Como vs Parma preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Serie A
Como COM
Parma PRM
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Como hosts Parma at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in a Serie A regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side, perched at 6th in the standings, wields a commanding power score of 84.08 against Parma's 72.46, translating to an 11.6-point advantage that underscores their structural dominance. Despite Parma's marginally superior form rating of 16.72 to Como's 15.61, the Larians' home turf and higher league position fuel optimism. Parma, mired in 13th, faces an uphill battle, relying on counter-attacks to exploit any lapses. Como's balanced profile across phases positions them to control possession and tempo effectively. With detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics unavailable due to limited xG data, the focus shifts to overall execution and adaptability. This encounter highlights Como's potential to extend their strong home record while Parma seeks vital points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Como possesses a clear structural edge with a power score of 84.08 versus Parma's 72.46, yielding an 11.6-point advantage.
  • Form: Parma holds a slight form advantage at 16.72 compared to Como's 15.61.
  • Squad: Como ranks 6th in the league while Parma sits 13th, reflecting squad performance disparities.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not available in current data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable as data add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Como 75.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.4% (Δ+0%) | Parma 7.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
VS
Parma C. Antón Cuesta
C. Antón Cuesta
1.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hellas Verona Rank: 64 W
Napoli Rank: 86 D
Genoa Rank: 74 W
Sassuolo Rank: 76 L
Inter Rank: 92 L
Udinese Rank: 77 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: 85 L
Inter Rank: 91 L
Pisa Rank: 64 W
Udinese Rank: 75 W
Napoli Rank: 85 D
Lazio Rank: 81 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Como
75.28%
Draw
17.37%
Away Parma
7.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
84.08
72.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Como
Parma
Power Score
84.08
72.46
League Position
6
13
Global Rank
40
154

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Parma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Como Parma

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Como COM Home
9 matches
Parma PRM Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
10
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:36+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Capacity
13602
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
22
Mauro Vigorito
Mauro Vigorito Goalkeeper
44
Nikola Čavlina
Nikola Čavlina Goalkeeper
21
Noel Törnqvist
Noel Törnqvist Goalkeeper
12
Henrique Menke Lopes
Henrique Menke Lopes Goalkeeper
18
Alberto Moreno Pérez
Alberto Moreno Pérez Defender
2
Marc-Oliver Kempf
Marc-Oliver Kempf Defender
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
Mërgim Vojvoda Defender
34
Diego Carlos Santos Silva
Diego Carlos Santos Silva Defender
5
Edoardo Goldaniga
Edoardo Goldaniga Defender
77
Ignace Van Der Brempt
Ignace Van Der Brempt Defender
28
Ivan Smolčić
Ivan Smolčić Defender
3
Álex Valle Gómez
Álex Valle Gómez Defender
14
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
Jacobo Ramón Naveros Defender
8
Sergi Roberto Carnicer
Sergi Roberto Carnicer Midfielder
6
Maxence Caqueret
Maxence Caqueret Midfielder
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha Midfielder
23
Maximo Perrone
Maximo Perrone Midfielder
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina Midfielder
10
Nicolás Paz Martínez
Nicolás Paz Martínez Midfielder
15
Adrian Adriano Lahdo
Adrian Adriano Lahdo Midfielder
7
Álvaro Borja Morata Martín
Álvaro Borja Morata Martín Attacker
19
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn Attacker
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Attacker
42
Jayden Addai
Jayden Addai Attacker
38
Assane Diao Diaoune
Assane Diao Diaoune Attacker
17
Jesús Rodríguez Caraballo
Jesús Rodríguez Caraballo Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper
40
Edoardo Corvi
Edoardo Corvi Goalkeeper
66
Filippo Rinaldi
Filippo Rinaldi Goalkeeper
14
Emanuele Valeri
Emanuele Valeri Defender
15
Enrico Del Prato
Enrico Del Prato Defender
5
Lautaro Rodrigo Valenti
Lautaro Rodrigo Valenti Defender
3
Niakhate Ndiaye
Niakhate Ndiaye Defender
39
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Defender
29
Franco Ezequiel Carboni
Franco Ezequiel Carboni Defender
37
Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo Defender
27
Sascha Britschgi
Sascha Britschgi Defender
8
Nahuel Estévez
Nahuel Estévez Midfielder
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Midfielder
10
Adrian Bernabe Garcia
Adrian Bernabe Garcia Midfielder
21
Gaetano Pio Oristanio
Gaetano Pio Oristanio Midfielder
22
Oliver Sørensen Jensen
Oliver Sørensen Jensen Midfielder
16
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita Midfielder
24
Christian Nahuel Ordoñez
Christian Nahuel Ordoñez Midfielder
25
Benjamin Cremaschi
Benjamin Cremaschi Midfielder
7
Gabriel Tadeu Strefezza Rebelato
Gabriel Tadeu Strefezza Rebelato Attacker
11
Pontus Almqvist
Pontus Almqvist Attacker
17
Jacob Ondrejka
Jacob Ondrejka Attacker
20
Matija Frigan
Matija Frigan Attacker
9
Mateo Pellegrino Casalanguila
Mateo Pellegrino Casalanguila Attacker
23
Nesta Elphege
Nesta Elphege Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Como holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Como a 11.6-point edge. External projection is Como 75.3%, draw 17.4%, and Parma 7.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.