
F. Diniz Silva
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
São Paulo Rank: 62 D
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Cruzeiro Rank: 70 L
Bragantino Rank: 63 D
Palmeiras Rank: 75 L
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Bragantino Rank: 65 W
Athletico PR Rank: 65 D
Bahia Rank: 63 D
Remo Rank: 57 W
Grêmio Rank: 61 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.79
67.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Coritiba
Corinthians
Power Score
52.79
67.17
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
567
319

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Coritiba — Opponent-weighted form score
Corinthians — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Coritiba Corinthians

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Coritiba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Corinthians

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Coritiba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Corinthians
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.76
26.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.11
36.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Coritiba +0.88 Efficiency Index
vs
Corinthians -0.88 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Coritiba
Corinthians
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Coritiba
vs
Corinthians
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Coritiba Corinthians
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
48%
24%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18 vs -0.16
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Coritiba Corinthians
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
24%
48%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.16 vs -0.18
Coritiba
Corinthians
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Coritiba
vs
Corinthians
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Coritiba Corinthians
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Coritiba 0.38
Corinthians 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Coritiba Corinthians
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Coritiba 0.00
Corinthians 0.06
Coritiba
Corinthians
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFC had peak pressure around 41'.
  • CTH started the game with stronger pressure.
CFC Pressure CTH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CFC reached the top pressure at 41' (93.96).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Coritiba CFC Home
1 matches
Corinthians CTH Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:21:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Capacity
40502
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anderson Daronco
Tiago Augusto Kappes Diel
Luciane Rodrigues dos Santos
Hieger Túlio Cardoso

Statistics

Possession
CFC
39%
CTH
61%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
7 Shots 6
32 Dangerous attacks 69
36 Possession 64
4 Corners 10
9 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

11 Goal Kicks 9
2 Substitutions 2
17 Throwins 30
10 Successful Headers 4
1 Assists 0
19 Dribble Attempts 24
9 Successful Dribbles 12
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

65 Attacks 85

Possession

54 Long Passes 44
314 Passes 549
250 Successful Passes 493
80 Successful Passes Percentage 90
6 Key Passes 7
25 Successful Long Passes 33
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 75

Defensive

2 Saves 1
20 Tackles 13
7 Interceptions 5
52 Duels Won 43

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 47
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

5 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI ▼

1
Pedro Morisco
Pedro Morisco Goalkeeper
7.11
23
Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser Defender
7.14
26
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo Defender
7.14
44
JP Chermont
JP Chermont Defender
7.63
86
Lucas Taverna
Lucas Taverna
Defender84'
55
Jacy
Jacy (C) Defender
7.87
7
Joaquín Lavega
Joaquín Lavega Midfielder
7.16
28
Fabinho
Fabinho
Attacker72'
6.51
10
Josué
Josué Midfielder
6.95
88
Fernando Sobral
Fernando Sobral
Midfielder84'
19
Sebastián Gómez
Sebastián Gómez Midfielder
7.52
21
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos Midfielder
6.7
50
Tissi
Tissi
Midfielder62'
6.35
77
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes Midfielder
6.57
32
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha Attacker
7.27
18
Paulo Roberto
Paulo Roberto
Midfielder62'
7.22
Referee : Anderson Daronco

Starting XI ▼

51
Kauê
Kauê Goalkeeper
6.29
3
Gabriel Paulista
Gabriel Paulista Defender
6.11
13
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique (C) Defender
6.76
20
Pedro Milans
Pedro Milans Defender
6.71
23
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
Midfielder46'
6.92
26
Fabrizio Angileri
Fabrizio Angileri Defender
6.16
7
Breno Bidon
Breno Bidon Midfielder
6.57
56
Gui Negão
Gui Negão
Attacker71'
6.67
14
Raniele
Raniele Midfielder
6.5
19
André Carrillo
André Carrillo Midfielder
6.78
61
Dieguinho
Dieguinho
Midfielder72'
6.34
29
Allan
Allan Midfielder
6.82
37
Kaio César
Kaio César Midfielder
7
77
Jesse Lingard
Jesse Lingard
Midfielder82'
18
Pedro Raul
Pedro Raul Attacker
6.47
10
Memphis Depay
Memphis Depay
Attacker46'
6.85

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Fernando Seabra
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+3'
Event
Raniele
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Fernando Sobral → Josué
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Lucas Taverna → JP Chermont
10th Substitution
84'
82'
Event
Jesse Lingard → Kaio César
8th Substitution
Event
Paulo Roberto
Header / 2nd Goal
75'
Event
Fabinho → Joaquín Lavega
7th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Dieguinho → André Carrillo
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Gui Negão → Breno Bidon
5th Substitution
Event
Tissi
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
67'
67'
Event
Matheus Pereira
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Paulo Roberto → Pedro Rocha
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Tissi → Thiago Santos
4th Substitution
62'
46'
Event
Memphis Depay → Pedro Raul
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Matheus Pereira → Pedro Milans
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Thiago Santos
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
42'
42'
Event
Breno Bidon
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Pedro Rocha
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
40'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jesse Lingard takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Raniele Almeida Melo Head Shot Goal
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Raniele Almeida Melo scores, making it 2-1.
87
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Armando de Abreu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Attempt Attempt
Raniele Almeida Melo takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Lucas Taverna comes on for Joao Pedro Chermont.
84
Substitution Substitution
Fernando Sobral is substituted off for Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira.
82
Update Update
Jesse Lingard comes on for Kaio.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Attempt Attempt
Memphis Depay takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
80
Attempt Attempt
Memphis Depay takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Paulo Roberto Head Shot Goal
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paulo Roberto scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Joao Pedro Chermont.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Guilherme Inacio comes on for Breno Bidon.
68
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Lavega Colzada takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Matheus Pereira da Silva.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vitor Goncalves Tissi.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
Offside.
62
Update Update
On Vitor Goncalves Tissi, off Thiago dos Santos.
62
Update Update
Paulo Roberto comes on for Pedro Rocha Neves.
61
Attempt Attempt
Joao Pedro Chermont takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Lavega Colzada takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Update Update
Offside.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Fabricio Angileri takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Allan Rodrigues de Souza takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Update Update
Offside.
49
Attempt Attempt
Breno Bidon's left-footed shot is blocked.
49
Update Update
Andre Carrillo's header is blocked.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Memphis Depay comes on for Pedro Raul Garay da Silva.
46
Substitution Substitution
Matheus Pereira da Silva is substituted off for Pedro Milans Carambula.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Lavega Colzada attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Fabricio Angileri takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Henrique Vernes takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Milans Carambula takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Breno Bidon.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Tiago Coser.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Pedro Rocha Neves with his right foot results in a goal.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Pedro Rocha Neves scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Joao Pedro Chermont.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Attempt Attempt
Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Breno Henrique Vasconcelos Lopes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Attempt Attempt
Thiago dos Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
Update Update
Offside.
29
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Rocha Neves takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Raniele Almeida Melo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Kaio takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Josue Filipe Soares Pesqueira with his left foot is saved.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Attempt Attempt
Kaio takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
5
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Anderson Daronco.

CONCLUSION

Coritiba claimed a 2-1 win over Corinthians despite trailing in possession and expected goals. The home side capitalized on limited opportunities to secure the points. Corinthians dominated the ball but could not find a way through to victory. The result highlighted how clinical finishing can override statistical trends in a single fixture. Both teams avoided any dismissals that might have changed the dynamics. Coritiba's performance delivered an upset relative to pre-match assessments of team strength. This outcome underscores the variability possible even when one side holds clear advantages in key metrics throughout the ninety minutes.