Colombia vs Portugal preview

2026 World Cup, World
Miami Stadium Sat, 27 Jun - 11:30 PM
World Cup
ColombiaCOL
0 – 0
PortugalPOR
Full Time Sat, 27 Jun 11:30 PM
Round 3 Group Stage

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Colombia 0–0 Portugal. The match ended in a draw. Colombia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Colombia 1.7 – 0.8 Portugal. Possession was 55%–45%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Colombia 0-0 Portugal. Colombia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Faghani
A. Faghani
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Lakrindis
G. Lakrindis
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Lindsay
A. Lindsay
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
H. Martinez
H. Martinez
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Colombia N. Lorenzo
N. Lorenzo
VS
Portugal R. Martínez Montoliú
R. Martínez Montoliú
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Congo DR Rank: W
Uzbekistan Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Uzbekistan Rank: W
Congo DR Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Colombia
23.97%
Draw
24.77%
Away Portugal
51.26%

Movement

Changes since opening
Colombia
+20.36%
Draw
-67.16%
Portugal
+46.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
14.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Colombia
Portugal
Power Score
23.33
14.07
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
13
5

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Colombia — Opponent-weighted form score
Portugal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Colombia Portugal

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Colombia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Portugal

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Colombia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Portugal
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.02
6.49
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
6.49
18.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Colombia +1.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Portugal -1.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Colombia
Portugal
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Colombia
vs
Portugal
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Colombia Portugal
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
16%
19%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.27 vs -0.15
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Colombia Portugal
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
19%
16%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.15 vs -0.27
Colombia
Portugal
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Colombia
vs
Portugal
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Colombia Portugal
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Colombia 0.47
Portugal 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Colombia Portugal
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Colombia 0.00
Portugal 0.00
Colombia
Portugal
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COL had peak pressure around 73'.
  • COL started the game with stronger pressure.
COL Pressure POR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COL reached the top pressure at 73' (82.12).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 27, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium
Miami Stadium
Capacity
65326
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alireza Faghani
G. Lakrindis
Andrew Lindsay
Hector Martinez

Statistics

Possession
COL
54%
POR
46%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 1
11 Shots 7
67 Dangerous attacks 38
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

46 Ball Safe 62
14 Goal Kicks 9
13 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 6
10 Throwins 9
0 Successful Headers 1
0 Injuries 1
5 Dribble Attempts 16
4 Successful Dribbles 9
80 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56

Attacking

88 Attacks 83
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

45 Long Passes 30
545 Passes 446
485 Successful Passes 406
89 Successful Passes Percentage 91
20 Key Passes 8
24 Successful Long Passes 20
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67

Defensive

2 Saves 6
14 Tackles 8
5 Interceptions 11
28 Duels Won 37

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 14
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Alireza Faghani

Starting XI ▼

12
Camilo Vargas
Camilo Vargas Goalkeeper
6.8
3
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
6.44
4
Santiago Arias
Santiago Arias Defender
6.61
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz
Defender87'
22
Deiver Machado
Deiver Machado Defender
6.5
23
Davinson Sánchez
Davinson Sánchez Defender
6.6
11
Jhon Arias
Jhon Arias Midfielder
6.72
5
Kevin Castaño
Kevin Castaño
Midfielder76'
14
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
6.51
16
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder
6.59
6
Richard Ríos
Richard Ríos
Midfielder60'
7
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz Attacker
6.63
9
Jhon Córdoba
Jhon Córdoba Attacker
6.35
25
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez
Attacker60'
10
James Rodríguez
James Rodríguez (C) Attacker
6.76
20
Juan Fernando Quintero
Juan Fernando Quintero
Midfielder76'
Referee : Alireza Faghani

Starting XI ▼

1
Diogo Costa
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper
6.82
3
Rúben Dias
Rúben Dias Defender
6.46
13
Renato Veiga
Renato Veiga Defender
6.73
20
João Cancelo
João Cancelo Defender
6.77
5
Diogo Dalot
Diogo Dalot
Defender46'
25
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes Defender
6.53
6
Matheus Nunes
Matheus Nunes
Midfielder90+3'
8
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder
6.8
11
João Félix
João Félix Midfielder
6.55
17
Rafael Leão
Rafael Leão
Attacker70'
18
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto Midfielder
6.71
21
Rúben Neves
Rúben Neves Midfielder
7.18
15
João Neves
João Neves
Midfielder46'
23
Vitinha
Vitinha Midfielder
6.83
24
Samú Costa
Samú Costa
Midfielder70'
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
Cristiano Ronaldo (C) Attacker
6.75

