Colombia vs Portugal preview

2026 World Cup, World
Miami Stadium Tomorrow - 11:30 PM
World Cup
Colombia COL
Portugal POR
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 11:30 PM
Round 3 Group Stage

CONTEXT

Colombia and Portugal meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at Miami Stadium. Colombia enters as the stronger side with a power score of 23.33 against Portugal's 14.07, creating a 9.3-point advantage. Both teams occupy the top two positions in their domestic standings, underlining their competitive pedigree. Colombia also holds a clear edge in recent form with a score of 8.33 compared to Portugal's 2.83. The matchup features two sides that have performed well in structured play, though detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics remain limited. This encounter promises a tactical battle where Colombia's overall strength may be tested by Portugal's resilience.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Colombia leads the domestic standings in first place while Portugal sits second.
  • Form: Colombia holds a superior form score of 8.33 compared to Portugal's 2.83.
  • Squad: Colombia is identified as the stronger squad with a power score of 23.33 versus 14.07.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for this fixture.
  • Transition: Colombia shows better transition play based on form scores.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data for both teams relies on proxies due to limited xG availability.
  • xVariable: The power advantage of 9.3 points favors Colombia in this encounter.
  • Market: Colombia 23% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Portugal 50.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Colombia N. Lorenzo
N. Lorenzo
VS
Portugal R. Martínez Montoliú
R. Martínez Montoliú
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Congo DR Rank: W
Uzbekistan Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Uzbekistan Rank: W
Congo DR Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Colombia
22.96%
Draw
26.32%
Away Portugal
50.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
14.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Colombia
Portugal
Power Score
23.33
14.07
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
13
5

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Colombia — Opponent-weighted form score
Portugal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Colombia Portugal

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Colombia COL Home
0 matches
Portugal POR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-26T00:02:34+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
C. Vargas Gil
12 C. Vargas Gil
D. Muñoz Mejía
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
D. Sánchez Mina
23 D. Sánchez Mina
J. Lucumí Bonilla
3 J. Lucumí Bonilla
J. Mojica Palacio
17 J. Mojica Palacio
G. Puerta Molano
14 G. Puerta Molano
J. Lerma Solís
16 J. Lerma Solís
J. Arias Andrade
11 J. Arias Andrade
J. Rodríguez Rubio
10 J. Rodríguez Rubio
L. Suárez Charris
25 L. Suárez Charris
L. Díaz Marulanda
7 L. Díaz Marulanda
D. Meireles Costa
1 D. Meireles Costa
N. Mendes
25 N. Mendes
R. Palma Veiga
13 R. Palma Veiga
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
3 R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
J. Cavaco Cancelo
20 J. Cavaco Cancelo
V. Machado Ferreira
23 V. Machado Ferreira
J. Gonçalves Neves
15 J. Gonçalves Neves
J. Sequeira
11 J. Sequeira
B. Fernandes
8 B. Fernandes
P. Lomba Neto
18 P. Lomba Neto
C. Ronaldo
7 C. Ronaldo

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 27, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium
Miami Stadium
Capacity
65326
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alireza Faghani
G. Lakrindis
Andrew Lindsay
Hector Martinez

Expected Lineup

Referee : Alireza Faghani

Starting XI ▼

12
Camilo Vargas
Camilo Vargas Goalkeeper
6.4
10
James Rodríguez
James Rodríguez Attacker
7.23
25
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Centre Forward
6.6
7
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz Attacker
7.62
11
Jhon Arias
Jhon Arias Central Midfield
7.3
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Right Back
7.51
23
Davinson Sánchez
Davinson Sánchez Right Back
7.3
3
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Left Back
6.83
17
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Left Back
6.99
14
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Central Midfield
7.27
16
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma Central Midfield
7
Referee : Alireza Faghani

Starting XI ▼

1
Diogo Costa
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper
7.6
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
Cristiano Ronaldo Centre Forward
7.93
20
João Cancelo
João Cancelo Right Back
7.34
11
João Félix
João Félix Left Wing
7.3
25
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes Left Back
7.79
15
João Neves
João Neves Defensive Midfield
7.67
23
Vitinha
Vitinha Defensive Midfield
7.35
18
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto Right Wing
6.87
8
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes Attacking Midfield
7.87
13
Renato Veiga
Renato Veiga Left Back
7.15
3
Rúben Dias
Rúben Dias Right Back
7.81

CONCLUSION

Colombia carries notable advantages into this group-stage clash through superior power metrics and stronger recent form. Their domestic leadership adds further context to their preparation. Portugal remains a dangerous opponent given their second-place standing and ability to compete at high levels. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces means both teams will likely rely on core tactical structures. The venue at Miami Stadium could influence the tempo, favoring sides comfortable with structured possession. Overall, Colombia's edge in key indicators positions them to control proceedings, yet Portugal's quality ensures a competitive contest throughout.