Chelsea vs AC Milan preview
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Yesterday - 12:00 PM
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 9
CONTEXT
Chelsea defeated AC Milan 3-0 in the match with the home side leading 1-0 at halftime. Both teams recorded 50 percent possession. No red cards were issued to players from either side. Chelsea was the stronger team and secured the win as the outcome. The deviation level was significant with Chelsea as the deviation team. Efficiency shift was in line with the performance metrics available. Market alignment held true based on the result. xG values were unavailable preventing full assessment of expected goals. Second half adjustments contributed to the final scoreline without knockout tie implications. The score source was current data confirming the 3-0 result.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Chelsea exhibited significant structural deviation in achieving the 3-0 result.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the match performance.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated due to null data.
-
Market alignment: Market alignment was true for the Chelsea victory.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable with null metrics recorded.
-
Event impact: Event impact produced the 3-0 score without halftime changes beyond 1-0.
-
Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with zero cards issued.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Chelsea
VS
AC Milan
0
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus
Rank: 87
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter
Rank: 93
D
Celtic
Rank: 81
D
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
89.4
84.32
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chelsea
AC Milan
Power Score
89.4
84.32
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
18
47
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Chelsea
—
Opponent-weighted form score
AC Milan
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Chelsea AC Milan
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Chelsea
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
AC Milan
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Chelsea
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
AC Milan
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.50
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Chelsea
+0.28
Efficiency Index
vs
AC Milan
-0.28
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Chelsea
AC Milan
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Chelsea
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
AC Milan
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Chelsea
AC Milan
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Chelsea
AC Milan
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Chelsea
AC Milan
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Chelsea
vs
AC Milan
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Chelsea
AC Milan
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Chelsea
0.51
AC Milan
0.20
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Chelsea
AC Milan
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Chelsea
0.00
AC Milan
0.09
Chelsea
AC Milan
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CHE had peak pressure around 73'.
- CHE started the game with stronger pressure.
CHE Pressure
MIL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
CHE reached the top pressure at 73' (72.96).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Chelsea
CHE
Home
3
matches
AC Milan
MIL
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
9
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:01:38+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Capacity
82000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Chelsea
vs
Johor Darul Ta'zim
League: Club Friendlies 1
Kickoff: Sun, 9 Aug - 12:00 PM
Venue: Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin
AC Milan
vs
Manchester United
League: Club Friendlies 1
Kickoff: Sat, 15 Aug - 2:45 PM
Venue: Tarczyński Arena
Statistics
Possession
CHE
53%
MIL
47%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
0
7
Big Chances Created
0
6
Shots
3
35
Dangerous attacks
25
50
Possession
50
7
Corners
2
17
Free kicks
11
0
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
50
Ball Safe
62
15
Goal Attempts
3
8
Substitutions
2
5
Throwins
12
2
Hit Woodwork
0
6
Dribble Attempts
1
6
Successful Dribbles
1
35
Successful Dribbles Percentage
13
Attacking
91
Attacks
73
Possession
26
Long Passes
19
484
Passes
499
90
Successful Passes Percentage
87
16
Key Passes
2
Defensive
0
Saves
5
11
Tackles
10
9
Interceptions
2
51
Duels Won
38
Build-up
11
Total Crosses
4
Discipline
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
17
Lineup
Manager ▼
Chelsea
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
14
39
Events
2ND-HALF
17th Substitution
90+2'
14th Substitution
85'
15th Substitution
85'
16th Substitution
85'
13th Substitution
79'
59'
11th Substitution
59'
12th Substitution
9th Substitution
58'
10th Substitution
58'
3rd Goal
50'
2nd Goal
46'
46'
1st Substitution
46'
2nd Substitution
46'
3rd Substitution
46'
4th Substitution
46'
5th Substitution
46'
6th Substitution
46'
7th Substitution
46'
8th Substitution
1ST-HALF
1st Goal
45+2'
45'
1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
The 3-0 result for Chelsea over AC Milan reflected consistent team performance across both halves starting from the 1-0 halftime position. Equal possession distribution indicated balanced control yet Chelsea converted opportunities effectively. Absence of red cards maintained standard match flow without distortions. Significant deviation aligned with the stronger team designation and winner status. Efficiency remained in line while market alignment confirmed outcome consistency. Limited xG data restricted deeper expected goals analysis but the factual scoreline stands as recorded. Overall the match demonstrated Chelsea's edge in execution leading to the decisive victory.
Match Commentary