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Matheus Nunes → Nuno Mendes 
10th Substitution
Event
Davinson Sánchez
Offside / Goal Disallowed
90+2'
Event
Daniel Muñoz → Santiago Arias
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Gustavo Puerta
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
86'
Event
Kevin Castaño → Jhon Arias
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Juan Fernando Quintero → James Rodríguez
8th Substitution
76'
70'
Event
Samú Costa → Vitinha
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Rafael Leão → João Félix
6th Substitution
Event
Richard Ríos → Jefferson Lerma
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Luis Suárez → Jhon Córdoba
4th Substitution
60'
46'
Event
Diogo Dalot → João Cancelo
1st Substitution
46'
Event
João Neves → Rúben Neves
2nd Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Puerta's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Luis Díaz provided the assist.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Muñoz of Colombia.
90
Update Update
Diogo Costa wins a free kick for Portugal in the defensive half.
90
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Leão from Portugal misses a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, sending the ball to the right. Renato Veiga provided the assist.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portugal: Matheus Nunes comes on for Nuno Mendes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Luis Suárez (Colombia) heads the ball from the center of the box.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Colombia wins a corner after Pedro Neto concedes.
90
Update Update
Offside called against Colombia. Davinson Sánchez is the player caught offside.
88
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Luis Suárez (Colombia) takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it goes high and wide to the left.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Daniel Muñoz comes on for Santiago Arias.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gustavo Puerta of Colombia receives a yellow card for a foul.
83
Update Update
Rúben Dias commits a foul for Portugal.
83
Update Update
Richard Ríos from Colombia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
82
Update Update
Bruno Fernandes wins a free kick for Portugal in the attacking half.
82
Update Update
Richard Ríos commits a foul for Colombia.
81
Update Update
Rafael Leão from Portugal is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
81
Update Update
Santiago Arias commits a foul for Colombia.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Portugal after Davinson Sánchez concedes.
79
Update Update
Pedro Neto wins a free kick for Portugal on the right wing.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Puerta (Colombia).
78
Corner Corner
Diogo Dalot from Portugal misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it to the right. The attempt was assisted by Bruno Fernandes after a corner.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Portugal after a concession by Santiago Arias.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Kevin Castaño comes on for Jhon Arias.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Juan Fernando Quintero comes on for James Rodríguez.
75
Update Update
Diogo Dalot wins a free kick for Portugal on the right wing.
75
Update Update
Deiver Machado commits a foul for Colombia.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Richard Ríos of Colombia.
74
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. James Rodríguez's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
74
Corner Corner
Colombia wins a corner after Renato Veiga concedes.
74
Update Update
Nuno Mendes wins a free kick for Portugal in the defensive half.
73
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Luis Suárez's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Santiago Arias with a cross.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portugal: Rafael Leão comes on for João Félix.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portugal: Samú Costa comes on for Vitinha.
68
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
67
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
67
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Nuno Mendes from Portugal.
67
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Gustavo Puerta (Colombia) takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes wide to the left. Luis Díaz provided the assist after a corner.
66
Corner Corner
Gustavo Puerta from Colombia misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
66
Corner Corner
Colombia wins a corner, conceded by Diogo Costa.
65
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Luis Suárez's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked, with an assist from James Rodríguez.
65
Corner Corner
Colombia is awarded a corner after Renato Veiga concedes.
65
Corner Corner
Davinson Sánchez of Colombia misses a header from the center of the box, sending the ball to the right. The attempt was assisted by James Rodríguez, who provided a cross after a corner.
63
Update Update
Vitinha wins a free kick for Portugal in the attacking half.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Richard Ríos of Colombia.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Richard Ríos from Colombia, who took a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Richard Ríos comes on for Jefferson Lerma.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Luis Suárez comes on for Jhon Córdoba.
60
Update Update
Cristiano Ronaldo is caught offside for Portugal.
57
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. João Félix from Portugal has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is blocked.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Jefferson Lerma's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Diogo Costa. The shot was assisted by Deiver Machado.
