Corinthians vs Cruzeiro preview
2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena Corinthians
Today - 10:30 PM
Round 23 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 16
Events
2ND-HALF
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
58'
58'
3rd Substitution
58'
4th Substitution
58'
5th Substitution
2nd Substitution
54'
51'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
36'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Statistics
Possession
CTH
59%
CRZ
41%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
1
1
Big Chances Created
1
3
Shots
1
30
Dangerous attacks
12
60
Possession
40
2
Corners
3
10
Free kicks
8
0
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
3
Goal Kicks
4
2
Substitutions
3
14
Throwins
19
1
Hit Woodwork
0
6
Successful Headers
5
9
Dribble Attempts
7
7
Successful Dribbles
3
78
Successful Dribbles Percentage
43
Attacking
87
Attacks
41
1
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
22
Long Passes
35
327
Passes
224
289
Successful Passes
181
88
Successful Passes Percentage
81
12
Key Passes
3
12
Successful Long Passes
13
55
Successful Long Passes Percentage
37
Defensive
4
Saves
4
10
Tackles
8
4
Interceptions
9
33
Duels Won
24
Build-up
17
Total Crosses
6
6
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
0
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
10
Lineup
Referee :
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Manager ▼
F. Diniz Silva
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
55
Iago da Silva Machado
Defender
80
Alex Santana
Midfielder
6.71
Referee :
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Manager ▼
Artur Jorge
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
51
Vitor Lamounier Rego
Goalkeeper
CONTEXT
In the second half at minute 45 the contest between Corinthians and Cruzeiro continues with the visitors holding qualitative leadership as the pre-match stronger side. Corinthians have secured the majority of possession and created the higher expected goals total yet Cruzeiro maintains the edge through more incisive moments. No red cards have been issued leaving both teams at full strength. The live state stays in line with pre-match signals showing neutral alignment to earlier projections. Efficiency remains below the expected level for the leaders while the hosts press forward without major disruption to the established pattern. This phase highlights a possession advantage for the home side offset by Cruzeiro's ability to stay ahead on the qualitative metrics.
TL;DR
-
Live state: The match is in the second half at minute 45 with Cruzeiro holding qualitative leadership consistent with pre-match favoritism.
-
Structural vs live: Live developments remain in line with the structural expectation of Cruzeiro as the stronger side.
-
Projection vs live: Projection and live state show neutral alignment without notable deviation from pre-match signals.
-
xG trend: Home side leads in xG accumulation over the visitors reflecting stronger chance creation quality.
-
Possession profile: Corinthians hold the majority of possession while Cruzeiro operates with a lower share.
-
Event impact: No red cards have occurred keeping both teams at full strength with limited event disruption.
-
Second-half outlook: The second half outlook points to continued efficiency challenges for the leaders despite their position.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. de Oliveira Lacerda
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.32
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
T. Americano Labes
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
D. Pagung
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
B. Mota Correia
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
F. Diniz Silva
VS
Artur Jorge
1.45
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.68
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bragantino
Rank: 65
W
Athletico PR
Rank: 66
D
Bahia
Rank: 63
D
Remo
Rank: 58
W
Grêmio
Rank: 63
W
Atlético Mineiro
Rank: 65
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirassol
Rank: 66
W
Coritiba
Rank: 63
W
Botafogo
Rank: 68
L
Internacional
Rank: 63
W
Fluminense
Rank: 68
D
Chapecoense
Rank: 52
W
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 2
2
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.61
69.24
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Power Score
67.61
69.24
League Position
9
6
Global Rank
329
286
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Corinthians
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Cruzeiro
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Corinthians Cruzeiro
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Corinthians
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Cruzeiro
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Corinthians
vs
Cruzeiro
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
2%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.01
vs
-0.23
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
31%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.23
vs
-0.01
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Corinthians
vs
Cruzeiro
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Corinthians
0.00
Cruzeiro
0.00
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Corinthians
0.00
Cruzeiro
0.00
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CTH had peak pressure around 24'.
- CRZ started the game with stronger pressure.
CTH Pressure
CRZ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
CTH reached the top pressure at 24' (63.67).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Corinthians
CTH
Home
5
matches
Cruzeiro
CRZ
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
4
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-08-16T22:00:21+00:00
PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 10:30 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Corinthians
Capacity
49205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Thiago Americano Labes
Douglas Pagung
Bruno Mota Correia
Next Match
Corinthians
vs
Coritiba
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 23 Aug - 10:30 PM
Venue: Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Cruzeiro
vs
Flamengo
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 22 Aug - 11:30 PM
Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
CONCLUSION
Cruzeiro continues to dictate the qualitative tempo in the second half at minute 45 even as Corinthians enjoy greater possession and a modest xG edge. The absence of cards preserves full squads and the overall flow stays aligned with pre-match expectations of the visitors' strength. Efficiency below anticipated levels has not yet altered the leaders' standing but the hosts maintain pressure through sustained control of the ball. This setup leaves room for the home side to capitalize on their territorial advantage while Cruzeiro looks to convert their qualitative edge into further separation. The neutral projection alignment suggests the current pattern could persist without sudden shifts.
Match Commentary