Colorado Rapids vs Austin preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Dick's Sporting Goods Park Sun, 2 Aug - 1:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Full Time Sun, 2 Aug 1:30 AM
Regular Season
Rafael Navarro - 90+4' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Colorado Rapids defeated Austin 1-0 in a match that stayed level at 0-0 through halftime. The home side controlled 64 percent of possession and produced 3.18 expected goals while limiting the visitors to 0.9. Colorado Rapids entered as the stronger team and delivered the only goal after the break to secure the points. The result matched the xG differential of 2.28 and showed no red cards for either side. Austin struggled to create meaningful chances despite the narrow margin on the scoreboard. The performance reflected steady second-half adjustments that favored the home team throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Colorado Rapids recorded a significant structural deviation as the stronger side.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the dominant possession and chance creation.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome stayed consistent with the xG differential of 2.28.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with pre-match indicators for the home team.
  • xG expectations: Colorado Rapids posted 3.18 xG against Austin's 0.9 xG.
  • Event impact: The match stayed 0-0 at halftime before the single second-half goal decided it.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore produced no distortion to the game.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Villarreal
A. Villarreal
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Mariscal
F. Mariscal
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Smith
K. Smith
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Verso
M. Verso
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Colorado Rapids M. Wells
M. Wells
VS
Austin D. Arnaud
D. Arnaud
1.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Louis City Rank: 63 L
San Diego Rank: 66 W
Dallas Rank: 68 L
Real Salt Lake Rank: 66 L
Minnesota United Rank: 67 W
St. Louis City Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Houston Dynamo Rank: 63 L
Seattle Sounders Rank: 69 W
St. Louis City Rank: 66 L
Sporting KC Rank: 54 L
San Diego Rank: 68 L
Minnesota United Rank: 67 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.97
59.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Colorado Rapids
Austin
Power Score
63.97
59.65
League Position
11
14
Global Rank
492
621

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Colorado Rapids Opponent-weighted form score
Austin Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Colorado Rapids Austin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Colorado Rapids

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Austin

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Colorado Rapids ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.88
26.81
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.81
41.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Colorado Rapids +1.05 Efficiency Index
vs
Austin -1.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Colorado Rapids
Austin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Colorado Rapids
vs
Austin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Colorado Rapids Austin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
57%
34%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.80 vs -0.30
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Colorado Rapids Austin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
34%
57%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.30 vs -0.80
Colorado Rapids
Austin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Colorado Rapids
vs
Austin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Colorado Rapids Austin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Colorado Rapids Austin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Colorado Rapids
Austin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CLR had peak pressure around 33'.
  • CLR started the game with stronger pressure.
CLR Pressure ATX Pressure
Pressure Index: CLR reached the top pressure at 33' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Colorado Rapids CLR Home
4 matches
Austin ATX Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
5
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T00:00:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 01:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Capacity
19680
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Armando Villarreal
Felisha Mariscal
Kali Smith
Mark Verso

Statistics

Possession
CLR
60%
ATX
40%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 4
76 Dangerous attacks 13
64 Possession 36
11 Corners 0
11 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

87 Ball Safe 102
1 Penalties 0
5 Goal Kicks 14
15 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 21
19 Successful Headers 17
19 Dribble Attempts 12
11 Successful Dribbles 7
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

Attacking

136 Attacks 48
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

28 Long Passes 69
508 Passes 303
448 Successful Passes 225
88 Successful Passes Percentage 74
16 Key Passes 4
11 Successful Long Passes 29
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

3 Saves 7
12 Tackles 15
7 Interceptions 8
53 Duels Won 53

Build-up

38 Total Crosses 5
13 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Armando Villarreal

Starting XI

41
Nicolas Hansen
Nicolas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.11
4
Reggie Cannon
Reggie Cannon Defender
7.31
16
Alex Harris
Alex Harris
Attacker85'
6.71
5
Loïc Williams
Loïc Williams Defender
7.45
22
Lucas Herrington
Lucas Herrington Defender
6.63
29
Miguel Navarro
Miguel Navarro Defender
7.99
7
Dante Sealy
Dante Sealy Midfielder
6.29
77
Darren Yapi
Darren Yapi
Attacker62'
6.48
8
Hamzat Ojediran
Hamzat Ojediran Midfielder
6.42
12
Josh Atencio
Josh Atencio
Midfielder58'
6.77
10
Paxten Aaronson
Paxten Aaronson Midfielder
7.55
13
Wayne Frederick
Wayne Frederick Midfielder
7.11
32
Donavan Phillip
Donavan Phillip
Attacker62'
6.45
93
Georgi Minoungou
Georgi Minoungou Midfielder
6.97
2
Keegan Rosenberry
6.81
9
Rafael Navarro
7.48
Referee : Armando Villarreal