55
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Jhon Arias from Colombia has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Diogo Costa from Portugal saves it in the top right corner. The assist comes from Gustavo Puerta.
51
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. João Félix takes a shot from the center of the box for Portugal.
49
Update Update
Gustavo Puerta commits a foul for Colombia.
49
Update Update
João Félix wins a free kick for Portugal in the defensive half.
48
Update Update
Cristiano Ronaldo commits a foul for Portugal.
48
Update Update
Jhon Arias from Colombia is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
47
Update Update
Vitinha wins a free kick for Portugal in the defensive half.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Jhon Arias of Colombia.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portugal: João Neves comes on for Rúben Neves.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the match score at 0-0 between Colombia and Portugal.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portugal: Diogo Dalot comes on for João Cancelo.
45
Attempt Attempt
Deiver Machado's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Luis Díaz provided the assist.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Cristiano Ronaldo's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Luis Díaz from Colombia takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes to the left. He was assisted by James Rodríguez.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Diogo Costa (Portugal) saves a right-footed shot from outside the box by Gustavo Puerta (Colombia) in the bottom left corner. The shot was assisted by Jhon Arias.
45
Update Update
Cristiano Ronaldo wins a free kick for Portugal in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Jhon Lucumí of Colombia.
44
Attempt Attempt
James Rodríguez's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Santiago Arias.
44
Attempt Attempt
Jefferson Lerma's left-footed shot from outside the box for Colombia is blocked.
44
Update Update
Pedro Neto commits a foul for Portugal.
44
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Colombia is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
42
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. João Félix from Portugal takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
40
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rúben Neves (Portugal) takes a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes close but misses to the left. Vitinha provided the assist.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Bruno Fernandes from Portugal has his right-footed shot from the center of the box saved in the top center of the goal by Camilo Vargas from Colombia.
39
Attempt Attempt
Cristiano Ronaldo's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Vitinha's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
36
Update Update
Renato Veiga commits a foul for Portugal.
36
Update Update
Jhon Córdoba from Colombia wins a free kick in the attacking half.
33
Update Update
James Rodríguez wins a free kick for Colombia in the defensive half.
33
Update Update
Rúben Dias commits a foul for Portugal.
32
Update Update
Cristiano Ronaldo is caught offside for Portugal.
31
Corner Corner
Colombia is awarded a corner after Renato Veiga concedes.
28
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
25
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Cristiano Ronaldo's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Camilo Vargas.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Jhon Arias of Colombia.
23
Update Update
Cristiano Ronaldo wins a free kick for Portugal in the attacking half.
22
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Arias from Colombia had a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it was blocked. The attempt was assisted by James Rodríguez.
18
Update Update
Luis Díaz is caught offside for Colombia.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Jhon Córdoba's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Diogo Costa. The assist was provided by Jhon Arias.
17
Attempt Attempt
Luis Díaz's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by James Rodríguez.
17
Corner Corner
Colombia wins a corner, conceded by Diogo Costa.
14
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Gustavo Puerta from Colombia, who took a left-footed shot from outside the box.
12
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Bruno Fernandes (Portugal) took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
6
Attempt Attempt
Luis Díaz from Colombia misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the right. He was assisted by Jhon Arias, who provided a headed pass.
4
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rúben Neves from Portugal takes a right-footed shot from outside the box but misses to the left.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Jhon Arias of Colombia.
4
Update Update
Nuno Mendes wins a free kick for Portugal on the left wing.
2
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Luis Díaz from Colombia has a right-footed shot from the left side of the box that is blocked. He was assisted by Davinson Sánchez.
2
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Neves takes a right-footed shot but misses.
2
Update Update
Offside.
1
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba attempts a header but misses the shot.
1
Attempt Attempt
Luis Fernando Diaz Marulanda takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Alireza Faghani.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Colombia 0-0 Portugal. Structural assessment: Colombia exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.