Connah's Quay vs KF Ballkani preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Llanelian Road Wed, 8 Jul - 5:30 PM
Europa Conference League
Connah's Quay Connah's Quay
0 – 0
KF Ballkani KF Ballkani
Full Time Wed, 8 Jul 5:30 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Connah's Quay welcomed KF Ballkani for the first leg of their two-legged knockout tie and the sides played out a goalless draw. The visitors controlled the majority of the ball with 69 percent possession yet failed to convert territorial dominance into clear scoring opportunities. Connah's Quay defended compactly and restricted their opponents to limited high-quality chances throughout the ninety minutes. Both teams reached the interval level at 0-0 and the pattern continued after the restart with neither side able to break the deadlock. No red cards were shown and expected goals figures were unavailable for deeper analysis. The outcome leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant 78.7 percent deviation identified KF Ballkani as the side expected to dominate proceedings.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be evaluated.
  • Market alignment: The 0-0 draw was not aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were recorded during the match.
  • Event impact: The goalless first-leg result keeps the aggregate tie level for the second leg.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so disciplinary events created no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Jónsson
J. Jónsson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Bender
R. Bender
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Ólafs
K. Ólafs
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
?. Þórðarson
?. Þórðarson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Connah's Quay J. Disney
J. Disney
VS
KF Ballkani M. Karoglan
M. Karoglan
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Connah's Quay
17.9%
Draw
21.26%
Away KF Ballkani
60.84%

Movement

Changes since opening
Connah's Quay
+13.05%
Draw
-69.04%
KF Ballkani
+55.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.26
53.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Connah's Quay
KF Ballkani
Power Score
51.26
53.84
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
782
711

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Connah's Quay — Opponent-weighted form score
KF Ballkani — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Connah's Quay KF Ballkani

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Connah's Quay

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KF Ballkani

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Connah's Quay ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KF Ballkani
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.55
10.51
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.51
33.55
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Connah's Quay — Efficiency Index
vs
KF Ballkani — Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Connah's Quay
KF Ballkani
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Connah's Quay ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KF Ballkani
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Connah's Quay KF Ballkani
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Connah's Quay KF Ballkani
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Connah's Quay
KF Ballkani
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Connah's Quay
vs
KF Ballkani
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Connah's Quay KF Ballkani
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Connah's Quay 0.10
KF Ballkani 0.04
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Connah's Quay KF Ballkani
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Connah's Quay 0.00
KF Ballkani 0.00
Connah's Quay
KF Ballkani
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Connah's Quay had peak pressure around 54'.
  • Connah's Quay started the game with stronger pressure.
Connah's Quay Pressure KF Ballkani Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Connah's Quay reached the top pressure at 54' (64.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Connah's Quay Connah's Quay Home
0 matches
KF Ballkani KF Ballkani Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:53:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
C. Renshaw
England
1 C. Renshaw
J. Ferguson
England
22 J. Ferguson
D. Cowan
England
6 D. Cowan
J. Jones
Wales
4 (C) J. Jones
S. Flynn
Republic of Ireland
3 S. Flynn
I. Murray
Wales
10 I. Murray
A. Sharif
England
23 A. Sharif
M. Woodcock
Substitution
Scotland
18 M. Woodcock
C. West
Substitution
England
8 C. West
M. Stone
Substitution
England
11 M. Stone
H. Franklin
Substitution
England
12 H. Franklin
A. Golubović
Slovenia
25 A. Golubović
D. Abou
Ivory Coast
12 D. Abou
G. Halili
Substitution
Kosovo
4 G. Halili
I. Batarelo
Croatia
28 I. Batarelo
D. Vokrri
Kosovo
6 D. Vokrri
T. Domgjoni
Substitution
Kosovo
8 T. Domgjoni
A. Šabanadžović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
5 A. Šabanadžović
E. Kuč
Substitution
Montenegro
20 (C) E. Kuč
A. Diene
Substitution
Senegal
29 A. Diene
V. Yacabo Serebe
9 V. Yacabo Serebe
30
30

