Colombia vs Congo DR preview
World Cup
Congo DR
COD
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Colombia secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Congo DR after a tightly contested encounter that remained scoreless at halftime. The home side controlled proceedings with 64 percent possession and generated an expected goals tally of 1.32 against their opponents 0.44. Despite the significant pre-match deviation of 37.9 percent favoring Colombia the result aligned with underlying performance metrics. No red cards were issued throughout the fixture and the outcome proved consistent with the stronger teams expected dominance. Congo DR struggled to create meaningful opportunities while Colombia maintained steady pressure without converting their superiority into a larger margin. The match highlighted clear disparities in territorial control and chance creation between the two sides.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Colombia showed a significant 37.9 percent pre-match deviation.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expected patterns.
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xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the xG differential of 0.88.
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Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations.
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xG expectations: Colombia posted 1.32 xG while Congo DR recorded 0.44 xG.
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Event impact: The match ended 1-0 with no major disruptive events.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion was present.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Colombia
Congo DR
Movement
Changes since opening
Colombia
Congo DR
Team Power Ranking
i
83.33
36.67
Colombia
Congo DR
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Colombia
Congo DR
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Colombia
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Colombia
Colombia
Congo DR
Colombia
Congo DR
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Colombia
Colombia
Congo DR
Colombia
Congo DR
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- COD had peak pressure around 98'.
- COL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-25T00:00:25+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Colombia
vs
Portugal
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 11:30 PM
Venue: Miami Stadium
Congo DR
vs
Uzbekistan
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 11:30 PM
Venue: Atlanta Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary