Coritiba vs Chapecoense preview
2026 Serie A, Brazil
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Coritiba secured a 2-1 victory over Chapecoense in a match where the home side led 1-0 at halftime. Despite recording just 36 percent possession against the visitors 64 percent, Coritiba claimed the three points as the designated stronger team. The final scoreline reflected a narrow win with both sides contributing to an open contest after the interval. No red cards were issued during the ninety minutes, allowing uninterrupted play from both teams. The outcome featured a significant deviation level of 100 percent attributed to Coritiba. This result aligned with the pre-match market assessment while efficiency remained in line with overall expectations. The match concluded with Coritiba as winners on the day.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Coritiba recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for the stronger team.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable expected goals data.
-
Market alignment: The result was aligned with the pre-match market indicators.
-
xG expectations: No specific xG expectations were provided in the match data.
-
Event impact: Coritiba overcame lower possession to win 2-1 with no second half adjustments listed.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion from disciplinary events.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
53.13
48.65
Coritiba
Chapecoense
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Coritiba
Chapecoense
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Coritiba
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Coritiba
⚠ Proxy
Coritiba
Chapecoense
Coritiba
Chapecoense
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Coritiba
Coritiba
Chapecoense
Coritiba
Chapecoense
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CFC had peak pressure around 44'.
- CFC started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:38:06+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
Coritiba
vs
São Paulo
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 16 Aug - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Chapecoense
vs
Bahia
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 16 Aug - 2:00 PM
Venue: Arena Condá
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼







Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼




Substitutes ▼





































Match Commentary