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 08, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Llanelian Road
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jóhann Ingi Jónsson
Ragnar Þór Bender
Kristján Már Ólafs
Þórður Þorsteinn Þórðarson

Statistics

Possession
Connah's Quay
41%
KF Ballkani
59%

Top Statistics

3 Shots 3
68 Dangerous attacks 85
31 Possession 69
3 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

61 Ball Safe 97
5 Goal Attempts 3
4 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 23
1 Injuries 2

Attacking

80 Attacks 132

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Jóhann Ingi Jónsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Chris Renshaw
Chris Renshaw Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Shane Flynn
Shane Flynn Defender
6.5
4
James Jones
James Jones (C) Defender
6.5
6
Dan Cowan
Dan Cowan Defender
6.5
22
Joseph Ferugson
Joseph Ferugson Defender
6.5
8
Callum West
Callum West Midfielder
6.5
16
Frankie Deane
Frankie Deane
Midfielder73'
10
Iwan Murray
Iwan Murray Midfielder
6.5
11
Michael Stone
Michael Stone Midfielder
6.5
99
Hussein Mehasseb
Hussein Mehasseb
Attacker89'
23
Abdi Sharif
Abdi Sharif Midfielder
6.5
12
Harry Franklin
Harry Franklin Attacker
6.5
—
Harry Franklin
89'
18
Max Woodcock
Max Woodcock Attacker
6.5
7
Darren Stephenson
Darren Stephenson
Attacker73'
Referee : Jóhann Ingi Jónsson

Starting XI ▼

25
Adnan Golubovic
Adnan Golubovic Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Gentrit Halili
Gentrit Halili Defender
6.5
32
Bajram Jashanica
Bajram Jashanica
Defender87'
6
Diar Vokrri
Diar Vokrri Defender
6.5
12
Abou Dosso
Abou Dosso Defender
6.5
28
Ivica Batarelo
Ivica Batarelo Defender
6.5
5
A. Šabanadžović
A. Šabanadžović Midfielder
6.5
8
Toni Domgjoni
Toni Domgjoni Midfielder
6.5
—
Toni Domgjoni
87'
20
Edvin Kuc
Edvin Kuc (C) Midfielder
6.5
21
Ardit Deliu
Ardit Deliu
Midfielder65'
6.45
29
Albert Diène
Albert Diène Midfielder
6.5
14
Marsel Ismajlgeci
Marsel Ismajlgeci
Midfielder71'
6.5
30
Almedin Klinaku Midfielder
9
Valentin Serebe
Valentin Serebe Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Ardit Deliu
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Hussein Mehasseb → Michael Stone
8th Substitution
89'
Event
→ Harry Franklin
9th Substitution
89'
87'
Event
Lorik Dobratiqi → Toni Domgjoni
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Bajram Jashanica → Gentrit Halili
7th Substitution
Event
Iwan Murray
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
James Jones
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Frankie Deane → Callum West
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Darren Stephenson → Max Woodcock
5th Substitution
73'
71'
Event
Marsel Ismajlgeci → Albert Diène
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Ardit Deliu → Edvin Kuc
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Giovanni → Almedin Klinaku
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Callum West
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
37'
18'
Event
Valentin Serebe
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Hussein Mehasseb comes on for Harry Franklin.
87
Update Update
Bajram Jashanica replaces Gentrit Halili.
87
Update Update
On Lorik Dobratiqi, off Toni Domgjoni.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Albert Diene comes on for Callum West.
73
Update Update
Darren Stephenson is on, and Max Woodcock is off.
71
Substitution Substitution
On Marsel Ismajlgeci, Albert Diene is substituted off.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Update Update
On Giovanni, off Almedin Klinaku.
65
Update Update
On Giovanni, off Almedin Klinaku.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ardit Deliu comes on for Edvin Kuc.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Callum West receives a yellow card.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Johann Ingi Jonsson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Connah's Quay 0-0 KF Ballkani. Structural assessment: KF Ballkani exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.