Congo DR vs Uzbekistan preview

2026 World Cup, World
Atlanta Stadium Tomorrow - 11:30 PM
World Cup
Congo DR COD
Uzbekistan UZB
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 11:30 PM
Round 3 Group Stage

CONTEXT

Congo DR welcome Uzbekistan to Atlanta Stadium for a World Cup group stage encounter in the 2026 season. Uzbekistan enter as the stronger side according to power metrics and hold a clear advantage on that front. Both sides sit near the top of their domestic tables with Congo DR placed third and Uzbekistan fourth. Recent form shows Congo DR with a positive score while Uzbekistan register zero in the same measure. Limited data exists on efficiency and set piece metrics for either team ahead of this fixture. The contest offers a platform for both nations to stake early claims in the group. Venue conditions in Atlanta may influence the tempo and physical demands placed on the players.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Congo DR sit third and Uzbekistan fourth in their respective domestic standings.
  • Form: Congo DR hold a form score of 11.17 while Uzbekistan register zero.
  • Squad: Uzbekistan are identified as the stronger team by overall power score.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics are available for either side in this fixture.
  • Transition: Power advantage stands at 6.3 points in favor of the visitors.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data remains unavailable with low confidence and proxy values applied.
  • xVariable: Power scores read 27.04 for Congo DR and 33.33 for Uzbekistan.
  • Market: Congo DR 54.7% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+-0%) | Uzbekistan 21.4% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Congo DR S. Desabre
S. Desabre
VS
Uzbekistan F. Cannavaro
F. Cannavaro
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Colombia Rank: L
Portugal Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Portugal Rank: L
Colombia Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Congo DR
54.74%
Draw
23.86%
Away Uzbekistan
21.4%

Movement

Changes since opening
Congo DR
-0.04%
Draw
-0.02%
Uzbekistan
+0.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.04
33.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Power Score
27.04
33.33
League Position
3
4
Global Rank
46
50

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Congo DR — Opponent-weighted form score
Uzbekistan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Congo DR Uzbekistan

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Congo DR COD Home
0 matches
Uzbekistan UZB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-26T00:02:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Mpasi-Nzau
1 L. Mpasi-Nzau
A. Wan-Bissaka
2 A. Wan-Bissaka
C. Mbemba Mangulu
22 C. Mbemba Mangulu
A. Tuanzebe
4 A. Tuanzebe
S. Kapuadi
3 S. Kapuadi
A. Masuaku
26 A. Masuaku
N. Mukau
6 N. Mukau
S. Moutoussamy
8 S. Moutoussamy
E. Kayembe
25 E. Kayembe
Y. Wissa
20 Y. Wissa
C. Bakambu
17 C. Bakambu
A. Nematov
12 A. Nematov
R. Ashurmatov
5 R. Ashurmatov
A. Kakhramonjon
18 A. Kakhramonjon
A. Khusanov
2 A. Khusanov
S. Nasrullayev
13 S. Nasrullayev
O. Shukurov
7 O. Shukurov
O. Khamrobekov
9 O. Khamrobekov
B. Karimov
24 B. Karimov
A. Ganiev
19 A. Ganiev
A. Fayzullayev
22 A. Fayzullayev
E. Shomurodov
14 E. Shomurodov

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 27, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium
Atlanta Stadium
Capacity
71000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Felix Zwayer
Robert Kempter
Christian Dietz
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Expected Lineup

Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI ▼

1
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau Goalkeeper
7.15
20
Yoane Wissa
Yoane Wissa Attacker
6.94
17
Cédric Bakambu
Cédric Bakambu Attacker
6.77
22
Chancel Mbemba
Chancel Mbemba Right Back
6.72
25
Edo Kayembe
Edo Kayembe Central Midfield
6.64
2
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
Aaron Wan-Bissaka Right Back
6.67
4
Axel Tuanzebe
Axel Tuanzebe Centre Back
6.54
3
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Left Back
6.6
6
Ngal'ayel Mukau
Ngal'ayel Mukau Central Midfield
6.55
26
Arthur Masuaku
Arthur Masuaku Left Back
6.92
8
Samuel Moutoussamy
Samuel Moutoussamy Central Midfield
6.51
Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI ▼

12
Abduvokhid Nematov
Abduvokhid Nematov Goalkeeper
4.59
24
Bekhruz Karimov
Bekhruz Karimov Midfielder
6.87
19
Aziz Ganiev
Aziz Ganiev Midfielder
6.84
22
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
Abbosbek Fayzullaev Midfielder
6.96
13
Sherzod Nasrullaev
Sherzod Nasrullaev Midfielder
6.26
14
Eldor Shomurodov
Eldor Shomurodov Centre Forward
6.73
9
Odildzhon Khamrobekov
Odildzhon Khamrobekov Central Midfield
5.82
7
Otabek Shukurov
Otabek Shukurov Central Midfield
6.64
18
Abdulla Abdullaev
Abdulla Abdullaev Centre Back
5.43
5
Rustam Ashurmatov
Rustam Ashurmatov Left Back
5.73
2
Abdukodir Khusanov
Abdukodir Khusanov Right Back
5.83

CONCLUSION

Congo DR will look to use home advantage and their current form standing to challenge a higher-rated Uzbekistan side. The visitors possess greater overall power and will aim to control proceedings from the outset. Both teams occupy strong domestic positions yet bring contrasting recent records into the match. Absence of detailed efficiency and set piece information leaves room for on-field adjustments. Atlanta Stadium provides a neutral stage for this group stage meeting where early points carry significant weight. Expect a measured contest shaped by the power differential and limited prior data on key areas.