Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
TQL Stadium Today - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati CIN
SJ Earthquakes SJE
KICKOFF : Today - 11:30 PM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Major League Soccer regular season Cincinnati welcome SJ Earthquakes to TQL Stadium for a league contest. The hosts carry a modest power advantage measured at 70.28 against the visitors 68.15 which yields a 2.1 point edge and identifies Cincinnati as the stronger side. Domestic standings place the home team seventh while SJ Earthquakes occupy third position. Form scores reflect Cincinnati at 22.89 and the away side at 12.89. Both clubs approach the fixture with ambitions to improve their season records in this standard league meeting. The matchup features contrasting league positions and power metrics that frame an even contest on paper.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cincinnati hold a power score of 70.28 against SJ Earthquakes 68.15 for a 2.1 point advantage.
  • Form: Cincinnati post a form score of 22.89 while SJ Earthquakes sit at 12.89.
  • Squad: Squad information is not detailed in the provided data for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data is not supplied in the match inputs.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both teams.
  • xVariable: Cincinnati enter with a 2.1 point power advantage over SJ Earthquakes.
  • Market: Baseline split: Cincinnati 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | SJ Earthquakes 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cincinnati P. Noonan
P. Noonan
VS
SJ Earthquakes B. Arena
B. Arena
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.94
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 73 W
Orlando City Rank: 69 W
San Diego Rank: 69 D
Inter Miami Rank: 79 L
Charlotte Rank: 68 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 D
Orlando City Rank: 63 L
Portland Timbers Rank: 65 W
Dallas Rank: 69 L
Seattle Sounders Rank: 70 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 75 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.28
68.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cincinnati
SJ Earthquakes
Power Score
70.28
68.15
League Position
7
3
Global Rank
323
388

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cincinnati — Opponent-weighted form score
SJ Earthquakes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cincinnati SJ Earthquakes

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cincinnati CIN Home
1 matches
SJ Earthquakes SJE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-01T23:00:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Celentano
United States
18 R. Celentano
K. Smith
United States
24 K. Smith
M. Robinson
United States
12 M. Robinson
S. Gidi
Ghana
11 S. Gidi
E. Echenique Peña
Venezuela
66 E. Echenique Peña
P. Bucha
Czech Republic
20 P. Bucha
O. Nwobodo
Nigeria
5 O. Nwobodo
B. Ramírez León
Ecuador
29 B. Ramírez León
E. da Silva Ferreira
Brazil
10 (C) E. da Silva Ferreira
K. Mboma Dem
17 K. Mboma Dem
A. Denkey
Togo
9 A. Denkey
A. Gunn
Scotland
1 A. Gunn
B. Kikanovic
United States
28 B. Kikanovic
D. Munie
United States
5 D. Munie
R. Roberts
18 R. Roberts
V. Costa De Brito
Brazil
87 V. Costa De Brito
B. Leroux
34 B. Leroux
R. Vieira Nan
England
14 R. Vieira Nan
P. Judd
United States
19 P. Judd
T. Werner
Germany
11 T. Werner
N. Fernandez
20 N. Fernandez
O. Bouda
Burkina Faso
7 O. Bouda

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 01, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
TQL Stadium
Capacity
26000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Víctor Rivas
Ian McKay
Brian Dunn
Sergii Demianchuk

Lineup

Referee : Víctor Rivas

Starting XI ▼

18
Roman Celentano
Roman Celentano Goalkeeper
6.86
11
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi Defender
6.72
12
Miles Robinson
Miles Robinson Defender
6.63
24
Kyle Smith
Kyle Smith Defender
6.39
5
Obinna Nwobodo
Obinna Nwobodo Midfielder
6.66
20
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha Midfielder
7.03
29
Bryan Ramírez
Bryan Ramírez Midfielder
7
66
Ender Echenique
Ender Echenique Midfielder
6.84
9
Kévin Denkey
Kévin Denkey Attacker
7.25
10
Evander
Evander (C) Attacker
7.91
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
Kenji Mboma Dem Attacker
6.91
Referee : Víctor Rivas

Starting XI ▼

1
Angus Gunn
Angus Gunn Goalkeeper
6.3
5
Daniel Munie
Daniel Munie Defender
6.97
18
Reid Roberts
Reid Roberts Defender
6.99
28
Benji Kikanović
Benji Kikanović Defender
6.83
87
Vítor Costa
Vítor Costa Defender
6.6
11
Timo Werner
Timo Werner Midfielder
7.23
14
Ronaldo Vieira
Ronaldo Vieira Midfielder
6.74
19
Preston Judd
Preston Judd Midfielder
7.19
20
Nick Fernandez
Nick Fernandez Midfielder
6.68
34
Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux Midfielder
7.17
7
Ousseni Bouda
Ousseni Bouda Attacker
7

CONCLUSION

Cincinnati host SJ Earthquakes in a regular season encounter where modest power differentials and domestic positions shape expectations. The hosts benefit from home status at TQL Stadium yet face a visitor side placed higher in the standings. Form readings tilt toward Cincinnati while overall balance suggests a competitive outing. Both teams possess the tools to influence proceedings through structured play and individual quality. The fixture offers a platform for each side to advance their 2026 objectives in a league setting defined by narrow margins and tactical discipline.