Starting XI

1
Brad Stuver
Brad Stuver (C) Goalkeeper
8.07
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
6.85
29
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro Defender
7.29
35
Mateja Djordjevic
6.47
14
Besard Sabovic
Besard Sabovic Midfielder
7.01
77
Przemyslaw Placheta
Przemyslaw Placheta
Midfielder74'
5.51
17
Jon Gallagher
Jon Gallagher Midfielder
6.76
7
Jayden Nelson
Jayden Nelson
Attacker74'
6.57
30
J. Rosales
J. Rosales Midfielder
6.77
33
Owen Wolff
Owen Wolff Midfielder
6.53
6
Ilie Sánchez
Ilie Sánchez
Midfielder64'
6.33
9
Brandon Vazquez
Brandon Vazquez Attacker
6.56
21
Christian Ramirez
6.51
10
Myrto Uzuni
Myrto Uzuni Attacker
7.37
11
Facundo Torres
Facundo Torres Attacker
6.68
38
Ervin Torres
Ervin Torres
Midfielder64'
6.08

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
4th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
90+4'
Event
5th Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
Event
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Alex Harris Reggie Cannon
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Keegan Rosenberry  Georgi Minoungou
10th Substitution
85'
80'
Event
Christian Ramirez Brandon Vazquez
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Jayden Nelson Jon Gallagher
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Przemyslaw Placheta Besard Sabovic
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Persistent fouling / 2nd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Persistent fouling / 1st Yellowcard
64'
Event
Ilie Sánchez Owen Wolff
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Ervin Torres Facundo Torres
5th Substitution
Event
Donavan Phillip Wayne Frederick
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Darren Yapi Dante Sealy
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Josh Atencio Hamzat Ojediran
1st Substitution
58'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Myrto Uzuni takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafael Navarro Leal receives a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Rafael Navarro Leal takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Rafael Navarro Leal scores, making it 1-0.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Attempt Attempt
Darren Yapi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Darren Yapi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Alex Harris takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Navarro Leal attempts a header but misses the shot.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alex Harris is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Paxten Aaronson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Angel Navarro Zarate takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Paxten Aaronson has a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Angel Navarro Zarate takes a right-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Yeramid Rosales Erazo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
81
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Navarro Leal takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
80
Update Update
Christian Ramirez comes on for Brandon Vazquez.
79
Attempt Attempt
Georgi Minoungou takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Update Update
Jayden Nelson comes on for Jon Gallagher.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Joseph Yeramid Rosales Erazo.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Darren Yapi Head Shot Missed
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Loic Williams Head Shot Missed
65
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Navarro Leal's header is saved.
64
Update Update
On Ilie Sanchez Farres comes on, Owen Wolff goes off.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Facundo Torres is coming off.
63
Attempt Attempt
Brandon Vazquez takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
63
Update Update
Darren Yapi comes on for Dante Sealy.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Donavan Phillip comes on for Wayne Frederick.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Update Update
Joshua Atencio is on, and Hamzat Ojediran is off.
52
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Torres takes a left-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Brandon Vazquez attempts a header but misses the shot.
47
Attempt Attempt
Wayne Frederick takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Attempt Attempt
Georgi Minoungou takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Wayne Frederick takes a shot but misses the target.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Dante Sealy takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Update Update
Offside.
30
Update Update
Offside.
30
Attempt Attempt
Paxten Aaronson takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Paxten Aaronson takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Besard Sabovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Myrto Uzuni takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Myrto Uzuni takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Brandon Vazquez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Update Update
Offside.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Update Update
Offside.
5
Attempt Attempt
Wayne Frederick takes a shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Georgi Minoungou takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Navarro Leal takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
3
Attempt Attempt
Hamzat Ojediran takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Armando Villarreal.

CONCLUSION

The 1-0 scoreline understated Colorado Rapids control as they generated more than three times the expected goals of Austin while maintaining a clear possession edge. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to keep full squads on the pitch and preserved the natural flow of play. Austin failed to register meaningful attacking output and finished with limited xG despite the low total goals. The home side converted their territorial advantage into the decisive moment after the interval. Overall the metrics supported the final result without notable variance from the expected pattern of dominance by the stronger team.